Sunday, July 23, 2017

Jul. 22 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-afternoon.
West Houston, TX, during the mid-afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Summary: The day was mostly cloudy, partly wet, and warm. Isolated to scattered light to moderately heavy showers and moderately heavy to heavy thunderstorms started to pop up in and around the Houston, TX area, during the early morning and continued on through the early night before dissipating. I first saw a few drops in west Houston, TX and then I heard some low rumbles of thunder, during the mid-afternoon. I continued to hear thunder in northwest Houston, TX with on and off light to moderate rain, during the late afternoon and evening. The rain stopped before the early night, sometime during 7, or maybe 8 pm. Alto stratus with stratus and stratocumulus clouds looked to be scattered across the sky, during the morning and early afternoon. Stratus with stratocumulus and some nimbus clouds  started to cover most of the sky, during the mid-afternoon, and then the whole sky, during the late afternoon, evening, and maybe the whole night. The wind speeds looked to be calm with maybe some gentle to moderate gusts. It felt warm, during the early morning, late afternoon, evening, and night. It felt very warm during the mid-morning. It felt hot during the late morning. It felt very hot, during the early afternoon. It started to feel warm with the passing rain clouds, during the mid-afternoon. There was a Special Weather Statement along with a two Flood Advisories issued, for parts of most of the northern Houston, TX area. There were no other watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statments/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temps looked to be in the 70's and the high temps looked to be in the 90's, for most of the Houston, TX area.


Storm Summary: There were some reports of flash flooding in parts of the northern Houston, TX area and maybe some other areas, There were no reports of storm damages, that I know of.


My Storm Summary: I noticed some dark nimbus clouds forming and I started to see some rain drops on my cars windshield, on my way to Terry Hershey Park, during the mid-afternoon. I then started to heard some low rumbles of thunder as I was riding my bike near Dairy Ashford Road, on my way to George Bush Park. So I decided to turn around. It was probably better that I did, since the thunderstorms lasted through the evening. I didn't see anymore rain after that until I got near my house in northwest Houston, TX where I heard more low rumbles of thunder and saw some on and off light to moderate rain drops, during the late afternoon, through the late evening. I stopped seeing rain drops and hearing thunder, sometime during the late evening. The thunderstorms not only prevented me from riding my bike, but also from swimming, since I didn't want to get struck by lightning. But oh well.


Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX.


Thoughts: Well Sunday looks to be the last day until Wednesday, that Houston, TX will be getting rain. And then maybe some more rain chances after that. Which is ok. What is a summer in Houston, TX without heat?

Friday, July 21, 2017

Jul. 21 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-morning.
Spring, TX, near the Woodlands, TX, during the late evening.
Near Cypress, TX, during the early night.


Summary: The day was hot, mostly cloudy, and sunny. Light to moderate isolated showers and moderately heavy to heavy isolated thunderstorms started to pop up in and around the Houston, TX area, sometime during the afternoon and stayed around through the early night. I saw some distant lightning strikes and heard some distant thunder from a few of the thunderstorms. Along with some light rain, during the late evening and early night. The sky looked to be mostly clear, during the early morning. Stratus and stratocumulus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, during the mid and late morning, afternoon, evening, and maybe night. There looked to be some nimbus clouds, during the evening. The wind speeds looked to be calm with some gentle to moderate gusts, especially during the evening, when the thunderstorms started to roll through. It felt warm during the early morning, late evening, and night. It started to feel hot, during the mid-morning. It felt hot, during the late morning. It felt very hot, during the afternoon. It felt very warm, during the early evening. There were no watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temps looked to be in the 70's and the high temps looked to be in the low to mid 90's, for most of the Houston, TX area.


Storm Summary: I didn't hear of any flooding, or damage reports.


My Storm Summary: I saw a cloud to ground lightning strike, from a thunderstorm in Cypress, TX and I also saw some light rain in north Houston, TX, during the Late evening. I also saw some light drizzle near Cypress, TX, during the early night. I didn't see, or witness any flooding, or damages. Just some wet roads and small puddles, that's all.


Locations: Northwest and north Houston, TX and the Galleria in Houston, TX, Tomball, TX, Spring, TX, and maybe the Woodlands, TX.


Thoughts: Some more rain chances on the way in Houston, TX. And then some more hot summery days after that.

Jul. 20 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.

Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Summary: The day was hot, mostly dry, and sunny. There were a few light to moderate isolated showers and heavy thunderstorms in and around the Houston, TX area, during the late afternoon, evening, and maybe night. There might have also been some isolated showers and thunderstorms during the morning and early and mid-afternoon, in the Houston, TX area. I saw a few rain drops on my cars windshield, on my way home from work in northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening. A heavy thunderstorm passed over my house in northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening. The sky looked to be mostly clear, during the early morning. Alto stratus and stratus and stratocumulus clouds started to roll in and cover most of the sky, sometime during the mid-morning and stayed around through the evening and maybe night. There also looked to be some nimbo stratus clouds in the sky, during the late evening. The wind speeds looked to be calm with maybe some gentle to moderate gusts. There were moderate to moderately strong gusts, during the evening. It felt warm during the morning, late evening, and night. It started to feel hot, during the mid-morning. It felt hot, during the late morning. It started to feel really hot, during the early afternoon. It felt really hot, during the mid and late afternoon. It felt very warm, during the evening. There were no watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temps looked to be in the 70's and the high temps looked to be in the 90's, for most of the Houston, TX area.


Storm Summary: There were a few flare ups of heavy thunderstorms in and around the Houston, TX area, during the evening and maybe other times, during the day. I didn't see, or hear about any flooding, or storm damages.


My Storm Summary: Big, high, swirling dark clouds moved in closer as low rumbles of thunder and a few flashes of lightning started getting louder and brighter. The rain was moderately heavy to heavy and lasted for about 10 to maybe 20 minutes. At my house in northwest Houston, TX, the place where the thunderstorm rolled through, during the late evening. I didn't experience any damages, or flooding, just some wet roads and a few small puddles.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX


Thoughts: I enjoyed seeing the rain today. Although it did stop me from getting into the pool...

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

Jul. 19 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.


Summary: The day was mostly cloudy, very warm, and mostly dry. More isolated light to moderate showers and heavy thunderstorms started to pop up in and around the Houston, TX, sometime during the morning and diminished during the early night. A heavy thunderstorm brushed past the animal hospital that I work at in northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-afternoon, bringing some loud rumbles of thunder and moderately heavy to maybe sometimes heavy rain drops. The sky looked to be mostly clear during the early morning. Stratus and stratocumulus clouds started to cover most of the sky, during the mid-morning and stayed through the afternoon and evening. Cirro stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, during the night. There also looked to be some nimbus clouds, during afternoon. The wind speeds looked to be calm with maybe some gentle to moderate gusts. It felt warm, during the early and mid-morning, mid and late afternoon, evening, and night. It felt very warm, almost hot, during the late morning and early afternoon. There was a Hazardous Weather Outlook issued by NOAA, for the Houston, TX area. There were no other watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temps looked to be in the 70's and the high temps looked to be in the 90's, for most of the Houston, TX area.


Storm Summary: There were no reports of flooding, or storm damages that I know of to the Houston, TX area.


My Storm Summary: A isolated heavy thunderstorm passed through where I work in northwest Houston, TX bringing moderately heavy to maybe sometimes heavy heavy for around 10 to maybe 20 minutes leaving some small puddles behind on the roads and parking lot. There was also some loud thunder, but no cloud to ground lightning that I know of.


Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX.


Thoughts: I was happy to see some good rainfall today, even though it was pretty brief. I really enjoy brief heavy thunderstorms. I think Houston, TX's rainfall everyday, may be sadly coming to a soon end. It was fun while it lasted. We'll see what happens. I would rather it rain everyday, than it be really hot, during the summer.


Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
424 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-202130-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Grimes-Harris-Houston-Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Wharton-
424 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Heat indices will continue to be high through next week, ranging
from 105 to 108 degrees during the afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Tuesday, July 18, 2017

Jul. 18 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.
Cypress, TX, during the early evening.


Summary: The day was very warm, almost hot, calm, and dry. Clusters of isolated heavy thunderstorms and a few light to moderate showers started to pop up in and around the Houston, TX area, sometime during the morning and looked to have dissipated sometime during the evening, or maybe night. I didn't see, or hear any rain drops, but I did hear some low rumbles of thunder from nearby thunderstorms, during the early afternoon. Alto stratus and stratus with some stratocumulus clouds looked to cover part of the sky, during the early morning and most of the sky, during the mid and late morning, evening, and maybe night. Alto stratus, stratus, stratocumulus, and a few nimbus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, during the afternoon. The wind speeds looked to be calm with maybe some gentle to moderate gusts. It felt warm during the early morning, late evening, and night. It felt very warm, almost hot, during the mid and late morning, early afternoon, and early evening. It started to feel warm, sometime during the mid, or maybe early afternoon, from the nearby storm clouds. It started to feel very warm, almost hot, during the late afternoon. There was a special weather statement issued for the thunderstorms that passed through the Houston, TX area, during the early and mid-afternoon. There was also a Hazardous Weather Statement issued for the Houston, TX area, by NOAA. There were no other watches, warnings, advisories, alerts, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temps looked to be in the 70's and the high temps looked to be in the 90's, for the Houston, TX area.


Storm Summary: There were no flooding reports, or damage reports that I know of. 


My Storm Summary: I got to see some cool storm clouds and hear some low rumbles of thunder, but that was all. I didn't see, or feel any rain drops, I don't know if there was any.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX and Cypress, TX


Thoughts: Not much changing with the forecast for Houston, TX. More rain chances with some possible hot days ahead.


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 190305
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
959 PM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017

.UPDATE...
Radar cleared out around 8 PM and am expecting a stable interior
air mass to keep any overnight shower/storm re-development focused
over the Gulf waters. As has been the case these past couple of
days...scattered early morning Gulf -TSRA activity may clip the
coastal counties through sunrise then creep further inland through
the early afternoon hours. Further northern activity may blossom
later in the day once the lower 90s are met...but the bulk of the
precipitation should remain over the southern third of the CWA.
Energy is forecast to move down an East Coast trough axis and pinch
off around the south and eastern periphery of the large Central U.S.
ridge. This scenario should contribute to maintaining a region of
disturbed weather paralleling the Gulf Coast. An easterly flow
pattern should allow this unsettledness to still be a player for yet
another day...equating to scattered showers and embedded ordinary
thunderstorms. The main threats will be early day waterspouts that
could travel ashore as weak tornadoes...latter day bursts of
lightning and very localized flooding issues from 1 to 2 inch per
hour rainfall rates. The combination of low to mid 90 ambient
afternoon temperatures and lower to middle 70 dew points should
translate to Wednesday afternoon 100 to 105 F maximum heat indices.
31

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 623 PM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017/

AVIATION...
Showers currently across the northern half of the area should
diminish over the next couple of hours. VFR conditions are
generally expected, but there could be a few spots of patchy fog
right around sunrise in areas that received rain today. Expecting
showers and thunderstorms to get going again tomorrow afternoon,
with less coverage than today and primarily sticking to around
KIAH and southward. 11

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 PM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017/

DISCUSSION...
The convection which occurred over areas along and south of the
I-10 corridor earlier today has diminished. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms were occurring along the northward and westward
moving outflow boundaries at 3:00 PM. Tweaked the rain chances
for the southwestern and northern counties for the rest of this
afternoon to account for these ongoing storms. Could see an
isolated shower or thunderstorm to redevelop to the south and
southeast but with the cirrus shield overhead think these will be
limited.

The deep layer weak trough overhead of SE Texas will likely linger
overhead one more day before the deep layer upper level ridge in
the Plains edges southward. This pattern should lead to slightly
warmer temperatures and less rain chances. On both Wednesday and
thursday the maximum heat indices could reach into the 105 to 107
for a lot of locations with some isolated locations reaching 108.
Do think that the best chances for rain will be on Wednesday;
however, enough moisture will linger overhead to keep daily shower
and thunderstorm chances in place for Thursday and Friday. By
Saturday the general upper level troughiness over the Atlantic
Region will again extend into the Upper Texas coastal areas. Both
the GFS and ECMWF show a 500 mb low pressure area over the Mid
Atlantic moving southwestward into at least the lower Mississippi
Valley during the weekend. Both models differ on the evolution of
this system early next week but both show the weak trough again
developing either overhead SE Texas or near the Upper Texas coast.
For this reason, kept daily chances for showers and thunderstorms
in place for most areas through Tuesday. 40

MARINE...
A light onshore flow is expected through the end of the week with high
pressure over the eastern Gulf and lower pressures over West Texas.
Night time winds will be slightly stronger especially toward the end of the
week as low pressure moves across the southern plains. Tide levels will
remain slightly elevated through the week but will remain below critical
thresholds. 43

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      75  96  76  97  77 /  20  10  10  20  10
Houston (IAH)              74  94  76  95  77 /  20  30  10  30  10
Galveston (GLS)            81  89  81  90  82 /  20  30  10  30  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...31/11


Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
432 AM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-190945-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Grimes-Harris-Houston-Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Wharton-
432 AM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be possible
through this evening. Some of these storms could produce locally
heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds. Funnel clouds are also
possible and, while many funnel clouds will never reach the
ground, there is always the possibility of any funnel touching
the ground to become a short lived tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day. Some of these
storms could quickly strengthen and produce locally heavy rainfall
and gusty winds.

Heat indices may rise to maximums of 105 to 108 degrees in the
middle and late week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Monday, July 17, 2017

Jul. 17 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.


Summary: The day was very warm, sunny, and calm. Clusters of isolated light to moderate showers and heavy thunderstorms started to pop up in and around the Houston, TX area, during the late morning and lasted through the early night. There looked to be some possible isolated light to moderate showers and maybe a few moderately heavy thunderstorms in and around the Houston, TX area, during the early and mid-morning and late night. I felt some light rain and heard some low rumbles of thunder from a nearby thunderstorm, during the early afternoon. Thin alto stratus with stratocumulus clouds looked to cover part of the sky, during the early morning and then most of the sky, during the mid and late morning. Thin alto stratus with stratocumulus and nimbus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, during the early and maybe mid and late afternoon. Alto stratus and stratus with some stratocumulus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, during the evening and maybe night. The wind speeds looked to be calm with maybe some gentle to moderate gusts. It felt warm during the early morning, late evening, and night. It felt very warm, during the mid-morning, early and mid-afternoon, and early evening. I think it felt hot, during the late afternoon. There was a Hazardous Weather Outlook issued for the Houston, TX area, by NOAA. There were no other watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temps were in the 70's and the high temps were in the 90's, for the Houston, TX area.

Storm Summary: I didn't see, or hear about any reports of flooding, or see, or hear about any storm damages.

My Storm Summary: Storms looked to be moving northwest, just to the south of where I work in northwest Houston, TX, during the afternoon. I heard some low rumbles of thunder and felt some light rain, from the tip of a isolated heavy thunderstorm, during the early afternoon, where I work in northwest Houston, TX. I didn't see any flooding, or storm damage. The roads didn't even get that wet.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX


Thoughts: I enjoyed seeing the thunderstorm clouds today. I wish I could have seen more rain from them though. That's ok. More rain chances ahead. As long as it's not very hot, then I am ok.


Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
825 AM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-181330-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Grimes-Harris-Houston-Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Wharton-
825 AM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be possible
through this evening. Some of these storms could produce locally
heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds. Funnel clouds are also
possible and...while many funnel clouds will never reach the
ground...there is always the possibility of any funnel touching
the ground to become a short lived tornado. Storm coverage will
likely decrease late this evening with the loss of daytime heating.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day. Some of these
storms could quickly strengthen and produce locally heavy rainfall
and gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter awareness during the day will be heightened throughout
the coming week.

$$

Sunday, July 16, 2017

Jul. 16 17

Tomball, TX, during the late morning.
The Woodlands, TX, during the late morning.
The Woodlands, TX, during the early evening.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Summary: The day was hot, dry, and sunny. Isolated light to moderate showers with a few heavy thunderstorms popped up in and around the Houston, TX area, during the afternoon and evening. There was also some isolated light to maybe moderate showers in and around the Houston, TX area, during the morning and night. I didn't see, feel, or hear any rain drops. Stratus and stratocumulus clouds looked to be scattered across the sky, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and maybe night. The wind speeds looked to be calm with maybe some gentle to moderate gusts. It felt warm during the early morning, late evening, and night. It very warm, becoming hot, during the mid-morning. It felt hot during the late morning and afternoon. It started to feel warm during the early evening. There was a Hazardous Weather Outlook issued for the Houston, TX area. There were no other watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temps looked to be in the 70's and the high temps looked to be in the 90's, for the Houston, TX area.

Storm Summary: I didn't hear any reports of flooding, or storm damage.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX, the Galleria in Houston, TX, Tomball, TX, Bellaire, TX, and maybe Klien, TX.


Thoughts: Still more rain chances ahead. It was a pretty hot day today in Houston, TX. 


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 170306
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1006 PM CDT Sun Jul 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A few showers noted over the western portions of the CWA this ev-
ening given the last gasps of boundary collisions. Not expecting
any more development over inland areas overnight, save for areas
right along the coast (as showers form across the coastal waters
and move onshore). Low/mid 70 dewpoints noted over much of SE TX
could translate to widespread patchy ground fog through sunrise.
Current grids look on track and no major changes planned at this
time. 41

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...  /ISSUED 402 PM CDT Sun Jul 16 2017/

A much quieter day with the only mentionable convection occurring
on opposing sides of the forecast area...Houston and
Matagorda/Brazoria County discrete thunderstorm cells. The main
threats with these storms have been bursts of lightning and short-
lived high rainfall rates that may have lead to nuisance flooding
of low lying areas and roadways. The lack of any appreciable
shortwave disturbance likely the reasoning for the slower day as
there has been no change to the thermo nor moisture profiles. Prog
soundings still depict 6 to 7 deg C sfc-3 km lapse rates with
above 2k CAPE/30-35 K indices/neg 5 to neg 8 Lifted
Indices...along with 1.8 to around 2.0 inch pwats over the next
couple of days. Thus...stability (or the lack thereof) and high
moisture will remain in the picture through the period with little
to no decline in the above numbers each subsequent day. So...the
driver to day-to-day convective areal coverage/behavior will be in
what can generate (weak) lift.

Texas will remain under the weak underside of Southern Plains ridging
that will allow weak eastern disturbances to travel in from the Gulf
or move down out of the Mississippi River Valley and around the eastern
flank of a 592-ish dam 5H high. This scenario will increase the overall
shower/storm coverage with these shortwave passages. If this occurs
during the overnight hours then the area can expect more isolated
to scattered activity. A daytime passage will pick up coverage to
more widespread to numerous cell behavior (think today for the
former...yesterday for the latter). Ordinary cells will flare up
during the late morning to early afternoon heat and this will
place mesoscale boundaries about for which new cells to propagate
and evolve upon. Weak winds within the column itself will equate
to slow storm motions and this will present issues with localized
high rain rates leading to short-lived flooding episodes. Bursts
of lightning within storms can be a precursor to downstream strengthening
but also serve as a reminder to go indoors until you can no longer
hear the thunder. The two elements of more folks outdoors and a
higher frequency of thunderstorms increase the probabilities of
having more lightning-related injuries and/or fatalities.

The extended solutions have the Central U.S. ridge expanding further
eastward into the Ohio river Valley by late week. This more
eastward than southward height increase will still place the Lone
Star in a relative weakness channel. So the good news is that we
will likely not be going into a prolonged dry pattern but the flip
side to this is that we may still have a series of days where
strong to possibly brief severe weather impacts us. Statistical
model guidance has around a 50 percent chance of daily precipitation
for the city...around 30 percent for our northern reaches and
40 to 50 percent for our coastal counties. No activity is forecast
in the tropics so there is no need to discuss the Florida-centering
of the upper ridge and the steering flow that comes with this
positioning right? This week`s temperature diurnal curve will
closely parallel climatology with a degree or three fluctuation
through Wednesday. Possibly late week stronger ridging and 85H
temperatures reaching 20 deg C leans this forecast towards near to
slightly above normal T values. 31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      74  93  75  94  75 /  10  40  20  40  10
Houston (IAH)              75  91  77  92  77 /  10  60  30  60  10
Galveston (GLS)            80  89  81  89  82 /  20  60  50  60  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
844 AM CDT Sun Jul 16 2017

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-171345-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Grimes-Harris-Houston-Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Wharton-
844 AM CDT Sun Jul 16 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be possible
through this evening. Some of these storms could produce locally
heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds. Funnel clouds are also
possible and...while many funnel clouds will never reach the
ground...there is always the possibility of any funnel touching
the ground to become a short lived tornado. Storm coverage will
likely decrease late this evening with the loss of daytime heating.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day. Some of these
storms could quickly strengthen and produce locally heavy rainfall
and gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter awareness during the day will be heightened throughout
the coming week.


$$