Saturday, October 31, 2020

Oct. 31 2020

 Summary: Small, white, high stratus clouds looked to be scattered across the sky, where I was in the Houston, TX area, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. I did not hear about or see any rain where I was in the Houston, TX area, during any time of the day. I believe there was an o percent chance for rain for the Houston, TX area. I did not see or feel any raindrops where I was in the Houston, TX area, during the morning, afternoon, evening, or night. It felt very cool, almost cold, during the early and maybe mid-morning. It started to feel very cool, almost cool/warm, during the late morning. It felt cool, almost warm, during the afternoon. It felt very cool, during the evening. It felt very cool, almost cold, during the night. The wind speeds were calm with maybe some moderate gusts. 

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 312336
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
636 PM CDT Sat Oct 31 2020

.AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]...

Generally light and variable winds overnight, with a solid veil of
cirrus expanding across the area towards morning. Some patchy fog
is possible for most, but the cirrus is likely to cut off fog
potential once it moves in, so LBX likely has the best chance to
see MVFR visibility. In the morning, expect north winds to
strengthen to around 10 knots, with gusts to near 20 knots for a
few hours in the afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 330 PM CDT Sat Oct 31 2020/...

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will continue to dominate through the day and night
as a reinforcing cool front moves through the CWA early tomorrow
morning. Some patchy fog is possible through the area ahead of the
cool front, but the shallow wedge of drier air will not provide
much immediate relief to the dissipation of the fog. Effects from
the passing of the frontal boundary will not be really seen until
tomorrow night when the high pressure driving it sets into the
area. Lower dewpoints and cooler temperatures will then be seen
across the CWA. 35

.SHORT TERM [Through Tomorrow night]...

Trick or treating weather looks great across SETX this year.
Temperatures around the time to get the kiddos out will be in the
mid to upper 60s with light southerly winds. Overnight lows are only
expected to be a few degrees cooler than that with southerly winds
lasting through the night. Tomorrow morning, the reinforcing cool
front will push through the CWA bringing some cooler and drier air
with it. Noticeable changes wont be see until tomorrow night and into
the start of next week. The high pressure driving the cool front
will then set in and bring the cooler and drier airmass. 35


.LONG TERM [Monday through Friday]...

The upcoming work week will be characterized by generally benign
weather, with dry and seasonable conditions persisting through the
duration of the extended forecast period. Behind the departure of
this evening`s cold front, global models remain in good agreement in
their depiction of upper ridging and persistent surface high
pressure developing over the south-central CONUS by Monday/Tuesday.
With this overall synoptic picture remaining generally steady
through the entirety of the coming week, we continue to anticipate
little in the way of active weather. Temperatures on Monday will be
slightly below climatological norms for early November, with highs
unlikely to reach much higher than 70 (normals are 77 at HOU, 76 at
CLL, and 76 at GLS). However, as the aforementioned surface high
begins to drift slightly to the east by mid-week, surface winds will
develop a more easterly component and temperatures will be on a
slight warming trend. By Wednesday, we return to more seasonable
values with most locations seeing the upper 70s.

Increasing low-level moisture towards the end of the week as winds
veer further east/southeastward will begin to create more favorable
conditions for diurnal streamer shower development offshore.
However, chances for any developing precip remain marginal (have
limited PoPs to below 20% over the offshore waters) and inland areas
should see little to no impact.

The tropics remain active with the latest NHC guidance indicating
that a tropical depression/storm is likely to form in the central
Caribbean in the near future. While this system does not pose a
direct threat to SE TX, we continue to monitor its development.
Remember- hurricane season lasts through the month of November.
Although we`re past the climatological peak of the season, it`s
still important to remain vigilant of the tropics.

Cady


.MARINE...

Light winds and calm seas through tomorrow. Tomorrow morning a
reinforcing cool front will push through the coastal waters
increasing winds and building seas. By late tomorrow, caution flag
will probably be needed due to winds and as seas build to advisory
levels tomorrow night with some isolated gusts reaching gale force
but will more than likely stay around advisory levels through
tomorrow afternoon. By midweek, winds will veer from the southeast
and onshore flow will return. Seas will stay around 3-4ft until the
end of the week, then build again to around 6ft at the end of the
week when a tropical system is expected to move to the east of the
area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  48  73  41  68  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)          51  75  48  68  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)        63  75  57  67  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...35
SHORT TERM...35
LONG TERM...Cady
AVIATION...Luchs
MARINE...35

Friday, October 30, 2020

Oct. 30 20

 Summary: The sky looked to be clear with maybe some possible altostratus clouds, during the day. I did not see or hear about any rain falling anywhere in the Houston, TX area, during any time of the day. I did not see or feel any raindrops, where I was during the day. The wind speeds were calm with maybe some moderate gusts. It felt cold during the early and mid-morning and night. It started to feel cool, during the late morning. It felt cool, during the afternoon. It started to feel very cool, during the evening.

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 310435
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1135 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2020

.DISCUSSION...

06Z Aviation...Light NE winds along the coast tonight, elsewhere
winds will be close to calm. Expect a light SE/S wind tomorrow
beginning late morning. Some thin high clouds are possible
tomorrow, but the atmosphere remains very dry. It is possible to
see a brief period of early morning MVFR BR at LBX/CXO, but
confidence is low on that happening. 33

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 733 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2020/

SHORT TERM (Tonight)...
Only change this evening to the ongoing forecast is to lower min
temps a few degrees in some areas tonight. Expecting ideal
radiational cooling conditions with the sfc ridge axis overhead,
clear skies, and very light winds in place overnight. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      44  72  50  73  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)              44  73  52  75  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)            58  72  61  74  57 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...33

Thursday, October 29, 2020

Oct. 29 30

 Summary: There were alto stratus clouds in the horizon on my way to work in the heights area, from where I live in Copperfield, during the early morning. Alto stratus clouds looked to be scattered across the sky, where I work in the heights area, during the mid and late morning, afternoon, and evening. The sky looked to be clear at my house in Copperfield, during the night. It felt cold, during the early morning and night. It was cold and windy during the mid and late morning and early afternoon. It started to feel very cool, almost cool, during the late afternoon, I think. It started to feel cold again during the late evening. The wind speeds were light with moderate gusts. No rain for the Houston, TX area that I know of during anytime of the day. I did not see, or feel any rain drops where I was, during anytime of the day.

Thoughts: So far I am really not enjoying this cold weather....

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 292325
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
625 PM CDT Thu Oct 29 2020

.DISCUSSION...

00Z AVIATION...Strato Cu deck between 2 and 3K covering the
northern areas. The southern edge is near IAH, should see this
cloud layer erode from the west later this evening. Winds will be
slow to relax this evening, but should by late evening for inland
areas. Expect NE winds tomorrow 5-10 kts. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      41  66  41  71  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)              46  69  38  72  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)            55  68  61  70  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for the
     following zones: Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT Friday for the following
     zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship
     Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island to
     Freeport TX out 20 NM...Waters from Freeport to Matagorda
     Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island
     to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Discussion...33

Oct. 28 20

  Summary: Low white and grey stratus clouds covered the whole sky during the morning. Low white and grey stratus clouds started to break up a bit covering only most of the sky during the afternoon, evening, and maybe night. The wind speeds were calm with maybe some occasional moderate gusts. Light to moderate and maybe moderately heavy showers fell where I live in Copperfield during the early morning and where I work in the heights area, during the mid and late morning and afternoon. It felt cold, during the early and mid-morning. It felt very cool, during the late morning and afternoon. It felt cold during the evening. It felt very cool, during the night. 

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 290444
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1144 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020

.AVIATION [06Z TAF Issuance]...
Clear skies tonight all sites. Fairly light winds inland but
remaining gusty at GLS...being downwind of West Bay...with less
friction and plenty of mixing with the cold air advecting over
the still warm water. On Thursday as strong upper low tracks West
to East across N TX...may see some clouds brush northern
sites...CLL and UTS...but likely still VFR there if they do
occur. Better cloud coverage should remain farther north. At all
sites do expect to see winds pick up considerably as surface
pressure gradient increases with surface high building in from the
NW. Looking at wind gusts in the late morning though afternoon
period to be mainly in the 20 to 30 knot range.

Reilly


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 1000 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020/...



.NEAR TERM [Tonight and Thursday]...
Clouds have pushed east of the forecast area with clear and cold
conditions across the area. Still seeing some strong winds over
the waters and downstream of the waters with places like GLS
gusting to 23 mph...higher gusts offshore. Will see a slight
slackening of the pressure gadient overnight then tightening and
an increase in winds tomorrow as the upper low moves east of the
area and trough on the back side pushes through from north to
south. Overall expect a mostly sunny...breezy and cool day
Thursday for the most part...except for some clouds over northern
zones associated with the upper level low.

Reilly


.SHORT TERM [Through Tomorrow]...

The surface front has passed through the CWA bringing the typical
northwesterly wind shift and cooler temperatures. Now we are
watching the 850mb front to push through and start to clear out the
skies. Currently that is located right about in the middle of the
CWA in a north to south orientation.  Through the evening and
overnight hours, cool dry air will push into the region clearing out
clouds, fog chances, and any weather to speak of. The only down fall
of this pattern now (if you want to find a downside) is going to be
the winds. While it has already been a bit breezy today with the
tighter gradient associated with the frontal boundary, tomorrow is
looking to be a bit windier. As the low currently in the TX
panhandle tracks along the TX/OK border tomorrow, a finger of the
upper level jet will be just along the northern portion of the CWA.
In the northern counties, close to wind advisory levels would not be
unexpected and decrease in speeds the closer to the coast; though
still looking like around 15mph sustained with higher gusts. Winds
will decrease late evening as the low track to the northeast
leaving a northerly breeze. 35


.LONG TERM [Tomorrow Night through Tuesday]...

We continue to anticipate an extended period of cool, dry, and
generally benign weather following the departure of today`s
stationary frontal boundary. Both the GFS and ECMWF solutions this
afternoon depict the development of a persistent upper ridge across
the south-central CONUS by Friday, providing us with our first
prolonged period of Autumn-like weather across SE Texas. It should
be a fairly pleasant weekend for outdoor activities, with clear
skies, daytime highs in the upper 60s to low 70s, and nighttime lows
in the 40s to low 50s. With northerly winds continuing to allow
crisp drier air to filter into the area and dew points staying
generally in the 40s, a light jacket may be a wise choice for an
evening stroll around the neighborhood or backyard campfire.

As surface high pressure shifts off to the east on Sunday, the
resultant return flow will promote slightly warmer temperatures and
higher (yet still relatively comfortable) dew points as afternoon
highs jump into the mid to upper 70s. This onshore flow regime will
be short lived, however, as a weak surface cold front will traverse
SE Texas late Sunday into early Monday. Beyond a return to northerly
flow, this FROPA will be largely uneventful as a general lack of
available moisture (total PWs < 1.0 in) will be unfavorable for
the development of any precipitation.

Pleasant, fall-like conditions continue into next week with daytime
highs returning to the upper 60s to low 70s and skies staying
generally clear. Our next chance for measurable rainfall may come
towards the end of next week with the redevelopment of an onshore
flow pattern, though it remains too early at this point to discuss
this with any degree of confidence.

Cady

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  39  60  44  68  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)          43  63  47  68  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)        51  66  53  65  60 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION through Thursday evening for
     the following zones: Matagorda Bay.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CDT Thursday for the following
     zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship
     Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island to
     Freeport TX out 20 NM...Galveston Bay...Waters from
     Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60
     NM...Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60
     NM.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Reilly
NEAR TERM...Reilly
SHORT TERM...35
LONG TERM...CADY
AVIATION...Reilly
MARINE...Reilly

Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Oct. 27 20

 Summary: White and grey, low stratus clouds covered the whole sky and sometimes only most of the sky at times, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. There might have been some light drizzle at my house in Copperfield and where I work in the heights area, during the morning. On and off light to moderate showers passed over where I work in the heights area, during the afternoon. A moderately heavy shower passed over where I work in the heights area, during the early evening. I passed through a few moderately heavy showers on my way to pick up cats from a foster in Sugarland then to return crates and say goodbye to a foster in Bellaire and then to drop off the foster cats at the Petsmart in Katy, TX, during the early night. I did not see any more rain after the early night, except for maybe a few on and off light drops of drizzle. The wind speeds were calm with maybe some occasional moderate gusts. It felt cool, during the early morning. It started to warm up to feeling only a little cool, almost warm, during the mid-morning. It felt only a little cool, almost warm, during the late morning, afternoon, and early evening. It started to feel very cool, almost cold, during the late evening. It felt very cool, almost cold, during the late night.

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 272328
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
628 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020

.AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]...

Going to be a messy forecast for the next 18 to 24 hours as a
stalled front sits across the area sliding east to west and then
back to east. MVFR CIGS across the coast will dip back into IFR
conditions by later this evening, then IFR CIGS of 500-700ft will
blanket the area through the night. Scattered showers and patchy
fog will be possible through tomorrow morning. The final push of
the cold front will move through tomorrow afternoon with VFR
conditions spreading west to east between 21z and 03z. Then VFR
conditions look to stay in place for at least the next couple of
days.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 351 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020/...

.DISCUSSION...

Southeast Texas remains split by a stalled front, with
temperatures only reaching the mid 40s in Burleson County, while
the Galveston Bay area is seeing temperatures reach the middle to
upper 70s. A reinforcing push to shove the front off the coast is
coming tomorrow, but until then, look for continued dreary
conditions for most of the area.

The upper low that will help get the front moving again will also
increase chances that our clouds/fog/mist/drizzle/muck/gross/you
get the picture will manage to become rain showers, so look for
PoPs to be considerably higher tomorrow.

Finally, once a drier airmass settles in behind a fully cleared
front, we should see fairer weather make its way into Southeast
Texas. While we`ll finish this week still fairly cool, expect
things to gradually warm into next week.




.SHORT TERM [Through Wednesday Night]...

Bit of an interesting quirk to the weather today...one that
ultimately caused me to mess up my aviation forecast in the
Houston area. The stalled front around Houston grew relatively
diffuse, and the low clouds and fog in the post-frontal
environment grew to cover right down to the coast. While I
forecasted some improvement in conditions this afternoon, the
atmosphere had a twist for me - convection associated with, but on
the extreme edge of TS Zeta`s influence essentially collided with
the front and shoved some of that pre-frontal airmass back across
the Houston metro!

Now, this happened late enough, winds are still northerly due to
Zeta`s circulation, and it remained mostly cloudy (just at a much
higher altitude), that sensible weather in the area isn`t much
different from the forecast for anyone not flying a plane. But it
did require a big TAF amendment, and was at least fairly
interesting (if annoying) to watch occur.

Now, an interesting quirk doesn`t necessarily mean long lasting,
so I`m expecting things to wash out fairly quickly tonight as an
upper low makes its way from El Paso to West Texas/the Panhandle
on its way northeast, while Zeta accelerates northward across the
Gulf. We should find ourselves back in muck pretty quickly, with
plenty of low clouds and fog for all. Later in the night into
tomorrow morning, as these two weathermakers make their closest
approach to SE Texas, we should see enough lift that we`ll
transition from foggy/misty/drizzly more to rain showers. It`s
already happening over the Gulf where there`s some decent
convection, so here`s hoping that`s a strong sign this process is
already set in motion.

Finally, as stronger offshore flow rolls in as the upper low rolls
on by to our northwest, we should see a deeper push of continental
air - and likely a dry slot - shove on in late Wednesday afternoon
into Wednesday evening, boosting cloud bases, scouring out
moisture, and getting us started on a long stretch of fairer
weather. But more on that in the long term section.


.LONG TERM [Thursday Through Tuesday]...

With the main upper trof/closed low having exited the state (to the
E/NE), the main forecast issue for Thurs looks to be elevated winds
(especially across the southern half of the CWFA including the Gulf
waters). Conditions should improve by Fri as the upper ridge begins
to build from the west...and surface high pressure settles over the
state. Below average temperatures on Thur/Fri are expected to begin
warming over the weekend as light onshore winds return to the area.
Another cold front is forecast to move through SE TX Sun...but with
very low/nil POPs given the very limited return moisture. This cool
dry weather should continue on into the start of next week.


.MARINE...

Would normally have a SCEC out on the Gulf for winds today and
tonight, but since they only appear in the CWF text product, and
that headline gets trumped by the Small Craft Advisory in place
for tomorrow`s Zeta/cold front combo, have opted to leave it off.
I imagine that it`s probably already pretty obvious to mariners
that conditions on the Gulf today are probably not too great out
there.

While I haven`t gone as high as some guidance suggests, have
definitely trended towards the stronger end of the model envelope
for winds behind the cold front Wednesday and Wednesday night.
For Thursday and beyond, look for northwesterly winds to gradually
veer northerly, then northeasterly through the weekend while
staying generally moderate. The pressure gradient may tighten up
enough for some periods of gustier winds early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  45  56  43  64  44 /  60  60   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)          60  66  49  66  49 /  60  60   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)        70  72  55  69  55 /  50  60   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION from Wednesday morning
     through Thursday morning for the following zones: Galveston
     Bay...Matagorda Bay.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday
     for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to
     Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from
     High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM...Waters from Freeport
     to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from
     High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Luchs
SHORT TERM...Luchs
LONG TERM...41
AVIATION...Fowler
MARINE...Luchs

Monday, October 26, 2020

Oct. 26 20

 Summary: Cloudy during the morning and mostly cloudy during the afternoon, evening, and night. Some pockets of drizzle and light to maybe moderate rain in the Houston, TX area during the day. Warm during the late morning and evening. Maybe a little cool during the early and mid-morning. Very cool, almost cold during the night.

Sunday, October 25, 2020

Oct. 25 20

 Summary: The day started out cloudy and then the clouds started to break apart sometime during the afternoon. Low white and grey stratus clouds looked to be widely scattered across the sky through the rest of the day, I think. The wind speeds were light with moderate gusts. It felt a little cool, during the morning, evening, and night. It felt warm during the afternoon. A moderate drizzle was falling while on my way to my sister's house in the heights with my mom, during the mid-morning. 

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 252349
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
649 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2020

.AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]...

Light to moderate southeasterly flow will continue through the
period with lighter winds developing overnight tonight and the
moderate winds of 10 to 15 mph developing tomorrow afternoon.
Like last night, MVFR to IFR CIGs of 700 to 1500 ft will develop
across the area by the late evening and continuing through mid-
morning tomorrow. Areas north of I-10 will have the better chance
of getting IFR CIGs compared to the southern portion of the area.
Patchy fog will also be an issue for a few hours overnight,
especially at CXO, UTS, and maybe even IAH.

Fowler

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 335 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2020/...

.SHORT TERM [Through Tomorrow night]...

Tonight will be another cloudy and misty night with low stratus and
some chances of drizzle in some areas. Ridging continues to move
into the CWA and winds will stay easterly to southeasterly through
tomorrow night. Tomorrow will not be much different from today aside
from some warmer conditions with a warm front passing through the
area. Most of the CWA will reach the 80s tomorrow afternoon with
some higher dew points. Tuesday night will be a bit strange. A cool
front is expecting to stall midway through the CWA that could leave
College Station reaching the upper 40s, Houston Metro area in the
low 60s and Galveston in the mid 70s. This is based on the ridge
currently over us now moving to the east and being blocked by TS
Zeta in eastern LA. Exact timing of the frontal passage is still
uncertain, but drier and cooler temperatures will be behind the
front.  35


.LONG TERM [Tuesday through Sunday]...

The main consistency with the long-term portion of the forecast does
seem to be its inconsistency. The slow moving cold front that was to
push across SE TX late Mon is now forecast to stall either NW of the
CWA or over the NW/W portions of the CWA on Tues, then tracking back
to the north by Tues night. The brief (or partial) foray of the cold
front into SE TX could have quite the potential for wild temperature
busts for these locations. Otherwise, the proximity of this boundary
should be a focus for isolated/widely scattered activity across much
of the area on Tues.

One of the main reasons for this cold front slowing/stalling appears
to be the very same thing that`s helping to keep Tropical Storm Zeta
away from the TX coast - the strong upper trof/closed low deepening/
approaching from the W/NW on Tues. As this upper level system begins
to move across the state on Weds (and TS Zeta approaches the central
Gulf coast), the strengthening onshore winds/increased Gulf moisture
should support elevated POPs across SE TX on Weds. Then as the upper
trof/low lifts out to the NE, the cold front should push through the
CWA by Weds night. Cool/dry weather is expected the remainder of the
week with slowly warming temperatures by next weekend. 41


.MARINE...

Onshore flow strengthens through out the rest of the day bordering,
with speeds high enough to justify SCS for the southwestern coastal
waters from 1am-10am tomorrow morning. Tomorrow, winds will begin to
shift more easterly, weakening the onshore flow. Wednesday morning
wind speeds increase as a cold front passes through the coastal
waters. Seas are anticipated to build as well and a Small Craft
Advisory will likely be needed for the coastal waters through
thursday morning. Also, on Wednesday TS Zeta is expected to pass in
neighboring waters into eastern LA. At this time, ridging to the
east of the CWA will ensure the turn away for the SETX coast, but
mariners should closely monitor the forecast for TS Zeta that is
forecasted to reach hurricane strength upon entering the GOM. Prior
to landfall, it is anticipated that Zeta will weaken to just below
hurricane strength. After that, by around Friday, seas will subside
to the 3-4ft range and winds northerly around 15kts. 35

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  68  80  48  68  56 /  10  40  40  30  40
Houston (IAH)          68  80  61  78  66 /  10  10  20  20  40
Galveston (GLS)        74  77  73  78  73 /   0  10  20  20  40

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION from 1 AM CDT Monday through
     Monday morning for the following zones: Coastal waters from
     Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Waters
     from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$