Northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-morning, on my way to the pet resort that I work for in southeast Houston, TX, from where I live in northwest Houston, TX.
Driving north up 288, during the mid-afternoon, on my way to where I live in northwest Houston, TX, from the pet resort that I work for in southeast Houston, TX.
Still driving north up 288, during the late afternoon, on my way to where I live in northwest Houston, TX, from the pet resort that I work for in southeast Houston, TX.
Driving west down 529, during the late afternoon, on my way to where I live in northwest Houston, TX, from the pet resort that I work for in southeast Houston, TX.
Driving west down 529, during the early evening, on my way to where I live in northwest Houston, TX, from the pet resort that I work for in southeast Houston, TX.
Houston, TX radar, during the early night.
Houston, TX radar, during the late night.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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992 FXUS64 KHGX 240257 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 957 PM CDT Mon Jul 23 2018 .UPDATE... Not much was changed from the previous forecast. Still carrying 20% chance for precip overnight into Tuesday morning as a frontal boundary sags into the area. Satellite shows mid level cloud cover increasing as mid level moistening occurs ahead of this boundary. Short term guidance keeps suggesting that some showers and storms could develop, but the real question is whether or not the low levels will moisten enough to let the precip reach the ground. So for now, isolated development is possible, but confidence in any accumulation is pretty low. 11 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 625 PM CDT Mon Jul 23 2018/ DISCUSSION... 00Z Aviation...Added VCSH to the TAFS for late tonight and tomorrow. Mid-level moisture increases and lowers as an upper level disturbance moves across. Expect to see scattered high based showers generally in the 06Z to 18Z window. There is a small chance of some TSRA, but not very confident on the TSRA at this time. A weak front will move into and across the area later this evening and early tomorrow from the N/NE to the S/SW. Therefore, we will see E/NE winds areawide tomorrow. 33 PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 PM CDT Mon Jul 23 2018/ NEAR TERM [Through Tuesday]... So the answer to the question "Are we going to issue another heat advisory for tomorrow" is no. But today it is looking like the area will experience heat index values topping out in the 107 to 110 range as expected. Mixing of drier air has happened but not as much in some areas. Temperatures have responded increasing into the mid 90s to low 100s from the coast towards the Brazos Valley. The Houston area is pretty solid in the 105 to 106 heat index value territory and could go higher over the next couple of hours. Galveston is the place not in the 90s but that 80F dewpoint makes it feel like 106F. Galveston does have a nice 15 mph breeze but not sure how much that helps. Surface analysis shows a slow moving frontal boundary stretching across central Texas into east Texas. This boundary does push through the area with NE winds behind it later tonight into Tuesday. There is also some weak vorticity from a dissipated MCS over the Red River that could track towards SE Texas tonight. Forecast will have some slight thunderstorm chances for tonight into tomorrow with the front mainly. Isolated strong storm could develop this evening for areas north of Conroe with maybe additional development after midnight. There could be some stronger wind gusts or small hail with these storms but mainly just sub severe winds, brief heavy rain and lightning as threats. HREF model data shows some decent consistency with these storm chances but not as robust with the latest HRRR runs. Heat index values will vary from SW to NE across the area on Tuesday. We may need an advisory for areas SW of Houston but there is enough uncertainty to not issue an advisory for tomorrow. Heat index values could still reach low 100s with high temperatures in the mid 90s. LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Monday]... Overall it looks like the long wave jet stream pattern of the ridge over the Desert SW/S Rockies and general troughing east of the Rockies will hold through the next week. This should help out temperatures but still upper 90s will be hot. Heat index values will be closer to 102-106 instead of flirting with 107-110 like the last few days. Rain chances look minimal outside of the chances for Tuesday. But forecast models are brining a stronger short wave into the main trough this coming Sunday into Monday. A front with this system looks decent enough to push into the area and introduce some thunderstorm chances. Otherwise there does not appear to be any good chance of easing summer time dry/drought conditions. Overpeck MARINE... Light to moderate S/SW winds to prevail this evening with additional weakening expected overnight with the approach of a weak front (from the NE). The boundary is forecast to reach the bays/nearshore waters early Tue night and then into the offshore waters early Wed morning. Very light NE winds to develop behind this line through Wed evening. Onshore winds to return by Thurs...and slowly strengthen through the end of the week into the weekend. Not anticipating any advisories or caution flags through this forecast period. 41 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 103 79 97 76 99 / 0 20 20 10 10 Houston (IAH) 99 80 96 77 98 / 0 20 20 10 10 Galveston (GLS) 90 82 91 81 90 / 0 10 20 10 10 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$ Discussion...11
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 600 AM CDT Mon Jul 23 2018 TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313- 335>338-436>438-241100- Austin-Brazoria Islands-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Coastal Brazoria- Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson- Coastal Matagorda-Colorado-Fort Bend- Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-Grimes-Houston- Inland Brazoria-Inland Galveston-Inland Harris-Inland Jackson- Inland Matagorda-Madison-Matagorda Islands-Montgomery- Northern Liberty-Polk-San Jacinto-Southern Liberty-Trinity-Walker- Waller-Washington-Wharton- 600 AM CDT Mon Jul 23 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight High temperatures today will approach 100-104 degrees inland with heat index values of 108 degrees or higher at times. A Heat Advisory remains in effect through 9 PM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Hot temperatures will return to the southern portions of the region again Tuesday. A heat advisory may be needed for the southern portions of the area. A weak cold front on Tuesday will bring slightly cooler temperatures and possibly a few showers or thunderstorms to the region. Heat will return Wednesday and linger into next weekend. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. $$
Locations: Northwest, southwest, southeast, the heights, and downtown Houston, TX.
Thoughts: Well today felt like the hottest day of summer for Houston, TX so far with tied records at most locations in Houston, TX, except for Hobby Airport that recorded a record high of 100 degrees. The temperatures although hot, look to be a little cooler over the next couple of weeks. I am hoping Houston, TX gets some rain, or something to cool these temperatures down real soon.
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