Jun. 22 18

Houston, TX radar, during the late morning.

Houston, TX radar, during the early afternoon.

West Houston, TX, during the late afternoon, on my way to where I live in northwest Houston, TX, after dropping my little sister off at a hair cutting place, to get her hair cut with my mom, who was also at the hair cutting place.

Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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---

000
FXUS64 KHGX 230316
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1016 PM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Made just a few minor changes to grids...mainly going with a more
optimistic sky cover grid as sky fairly clear at the moment.
Should be clear most of the night with a lower deck forming
overnight. Should be precip free rest of the night and Saturday as
well. Did get at or above 108 degrees F for several sites in and
around metro houston late this afternoon for a few hours...and
will have to carefully evaluate heat indices for tomorrow to see
if a heat advisory may be needed. At the moment forecast is too
stay just below. In either case...whether we meet or stay just
below criteria...the main weather feature for the next several
days will be the heat and humidity.

18

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 617 PM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018/

DISCUSSION...

00Z Aviation...Expect to see areas of MVFR ceilings form late
tonight/early tomorrow. Surface winds will be a little higher
tonight compared to last night, so do not expect much
fog to form. Expect a breezy day tomorrow with southerly winds
increasing in the morning to around 15 knots and gusty. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      76  95  76  94  76 /   0   0  10  20   0
Houston (IAH)              78  93  78  93  78 /  10  10  10  20  10
Galveston (GLS)            82  86  82  88  82 /  10  10  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...99

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
346 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-
335>338-436>438-230900-
Austin-Brazoria Islands-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Coastal Brazoria-
Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-
Coastal Matagorda-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-Grimes-Houston-
Inland Brazoria-Inland Galveston-Inland Harris-Inland Jackson-
Inland Matagorda-Madison-Matagorda Islands-Montgomery-
Northern Liberty-Polk-San Jacinto-Southern Liberty-Trinity-Walker-
Waller-Washington-Wharton-
346 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Heat will return to the region today. High temperatures will warm
into the middle 90s today but factoring in the humidity will make
it feel like it is between 103 and 107 degrees. Please exercise
caution if outdoors today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Heat index values may peak in the 102 to 108 degree range on
Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX.


Thoughts: The day was mostly sunny, dry, and hot. No rain that I know of in any of the locations within the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. A nice break for Houston that had gotten a lot of rain recently.

June. 21 18

River Flood Warning issued for a river in the Houston, TX area, during the early morning.

Houston, TX radar, during the early morning.

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning, on my way to the pet resort that I work for in southeast Houston, TX, from where I live in northwest Houston, TX.

Houston, TX radar, during the late morning.

The heights area of Houston, TX, I think, during the late afternoon, on my way to where I live in northwest Houston, TX, from the pet resort that I work for in southeast Houston, TX.

Houston, TX radar, during the early evening.

At a Shell gas station on Hempstead, during the early evening, eating Wendy's for lunch.

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening, on my way to where I live in northwest Houston, TX.

Houston, TX radar, during the early night.

Locations: Northwest, southwest, southeast, the heights, and downtown Houston, TX.

Thoughts: The last remnants of moisture from the tropical wave that had been over the Houston, TX area the last couple of days brought another round of light to moderately heavy rain with some heavy rain, before leaving the Houston, TX area completely during the night. 

Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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---

000
FXUS64 KHGX 220423
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1123 PM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...

06Z Aviation...Still seeing widespread cirrus clouds moving west
to east across SE TX. A few patches of low clouds near the coast,
but not any extending inland yet. Expect some areas of MVFR and
possibly IFR ceilings to form toward morning, but not as confident
as earlier on the extent of the coverage based on the latest
guidance. So I have opted for a TEMPO MVFR ceilings at many inland
TAF sites. Some patchy MVFR fog areas are possible as well toward
morning...but the thick cirrus should keep the fog patchy. 33

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1014 PM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Made a few slight adjustments to grids with this update taking
precip chances out for the night based on radar trends and loss of
daytime heating. Remains extremely humid with dewpts in the mid
to upper 70s. Wouldnt be suprised some patchy fog in spots but
higher clouds an inhibiting factor. Models show ridging and drying
tomorrow so any shower and thunderstorm activity should be much
more limited. Kept 20 percent pops in for Friday afternoon with
max heating for possibility of isolated convection. 18

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 613 PM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018/

DISCUSSION...

00Z Aviation...A quiet radar this evening with just a couple
showers located south of CLL. The main concern for the next 24
hrs is the formation of low clouds in the MVFR/IFR range in the 8Z
to 14Z window. Have opted to include a ceiling of 1000 feet at
most inland TAF sites by 10Z based on model guidance and given the
abundant low-level moisture that is present. Could also see
patchy MVFR fog late tonight/early tomorrow as well. 33

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      76  96  75  96  77 /  10  10  10  10  10
Houston (IAH)              77  95  77  94  79 /  20  20  10  10  10
Galveston (GLS)            81  88  81  89  82 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...33

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
356 AM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-
335>338-436>438-220900-
Austin-Brazoria Islands-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Coastal Brazoria-
Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-
Coastal Matagorda-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-Grimes-Houston-
Inland Brazoria-Inland Galveston-Inland Harris-Inland Jackson-
Inland Matagorda-Madison-Matagorda Islands-Montgomery-
Northern Liberty-Polk-San Jacinto-Southern Liberty-Trinity-Walker-
Waller-Washington-Wharton-
356 AM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms today will be capable of producing
locally heavy rain across Southeast Texas. This threat is expected
to diminish by this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Heat index values may peak in the 102 to 108 degree range Friday,
Saturday, and Sunday across Southeast Texas. A Heat Advisory may
be needed at some point this weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report rain totals or any flooding
observed to the National Weather Service.

$$

Mar. 31 18

River Warnings issued for the Houston, TX area, from previous days rains, during the early morning.

Driving on 610, I think, near downtown Houston, TX, during the early morning, on my way to the pet resort that I work at in southeast Houston, TX, from where I live in northwest Houston, TX.

At the pet resort that I work at in southeast Houston, TX, during early morning.

At the pet resort that I work at in southeast Houston, TX, during the mid-morning.

West Houston, TX, near the Town and Country Center, I am pretty sure, during the mid-afternoon, getting Quizno's for lunch, I believe.

West Houston, TX, near the Town and Country Center, I am pretty sure, during the late afternoon.

Locations: Northwest, southwest, southeast, west, downtown, and maybe the heights area of Houston, TX.

Thoughts: Too long ago for me to remember. The day was sunny, dry, and very warm, maybe hot, I believe.

Jun. 11 18

Houston, TX radar, during the early morning.

Houston, TX radar, during the mid-morning.

Southeast Houston, TX, during the late afternoon, at the pet resort that I work for, I think.

West Park Tollway, I think, in , or maybe near west, or southwest Houston, TX, during the early evening, on my way to visit my friend at his house in Cypress, TX, from the pet resort that I work for in southeast Houston, TX.

Cypress, TX, I am pretty sure, during the early evening, still on my way to visit my friend at his house in Cypress, TX.

Houston, TX radar, during the early night.

Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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---

540
FXUS64 KHGX 120244
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
944 PM CDT Mon Jun 11 2018

.UPDATE...
Fairly quiet night is in store for the area. The previous forecast
appears to be on track, and only minor adjustments were made to
account for current observations.

11

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 643 PM CDT Mon Jun 11 2018/

AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]...

Storms over central Texas have dissipated so we will likely see
VFR conditions going into the overnight. Like last night there
will be a mix of MVFR/VFR decks beginning 07-09Z mainly for
KCLL/KUTS/KCXO and perhaps KIAH/KSGR. KLBX may also have some
higher MVFR ceilings but could be more transient. Upper level
short wave trough over the area now should weaken and combine with
a broader trough over the Gulf. Overall think this will limit the
chances for convection with large scale lift decreasing and
moisture looks to decrease as well with PWAT dropping to below 1.5
inches by tomorrow evening. There still may be some 20 knot wind
gusts tomorrow afternoon but likely just fair weather cumulus.

Overpeck

PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 340 PM CDT Mon Jun 11 2018/...

DISCUSSION...
Status quo through mid week with all eyes on the extended forecast
this weekend. Whatever evolves out of the Caribbean sea looks to
bring increased moisture and rain chances to the region into early
next week.

NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
Convection is struggling to maintain itself over the Piney Woods,
likely owing to the presence of a capping inversion located between
800-750 MB on aircraft soundings out of Houston. Afternoon visible
satellite does show some enhancement in altocumulus over Central
Texas, likely enhanced by a compact shortwave trough drifting
towards the ArkLaTex. Will need to keep an eye on this activity
heading into the evening hours as high resolution guidance is
attempting to bring at least decaying remnants of this activity
into the Brazos Valley as it appears to be forced at a level above
the capping inversion and should be unaffected by the cap. Cannot
rule out a quick shot of rain for a few lucky folks through early
evening as a result, but dry conditions will be the rule for most
this evening.

Isentropic upglide will again produce periods of low stratus
overnight across the region, helping to keep overnight lows in the
mid 70s to lower 80s. Despite lighter southerly surface winds
tonight, near surface winds in the 15-20 knot range should provide
enough mechanical mixing to mitigate against light fog outside of
sheltered or low-lying areas.

SHORT TERM [Tuesday Through Wednesday Night]...
More of the same Tuesday into Thursday with warm and humid
conditions holding each day, with a slight chance of afternoon
showers/thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday. Mostly sunny skies
will once again bring sufficient mixing to support generally 10-15
mph onshore winds which will help the afternoon heat somewhat.

LONG TERM [Thursday Through Monday]...
As a plume of tropical moisture overspreads the region, chances
for some much needed rain will increase late this week and
increase further into early next week. Much of this depends on
the evolution of tropical wave being monitored by NHC for possible
development over the next 5 days as it moves across the Caribbean
and into the southern Gulf of Mexico. Currently NHC has a low
probability (20% chance) of a distinct surface low
forming/closing-off, although models show more agreement in
influx of deep moisture and increasing rain chances over se TX,
specifically Sunday into Monday. Clouds and rain chances will
lower temps a bit in the extended at least.

MARINE...
Persistent onshore flow will support maintaining exercise caution
wording for offshore waters with slightly elevated winds/seas
through daybreak tomorrow. We should see onshore winds gradually
diminish into the mid-week. In the later periods, mostly Friday
through the weekend, we could see conditions gradually worsen with
increased long-swell and rain/tstm chances. Details of these
conditions will depend on how anything develops in the
southern/western Gulf this weekend.

TROPICAL...
Not a whole lot to add here, although all eyes are monitoring the
disturbed area moving across the Caribbean sea early this week, as
highlighted by latest 5 day graphical outlook from NHC (20%
probability of development in next 5 days). Considerable
uncertainty remains at this time with this `system` given lack of
any real consensus of a closed low forming in the operational
models. However, more there is a more consistent signal bringing
a fetch of deep moisture and increase in offshore winds across
the western Gulf this weekend. Therefore, rainfall chances are
increasing Sunday into Monday- some of which could be heavy. The
details are too murky to have any confidence in specifics given
the extended range of these possible impacts, however.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      77  96  73  94  73 /  20  10  10  20  10
Houston (IAH)              78  95  75  92  75 /  10  20   0  20  10
Galveston (GLS)            83  91  82  86  81 /  10  10  10  20  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Rip Current Risk until midnight CDT tonight for the
     following zones: Brazoria Islands...Galveston Island and
     Bolivar Peninsula...Matagorda Islands.

GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 4 AM CDT Tuesday for
     the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to
     Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from
     High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM...Waters from Freeport
     to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from
     High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Discussion...11

Locations: Northwest, southwest, southeast, and maybe west Houston, TX, Katy, TX, Fulshear, TX, and Cypress, TX.

Thoughts: The day was sunny, mostly cloudy, dry, and hot. There is some rain in the forecast for the Houston, TX area, late this week. I am hoping to see some more rain. Summer time rain is one of my favorite types of weather. Especially since it cools things down.

Jun. 9 18

Houston, TX radar, during the early morning.

Houston, TX radar, during the late morning.

Houston, TX radar, during the early afternoon.

West Houston, TX, during the early afternoon, waiting for my mom to finish shopping with my older sister, at the Town and Country Center.

West Houston, TX, during the early afternoon, at my dad's store, waiting for the alterations store to let me in and alter my suit for my older sisters wedding.

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon, on my way back to my house with my mom, from my dad's store and the alterations store.

A severe thunderstorm warning and special weather statement issued for parts of the Houston, TX area, during the mid-afternoon.

Houston, TX radar, during the mid-afternoon.

Houston, TX radar, during the late afternoon.

Houston, TX radar, during the early evening.

Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX.

Thoughts: I enjoyed the scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Jun. 8 18

Northwest, maybe north Houston, TX, during the late morning.

Houston, TX radar, during the early afternoon.

North Houston, TX, during the early afternoon, at a Hyatt Regency hotel, about to leave, after volunteering to help The Houston Cat Club setup for a CFA cat show.

North, or maybe northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon, getting gas at a gas station.

Houston, TX radar, during the mid-afternoon.

Northwest, or maybe north Houston, TX, during the mid-afternoon.

Northwest Houston, TX, I think, during the mid-afternoon, at my house, I think.

Houston, TX radar, during the late afternoon.

Northwest Houston, TX, during the late afternoon, at my house.

Houston, TX radar, during the early evening.

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening, at my house.

Houston, TX radar, during the late evening.

Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening, at my house.

Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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---

000
FXUS64 KHGX 090450
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1150 PM CDT Fri Jun 8 2018

.AVIATION...
Little change in the 06Z update. VFR conditions will continue
through the morning hours. CLL still stands the best chance of
some potential MVFR ceilings in the early morning. LBX, SGR, and
CXO also may see ceilings lower along with some patchy fog around
09Z once the wind speeds become more light and variable. Have
lowered CXO visibilities slightly based on low level moisture and
winds becoming light to calm in the early morning. Southeast
winds should turn out of the south in the afternoon and increase
to 7-11 kts. Based on short-term model guidance trends have also added
VCSH at the metro and coastal TAF sites beginning late morning
and through the afternoon hours.

Hathaway

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 924 PM CDT Fri Jun 8 2018/

DISCUSSION...

Isolated showers and storms have dissipated. The current forecast
is on track. The only update is to adjust hourly temps and cloud
cover to the near term trends. 33

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 706 PM CDT Fri Jun 8 2018/

AVIATION...
Radar imagery this evening shows the remaining showers fizzling
out over southeast Texas. VFR conditions can be expected across
most of the terminals overnight and through the morning hours. CLL
still stands the best chance of some potential MVFR ceilings in
the early morning, similar to yesterday. LBX, SGR, and CXO also
may see ceilings lower along with some patchy fog around 09Z once
the wind speeds become more light and variable. Shortly after
sunrise, winds should turn from out of the southeast and by the
afternoon southerly winds should increase to 7-11 kts. Short term
guidance hints at isolated SHRA development near some of the
Houston metro sites and further west over LBX and SGR tomorrow.
Have included VCSH at LBX, SGR, and IAH for now beginning late
morning and through the afternoon hours.

Hathaway

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      97  73  94  74  93 /  10  10  10  10  20
Houston (IAH)              95  74  93  75  92 /  20  10  20  10  30
Galveston (GLS)            88  80  87  81  87 /  20  10  20  10  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...33
Aviation/Marine...08

Locations: Northwest and north Houston, TX.

Thoughts: A relatively dry, hot, and sunny day, apart from the isolated 

showers and thunderstorms. A isolated thunderstorm passed near my house 

with lots of low rumbles of thunder and maybe a few lightning strikes

with a brief light sprinkle, during the early evening.