Northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-afternoon, at Burlington Coat Factory getting clothes for my older sisters wedding with my mom.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-afternoon, getting gas at a Shell gas station.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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705 FXUS64 KHGX 060240 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 940 PM CDT Tue Jun 5 2018 .UPDATE... Temperatures still plenty warm at 900 PM with temps currently in the mid/upper 80s. Winds have been slow to decouple and the pressure gradient is still kind of tight across the middle coast into east Texas. The winds will eventually weaken and clouds will begin to fill in over the W-NW parts of the region. Would not be surprised if some patchy shallow ground fog also briefly developed toward sunrise. The few storms that managed to develop have since waned with the loss of daytime heating. However, the boundary that the storms fired on continues to languish over extreme east Texas. The 00Z HiRes ARW continues to suggest that this boundary will become active between around 21z and this is supported by the HiRes NMM. The new 00z NAM is coming in dry but breaking things apart via fcst soundings shows some potential for storms with steeep lapse rates, little to no capping and convective temperatures in the lower/middle 90s. Updated some hourly T,Td and sky grids and added some patchy fog to the weather grids. Won`t touch Wednesday until more 00z data arrives. 43 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 646 PM CDT Tue Jun 5 2018/ AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]... VFR conditions should remain across all TAF sites until the early morning hours, when patchy stratus should develop similar to this morning. Holding on to MVFR ceilings beginning around 09Z and lasting until 15Z mainly at the inland terminals, before rising and beginning to mix out with the help of daytime heating. Patchy stratus should be shorter lived at the sites closer to and along the coast. Light south/southeasterly winds will veer southwesterly shortly after sunrise, before increasing to 7-11 kts by the afternoon hours. Spotty showers will be possible mainly east of I-45 tomorrow afternoon, associated with a weak disturbance that slides south across the region around the upper-level ridge. Have not included the mention of VCSH in the eastern TAF sites such as UTS and CXO as best coverage still appears well east of these sites. Will continue to monitor trends in short term model guidance and make any necessary changes regarding precipitation development in the 06Z TAF package. Hathaway PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 354 PM CDT Tue Jun 5 2018/... SHORT TERM [Wednesday Through Thursday Night]... Upper level pattern tomorrow has the short wave trough to the east over Louisiana moving into the Northern Gulf on Wednesday. Upper level ridging remains over Mexico into west Texas leaving northerly flow aloft from north Texas to the NW Gulf. Forecasters are always a little leary of NW/N flow aloft patterns as jet streaks and vorticity maximum can sneak into the flow and initiate convection that was not previously forecast. Forecast will keep 20/30 PoPs for Wednesday due to this pattern mainly for afternoon convection. Synoptic and mesoscale models only produce isolated if any convection tomorrow even with moderate instability, little capping and 1.5-1.7 precipitable water values. SPC keeps area in a general thunderstorm risk given the stalled outflow and frontal boundary along with the northerly flow. Again should a storm form, it looks like hail and damaging winds will be main threat given instability and inverted V sounding profile in the boundary layer. Thursday it looks like there will be more subsidence from being on the back side of the trough and getting closer to the upper level ridge building over west Texas. LONG TERM [Friday Through Tuesday]... Overall the upper level ridging expands over Texas but remains somewhat weak. This does open the opportunity for thunderstorm chances. Models hit Sunday harder of all of the days going forward but there is no strong signal. Upper level support is not great for rain chances Sunday but will basically keep 20 PoPs going until there is a more substantial trend in the models. Even the GFS does not show much of an increase in precipitable water values during this time with 1.5-1.7 inches. Until there are better model trends and support for convection, best tactic will be to take forecasting convection as it comes in the near/short term leaning on synoptic/mesoscale analysis. Overpeck MARINE... The onshore flow should continue through the upcoming week. A common pattern of slightly stronger winds during night weakening during the morning then increasing again early evening should be repeating most of the upcoming 5 days. A surge of deeper moisture looks to take aim on the area late Saturday and through Sunday night with an increase in the chance of showers and possibly a few thunderstorms for the marine area. Not that an isolated shower is out of the realm of possibility in the intervening days but chances looks low. Seas should remain in the 1 to 3 feet nearshore and 2 to 4 offshore. Will keep an eye on a forecast area of showers and thunderstorms in the extreme northeastern region of the Gulf. No unusual tide issues expected this week. 45 FIRE WEATHER... Rain-free conditions should prevail across the southwest and for that matter outside the few areas that get much in the way of showers or thunderstorms across the east and Galveston Bay area. The point being that with little rain the drought conditions should gradually worsen over the coming week. Winds this coming week though should remain fairly restrained. 45 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 75 95 75 95 74 / 10 10 0 10 0 Houston (IAH) 78 95 76 94 75 / 20 20 0 10 10 Galveston (GLS) 81 90 81 90 81 / 10 20 10 10 10 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$ Discussion...43
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 339 AM CDT Tue Jun 5 2018 GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226- 227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>438-061200- Austin-Brazoria Islands-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Coastal Brazoria- Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson- Coastal Matagorda- Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM-Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM- Colorado-Fort Bend-Galveston Bay- Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-Grimes-Houston- Inland Brazoria-Inland Galveston-Inland Harris-Inland Jackson- Inland Matagorda-Madison-Matagorda Bay-Matagorda Islands- Montgomery-Northern Liberty-Polk-San Jacinto-Southern Liberty- Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington- Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM- Wharton- 339 AM CDT Tue Jun 5 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Shower and thunderstorm development will be possible, mainly to the north and east of a Midway to Lake Livingston line. Some of this activity might have the potential to become strong or severe. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall appear to be the main severe weather threats. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time. $$
Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.
Thoughts: The day was hot, sunny, and dry. I don't think there were any showers, or thunderstorms, but there might have been some isolated showers and thunderstorms in and around the Houston, TX area, sometime during the day.
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