Wednesday, May 16, 2018

May. 15 18

Northwest Houston, TX, during the late morning, on my way to pick up my friend from his house in northwest Houston.
Northwest Houston, TX. during the early afternoon, on my way back to my house in northwest Houston, TX, after dropping my friend off back at his house.
Northwest Houston, TX. during the mid-afternoon, on my way back to my house in northwest Houston, TX, after dropping my friend off back at his house.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening, at my house.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: The day was hot, sunny, and dry.


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 152353
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
653 PM CDT Tue May 15 2018

.AVIATION...
VFR. Thinning evening cirrus blow off from northwestern convection
over Central Texas with a light overnight southwesterly becoming
variable/calm (land?) breeze. More interior (western to far northern
terminal) around sunrise fog that may fall to IFR or below once
again at LBX....higher odds on the MVFR nature. Any fog will
quickly evaporate during the 14Z hour and give way to SKC or just
a few cirrus. A late day sea breeze may back winds more southerly
to southeasterly but expect sub-10 knot breezes to be out of the
west or southwest through the mid-afternoon hours. 31

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 356 PM CDT Tue May 15 2018/

DISCUSSION...
As of the 3PM obs, IAH is currently tied for the record high for
this date/site, and there is no reason to think we won`t be
setting a new record before all is said and done today. Also
during this short-term, we will also have to keep an eye to the
N/NW as the convection developing over North/North Central TX
continues to slowly build to the S/SE. Short-range progs are still
flirting with the idea that some of this activity could reach
Burleson/Brazos/Madison Counties maybe early this evening.
However, still think that the cap will hold for anything
developing south of these locales.

Otherwise, have trended Min Temps down a bit from guidance for
tonight as the drier air aloft continues to mix down (based on
the current dewpoint obs across SE TX). Fog could be an issue once
again overnight/early Weds morning for inland sites. Another hot/
dry day is expected tomorrow (and likely through the rest of the
week) as the upper ridge axis lingers just to our west. POPS are
going to remain very low/nil during this period...but shortwaves
trekking down this NW flow aloft could be worth watching, if not
for the strong/persistent cap here.

Some flattening of the upper ridge is possible by the weekend as
the upper low moves off to the NE. This along with the return of
more SE winds at the surface/low levels could help to "moderate"
daytime temps down a few degrees Sat/Sun. Somewhat related, very
low rain chances might also return with the seabreeze. So, until
then, hot and dry weather will prevail. 41

&&

CLIMATE...
Near to record high temperatures will be possible across
Southeast Texas over the next few days. A listing of these record
high temperatures for the Southeast Texas climate sites are
included below. Because of how early in the season this heat is
occurring, residents may be more prone to heat illness and are
encouraged to take proper precautions if spending extended time
outdoors this week.

MAY 15...
LOCATION         RECORD HIGH     YEAR
Houston IAH           92         2003
Houston HOU           94         1978
College Station       95         1925
Galveston             89         1875

MAY 16...
LOCATION         RECORD HIGH     YEAR
Houston IAH           93         2003
Houston HOU           93         1933
College Station       95         2003
Galveston             90         1875

MAY 17...
LOCATION         RECORD HIGH     YEAR
Houston IAH           95         1894
Houston HOU           94         1998
College Station       96         1925
Galveston             87         2017

Huffman

&&

MARINE...
Light winds and low seas will persist for the next several days.
Onshore winds will begin to increase on Friday as low pressure
develops over the Texas panhandle and deepens as it moves across the
southern plains. A moderate onshore flow will prevail through the
weekend.  47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      67  94  68  94  69 /  10   0   0  10   0
Houston (IAH)              66  94  67  94  69 /   0   0   0  10   0
Galveston (GLS)            73  88  75  87  74 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...42
Aviation/Marine...31

Air Quality Alert

TXZ213-237-238-313-337-338-437-438-170000-

AIR QUALITY ALERT MESSAGE
TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
219 PM CDT Tue May 15 2018

...OZONE ACTION DAY FOR WEDNESDAY...

THE TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY (TCEQ)...HAS ISSUED AN
OZONE ACTION DAY FOR THE HOUSTON...GALVESTON...AND BRAZORIA AREAS FOR
WEDNESDAY...MAY 16 2018.

ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAVORABLE FOR PRODUCING
HIGH LEVELS OF OZONE POLLUTION IN THE HOUSTON...GALVESTON AND
SURROUNDING AREAS ON WEDNESDAY. YOU CAN HELP PREVENT OZONE POLLUTION BY
SHARING A RIDE...WALKING...RIDING A BICYCLE...TAKING YOUR LUNCH TO
WORK...AVOIDING DRIVE THROUGH LANES...CONSERVING ENERGY AND KEEPING YOUR
VEHICLE PROPERLY TUNED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON OZONE:

OZONE: THE FACTS (WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/AIRQUALITY/MONOPS/OZONEFACTS.HTML)
EPA AIR NOW:
(WWW.AIRNOW.GOV/INDEX.CFM?ACTION=AIRNOW.LOCAL_CITY&CITYID=236)
TAKE CARE OF TEXAS: (WWW.TAKECAREOFTEXAS.ORG/AIR/AIRQUALITY)

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
412 AM CDT Tue May 15 2018

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-
335>338-436>438-160915-
Austin-Brazoria Islands-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Coastal Brazoria-
Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-
Coastal Matagorda-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-Grimes-Houston-
Inland Brazoria-Inland Galveston-Inland Harris-Inland Jackson-
Inland Matagorda-Madison-Matagorda Islands-Montgomery-
Northern Liberty-Polk-San Jacinto-Southern Liberty-Trinity-Walker-
Waller-Washington-Wharton-
412 AM CDT Tue May 15 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Locally dense fog will be possible this morning west and southwest
of the Houston metro.

Near to record high temperatures will be possible today. Because
of how early in the year this heat is occurring, residents are
urged to take precautions for heat illness. These include taking
frequent breaks if working outdoors, wearing lightweight and
loose-fitting clothing, and drinking plenty of water.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Near to record high temperatures will be possible Wednesday and
Thursday. Because of how early in the year this heat is
occurring, residents are urged to take precautions for heat
illness. These include taking frequent breaks if working outdoors,
wearing lightweight and loose-fitting clothing, and drinking
plenty of water.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

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