Notes: Big to small, mostly bright white, some bright white mixed with light to dark grey and some light to dark blueish and purplish grey, thick, flat, puffy, high stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky in northwest Houston, TX during the morning and afternoon. The sky looked to have become clear for a few hours, sometime during the evening, or maybe early night. Big to small, bright white, thick, flat, puffy, high stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky in northwest Houston, TX during the early night. The wind speeds looked to be relatively calm with moderate gusts and some occasional moderately strong gusts in northwest Houston, TX during the morning, afternoon, evening, and early night. It felt warm in northwest Houston, TX during the early and mid-morning. It started to feel very warm in northwest Houston, TX during the late morning. It started to feel hot in northwest Houston, TX during the early afternoon. It felt hot in northwest Houston, TX during the mid-afternoon. It started to feel warm in northwest Houston, TX during the late afternoon. It felt warm in northwest Houston, TX during the evening and night. There was a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms to pass through the Houston, TX area, but I don't remember seeing any on the radar, during the morning, afternoon, evening, or night. There might have been a few light to moderate isolated showers in the Houston, TX area, but I don't remember seeing any. I only saw a few light to maybe moderate and moderately heavy showers and maybe thunderstorms to the west of the Houston, TX area during different times of the day.
Thoughts: Another hot day. I actually felt comfortable in the pool. I didn't feel cold at all. The pool heater from yesterday might have helped a little. The sun shining directly on the pool during most of the afternoon. A few records looked to have been broken within the Houston, TX area. But the hot weather doesn't look like it will last though. Cold weather looks to be on the way as we enter the new year.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Thoughts: Another hot day. I actually felt comfortable in the pool. I didn't feel cold at all. The pool heater from yesterday might have helped a little. The sun shining directly on the pool during most of the afternoon. A few records looked to have been broken within the Houston, TX area. But the hot weather doesn't look like it will last though. Cold weather looks to be on the way as we enter the new year.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000 FXUS64 KHGX 270318 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 918 PM CST Mon Dec 26 2016 .UPDATE... Surface analysis as of 8 PM CST shows a stalled frontal boundary stretching from Laredo to Temple to Texarkana, with an approaching cold front crossing the Red River into North Texas. This secondary front will continue to move south across North Texas overnight tonight, overtaking the stalled frontal boundary and pushing into the region on Tuesday morning. A broken line of showers (with a few embedded thunderstorms) is expected to develop along this front as it moves south overnight, with moisture pooling ahead of this approaching boundary resulting in patchy to areas of dense fog development. Southwest to westerly mid level flow will actually help push the associated surface high behind this front east of Southeast Texas and expect this frontal boundary to stall somewhere across the region on Tuesday. A preliminary look at the 00Z NAM shows the front hanging up somewhere along the Highway 59 corridor, and fog may be slow to lift in areas south of the highway tomorrow morning as a result. The main update to the ongoing forecast was the issuance of a Dense Fog Advisory for the lowest two tiers of counties, with additional updates made to temperatures and dew points based on latest observations. Expect lows to range from near 60 over the northern counties to near 70 along the coast under mostly cloudy skies. Huffman && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 540 PM CST Mon Dec 26 2016/ AVIATION... A weak front over North Texas will slowly move south and probably become stationary over SE TX on Tuesday. A weak line of shra/tsra will be possible over the northern TAF sites later tonight. South of the front, winds will become light and moisture pooling ahead of the front will lead to low ceilings and fog. Since winds are so light, feel fog will be the primary threat. A light east winds at the coast has brought some sea fog inland and KGLS is already a 1/2 mile. Aviation interests should prepare for LIFR conds tonight into Tuesday with slow improvement Tuesday morning. MVFR/VFR conds expected by Tuesday afternoon. 43 PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CST Mon Dec 26 2016/ DISCUSSION... Surface analysis at 21Z has weak frontal boundary just north of Waco with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of it evident on radar. Another front was located across N Oklahoma. Latest short range model guidance has this secondary front giving the first front a bit of a push tonight into Tuesday morning. The front may stall from near Brenham to Conroe but these shallow colder airmass could slide a bit farther south. The front however should stall before reaching Houston. This means a moist unstable airmass will remain over all of SE Texas and support a few showers and isolated thunderstorms through tonight. Along the coast, the moist airmass will support sea fog where bay and Gulf waters are cold enough to cool the moist air. A marine dense fog advisory will continue tonight into tomorrow morning for the possibility of visibility dropping below 1 nautical mile. Fog should lift again late tomorrow morning and likely go through the same diurnal cycle on Wednesday and Thursday. Through Thursday there is not a lot of change in the forecast data. Aloft an upper level low has cut off over the Pacific with a strong upper low over the northern Plains. Tomorrow the ridge aloft becomes a bit stronger tomorrow over Texas while the cut off low remains west of California. The next strong shortwave still moves across the Plains Wednesday into Thursday allow for a cold front to push through the area Thursday. The GFS/ECMWF seem to be signaling a colder Friday with the surface ridge moving more over Texas and quickly shifting east. Forecast has dropped temps a couple of degrees but still higher than guidance. Friday return flow sets up with increasing isentropic lift and increasing cloud cover. The timing of the return flow will dictate cloud cover and temperatures for the day. The New Year`s weekend forecast and beyond is still a evolving mess of a forecast. GFS/ECMWF continue to have problems with how/when the cut off low over the Pacific moves east over the weekend. Both solutions are now going with a slower progression like the ECMWF yesterday with the low shearing out and weakening over the southern Rockies on Saturday. This still provides lift for rain chances on Saturday but given the uncertainty PoPs will stick with 40/50 percent on Saturday and then a round of 30/40 PoPs for Sunday. This will be when the upstream short wave trough that kicks the cut off east moves into the Plains. The models now develop a broad deep trough over the western and central U.S. early next week. This could be a set up for colder weather for once but long range forecasts beyond day 6-7 have been far from reliable this winter. Overpeck CLIMATE... So far today we are looking at breaking/tying record high temperatures at Houston IAH, Houston HOU, and Galveston. College Station is a degree below tying its record as of 3PM today. Houston IAH has made it to 82F besting the old record of 80F. Houston HOU tied the record so far at 81F. Galveston has broken the old record of 76F with 77F today. Overpeck MARINE... A weakened gradient and the return of light onshore winds will help to keep the warm/moist air mass in place over the region these next few days. Widespread sea fog will likely persist over the bays/near shore waters during this timeframe. Visibilities will be most limit- ed in the evening/overnight hours but the fog could linger into the afternoon. Have re-upped the Dense Fog Advisory for tonight through mid morning tomorrow for the bays and nearshore waters. This mostly light and mostly SE flow is forecast for the next few days with one upper system exiting well off to the NE and the next one developing well out to our west. The next cold front is still forecast to move into the coastal waters on Thurs. Strong offshore winds in the wake of this system will likely prompt Caution/Advisory flags by perhaps Thurs night/early Fri morning. In the meantime, not a lot of relief in sight from the foggy/warm weather. 41 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 63 69 61 77 58 / 40 30 10 20 10 Houston (IAH) 68 77 65 78 63 / 20 30 10 20 10 Galveston (GLS) 69 75 64 76 64 / 10 30 10 20 10 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Tuesday for the following zones: Brazoria...Chambers...Fort Bend...Galveston... Harris...Jackson...Liberty...Matagorda...Wharton. GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Tuesday for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM...Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay. && $$ Discussion...14
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 404 AM CST MON DEC 26 2016 TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-271300- AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND- GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA- MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON- WHARTON- 404 AM CST MON DEC 26 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT PERIODS OF FOG...SOME DENSE...WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG THE COAST. DENSE FOG ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY PERIODS OF FOG...SOME DENSE...WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG THE COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DENSE FOG ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. $$Dense Fog Advisory
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 843 PM CST MON DEC 26 2016 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY... .MOISTURE POOLING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL RESULT IN DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA TONIGHT. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND WILL THEN EXPAND INLAND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. VISIBILITY MAY DROP TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES WITH FOG EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO THE MID-MORNING HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY LIFTING. TXZ200-213-214-226-227-235>238-271500- /O.NEW.KHGX.FG.Y.0040.161227T0243Z-161227T1500Z/ BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-FORT BEND-GALVESTON-HARRIS-JACKSON-LIBERTY- MATAGORDA-WHARTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVIN...ANAHUAC...ANGLETON...BAY CITY... CLEVELAND...DAYTON...EDNA...EL CAMPO...FREEPORT...FRIENDSWOOD... GALVESTON...HOUSTON...HUMBLE...KATY...LAKE JACKSON... LEAGUE CITY...LIBERTY...MISSOURI CITY...MONT BELVIEU...PALACIOS... PASADENA...PEARLAND...PIERCE...RICHMOND...ROSENBERG... SUGAR LAND...TEXAS CITY...TOMBALL...WHARTON...WINNIE 843 PM CST MON DEC 26 2016 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY. * EVENT...DENSE FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. * TIMING...THROUGH MID-MORNING TUESDAY. * IMPACT...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FROM LIMITED VISIBILITY. SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED BY LEAVING PLENTY OF DISTANCE BETWEEN YOUR VEHICLE AND THE ONES IN FRONT OF YOU. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. && $$
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