Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.
Summary: The day was warm, mostly cloudy, and dry. Maybe some rain. There looked to be some isolated light showers on TWC's Houston, TX radar, when I looked sometime during the afternoon. I didn't see, feel, or hear any rain drops. Alto stratus, alto stratocumulus clouds and stratocumulus clouds looked to cover most of the sky during the morning, afternoon, and early evening. Alto stratus and maybe some alto stratocumulus clouds looked to be widely scattered across the sky during the late evening. The wind speeds looked to be calm with moderate to moderately strong gusts with some really strong gusts. It felt warm during the morning, late evening, and night. It felt very warm during the early evening. It felt hot during the afternoon. There was a hazardous weather statement issued for the Houston, TX area by NOAA, for today. There were no other watches, warnings, alerts, weather statements, or advisories issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temps looked to be in the 70's and the high temps looked to be in the 90's, for the Houston, TX area.
Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.
Thoughts: Well there is a tropical system developing in the Gulf of Mexico. I am interested to see what happens. I am hoping Houston, TX will get some rain from it.
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 440 PM CDT Sun Jun 18 2017 TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-192145- Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend- Galveston-Grimes-Harris-Houston-Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda- Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington- Wharton- 440 PM CDT Sun Jun 18 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas.. .DAY ONE...Tonight Peak heat index values in the 100 to 106 range will be possible through early evening. A high risk of rip currents will also exist along Gulf-facing beaches through this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday Elevated tides and an enhanced rip current risk may develop along Gulf-facing beaches by the middle of this week if a tropical system does develop in the Gulf of Mexico. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. $$
Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX 000 FXUS64 KHGX 182327 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 627 PM CDT Sun Jun 18 2017 .AVIATION... Mainly VFR conditions through 05z with MVFR cigs possible later tonight into early Monday. Cigs will scatter out after 15z Monday with generally VFR conds for Monday afternoon. A weak front over North Texas will approach SE TX in the afternoon and the gradient will become weak with a light wind shift to the W-SW. Fcst soundings for 00-03z show PW values surging to 2.00 inches with some instability. The combination of the front and this instability should foster some showers and thunderstorms late Monday into Monday night. Have added VCTS for southern TAF sites for late in the TAF period. 43 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 PM CDT Sun Jun 18 2017/ DISCUSSION... Tonight and Monday...mesoscale models suggest possibility of a complex of showers and thunderstorms developing over OK or NE Texas overnight then dropping southward toward northern portions of the forecast area very late tonight or Monday morning. Airmass more capped this far south and unclear how far it will make it into the forecast area...but have shower chances in Houston County overnight...in line with surrounding zones...then Monday for mainly northern half of CWA. Cold front is forecast to approach from the north but stall out before quite making it into the area. TROPICAL... Tuesday and beyond forecast becomes increasingly dependent on system now over western Carribean Sea forecast by all the models to become better organized as it moves N or NW and emerges into the Gulf of Mexico. NHC gives this system a 70 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours and a 90 percent chance over the next 5 days. The track forecast for this system is very complicated. An upper level trough over western Gulf...as seen in model progs and water vapor imagery...will tend to draw the system north perhaps toward the northern Gulf coast and impose shear on the system. However there is some indication...especially in latest runs...of this upper trough becoming more cut off with steering currents then guiding the system more toward the west on the northern flank of this cut off low and with 500 mb ridge to the north. ECMWF...GFS...Canadian... have all trended farther west with their tracks today perhaps due to the handling of these features. Based on todays trends Texas coast could see some impacts as early as late Wednesday or Thursday. That said with complicated steering pattern and still no well defined low center there remains much uncertainty in the track of this system and all will need to continue to monitor. A track to the east would mean little impact. As far as strength of system...shear over Western Gulf and available intensity guidance would suggest most likely no stronger than a tropical storm but will have more information on forecast intensity from the National Hurricane Center when and if the tropical cyclone forms. 18 MARINE... A weaker pressure gradient has helped to lower winds this afternoon but seas have remained slightly elevated. However will be expecting things to continue to quiet down tonight and will let the SCEC expire as planned. Generally light SE winds on Mon will be transitioning to a E/NE flow by Tue/Wed as the tropical disturbance currently near the Yucatan finally makes its move into the central Gulf. There is still a lot of uncertainty with the eventual track of this system with much of the US Gulf coast in play. Mariners/marine int- erests should stay up to date with the latest information with this system. 41 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 76 94 75 94 73 / 10 20 10 10 10 Houston (IAH) 77 95 75 95 73 / 10 20 10 20 10 Galveston (GLS) 81 90 80 90 79 / 10 10 10 20 20 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM CDT this evening for the following zones: Brazoria...Chambers...Galveston... Matagorda. GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 10 PM CDT this evening for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM...Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM. && $$ Discussion...14 Aviation/Marine...43