Northwest Houston, TX during the early morning.
West Houston, TX during the late evening.
Notes: Big to small, bright white, light to dark grey, and light to dark blueish grey, thick, flat, puffy, low stratus clouds looked to cover the whole sky in northwest and west Houston, TX during the early morning. Big to small, bright white, light to dark grey, and light to dark blueish grey, thick, flat, puffy, low stratus clouds looked to cover the whole sky in west Houston, TX during the mid and late morning. Big to small, bright white, light to dark grey, and maybe some light to dark blueish grey, thick, flat, puffy, low stratus clouds looked to have started to cover only most of the sky in west Houston, TX, sometime during the mid, or maybe early afternoon. Big to small, bright white, light to dark grey, and maybe some light to dark blueish grey, thick, flat, puffy, low stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky in west Houston, TX during the mid and late afternoon and early evening. Big to small, bright white, light to dark grey, and maybe some light to dark blueish grey, thick, flat, puffy, low stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky in northwest and west Houston, TX during the late evening. Big to small, bright white and light to dark grey, thick, flat, puffy, low stratus clouds looked to cover most of, or maybe the whole the sky in northwest Houston, TX during the early night. The wind speeds looked to be calm in northwest and west Houston, TX during the early morning. The wind speeds looked to be calm with some moderate gusts in west Houston, TX during the mid-morning. The wind speeds looked to be calm with moderate and moderately strong gusts in west Houston, TX during the late morning and early and mid-afternoon. The wind speeds looked to be calm with moderate and moderately strong gusts with some really strong gusts (20-25 mph) in west Houston, TX during the late afternoon and early evening. The wind speeds looked to be calm with moderate and moderately strong gusts in northwest and west Houston, TX during the late evening. The wind speeds looked to be calm with moderate gusts and maybe some moderately strong gusts in northwest Houston, TX during the early night. It felt cool in northwest and west Houston, TX during the early morning. It started to feel warm in west Houston, TX during the mid-morning. It felt warm in west Houston, TX during the late morning. It felt warm, almost very warm in west Houston, TX during the afternoon. It felt warm in west Houston, TX during the evening. It felt warm in northwest Houston, TX during the late evening and early night. There were no advisories, watches, or warnings issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. There was a 0 to 20 percent chance for rain for the Houston, TX area, during the day. The low temps were in the 60's, or maybe 50's and highs were in the high 70's and maybe low 80's, for the Houston, TX area.
Summary: The day was warm and dry. I didn't see, or hear any rain drops, during anytime of the day. I did feel some possible rain drops in west Houston, TX, where I work, during the early, mid, and late afternoon, and maybe early evening. I saw some isolated light showers near and maybe in the Houston, TX area, on the radar, during the morning, afternoon, evening. and maybe night.
Thoughts: Well the clouds have started to roll in, but no rain yet. More record highs to break tomorrow and maybe Sunday. Also there is a possible severe weather event on Tuesday. For the Houston, TX area.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000 FXUS64 KHGX 110241 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 841 PM CST Fri Feb 10 2017 .UPDATE... The general forecast philosophy is on track, but required a few tweaks for observations. Tonight looks likely to end up slightly warmer than originally thought, which will be further help in seeing a very warm day tomorrow in spite of clouds. Luchs && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 549 PM CST Fri Feb 10 2017/ AVIATION... Still expecting a majority of the area to have MVFR and possible IFR ceilings overnight. Look for south winds generally in a 6 to 10 knot range inland and 10 to 13 knots at the coast. Do not anticipate any significant fog development overnight either. Slow ceiling improvement is anticipated tomorrow with the possibility for a majority of the area staying MVFR all day. We`ll also be seeing strengthening/gusty south to south southwest winds during the day tomorrow. 42 PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 PM CST Fri Feb 10 2017/ DISCUSSION... At 2 PM, surface high pressure has moved east of the region and was located over South Carolina. A trough of low pressure was located over the western high plains and the flow between these two systems was bringing abundant low level moisture into SE TX. A few light rain showers were moving up the coast but amounts have generally been a Trace. Skies are expected to remain mostly cloudy overnight as fcst soundings show the sfc-900 mb layer saturated with a strong cap in place and very dry air above the cap. cloudy skies tonight will help insulate and since winds are not expected to fully decoupled, feel overnight min temps will remain on the warm side with possible some record high mins by Saturday morning. Saturday will start out unseasonably warm so it won`t take much in the way of heating to get temperatures into the lower 80`s. Fcst soundings show a lot of dry air above 900 mb with moisture trapped beneath the cap keeping skies mostly cloudy. Don`t think moisture levels are deep enough to generate precipitation and will keep things dry for now. Saturday night looks similar to tonight with extensive cloud cover as moisture remains capped beneath a strong cap. A weak boundary will approach SE TX late Sunday afternoon but the warm start to Sunday should once again allow max temps to warm to near 80 before the boundary attempts to cross the region. Fcst soundings show a strong cap in place in the morning with the cap weakening in the aftn. Pw values also increase from under an inch Sunday morning to 1.25 inches by Sunday evening. Will show a gradual increase in PoPs late Sunday afternoon into Sunday night over the north but the south still looks too capped for much in the way of showers. Weak isentropic upglide is expected to develop in the wake of the front Sunday night with some patchy light rain developing. Fcst soundings show better saturation over the north with drier air above 850 mb over the south so feel the higher rain chances favors the northern half of the CWA. The moisture profile on Monday still shows pockets of dry air but the 500 mb flow becomes increasingly amplified and there will likely be some weak disturbances embedded in the SW flow aloft so will maintain low rain chances for Monday with the higher chances again over the north. SREF ensembles still favor some sea fog early Saturday and agai Sunday morning. Not sure the sfc wind trajectory is all that favorable but will continue to mention patchy fog over the near shore waters and adjacent bays through the weekend. Here are the records (record highs and record high mins) for the 4 primary climate sites for Saturday and Sunday: 02/11 02/12 Houston 82 1999 84 1922 66 1957 65 1952 Hou Hobby 80 1999 82 1962 65 1984 63 1952 Col Station 84 1922 87 1922 67 1984 68 1922 Galveston 77 1999 75 1957 67 1876 66 1884 An upper level low will drop into S AZ Mon night and head east on Tuesday. Upper level winds will become increasing diffluent Monday night into Tuesday and moisture levels begin to increase reaching a peak of 1.55 inches by late Tuesday aftn. A surface low is expected to late Monday night over South Central Texas and this feature will move ENE across SE TX on Tuesday. The position of the low is critical to the type of weather SE TX will receive. At this time, it appears the SE half of the region will lie in the warm sector with a weak boundary lying E-W across the area. Way too soon to get alarmed, but fcst soundings reveal Sfc-1km helicity values of 311 m2/s2 and sfc-2km values over 400. Would not be surprised if some of the storms in the warm sector produced a few tornadoes. CAPE is low and under 500 J/Kg, LI`s progged at -2 and lapse rates are benign so not all the severe weather parameters are in phase but the shear is impressive. Soundings also show a saturated profile so would expect some of the stronger storms to produce locally heavy rain. They system will move east relatively rapidly on Wednesday but some wrap around clouds and moisture will keep low rain chances in the forecast along with some slightly cooler temperatures. Slightly warmer temperatures are expected for the end of next week as sunshine returns. MARINE... A relatively tight onshore pressure gradient will exist between eastern U.S. seaboard high pressure and lowering Rocky Mountain lee pressure over the weekend. This will produce periods of caution level onshore winds over the far Gulf waters. Sea heights will generally remain within an average 3 to 5 feet...6 feet over areas that experience a longer duration 15 to 20 knot southerly fetch. With the return of a warm and more humid air mass...the threat for early day weekend marine fog will exist. Likely patchy fog Saturday but possibly more widespread and dense Sunday morning. The approach of an upper level storm system and its associated surface trough of low pressure will introduce periods of Monday rain (showers). The eastern passage of this system will heighten the probabilities of more widespread showers and thunderstorms late Tuesday into Wednesday. 31 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 79 65 81 66 77 / 10 10 10 10 20 Houston (IAH) 75 67 82 68 81 / 20 10 10 10 20 Galveston (GLS) 73 66 75 66 74 / 20 10 10 10 20 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION through Sunday morning for the following zones: Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM. && $$ Discussion...25