Saturday, November 14, 2020

Nov. 14 20

 Summary: Low, white and grey stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, sometimes covering the whole sky, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. The wind speeds were calm with light gusts during the morning, afternoon, evening, and early night. The wind speeds were light with moderate to moderately heavy gusts, during the late night. There was a 40 percent chance of rain for the Houston, TX area. I did not see, or hear about any rain drops falling anywhere in, or near the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. There looked to be some possible rain drops on my cars front windshield, while driving my friend back to his place in Sugar Land, during the early night. It felt warm, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. 

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 142340
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
540 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2020

.AVIATION...
Expecting some MVFR stratus (and possibly some patchy fog south of
I-10) to develop ahead of a cold front that`ll be passing thru
late tonight followed by clearing and breezy conditions on
Sunday. Front should be around CLL ~8z and off the coast by ~14z.
Narrow band of shra should develop ahead of the boundary as it
moves closer to the CLL/UTS area and toward the coast. VFR for the
remainder of the day. Winds should decouple inland right after
sunset.  47

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2020/
SHORT TERM [This afternoon Through Sunday]... Warm and humid
conditions come to an abrupt end tonight/early Sunday as strong
Pacific cold front sweeps through the region Sunday morning and
should be off the coast by 7 or 8 am. Scattered showers may
develop along the front as it races through but the cap and
limited moisture/instability will hamper the threat of any
thunderstorms. CAA in full force Sunday with gusty northerly winds
in the wake of the front and will set the stage for a pleasantly
cool week.

LONG TERM [Sunday night Through Saturday]...
High pressure dominates through Friday with temperatures near
normal or slightly below initially then by Thursday getting to
near normal to just slight above normal as high pressure weakens
and light onshore moisture return gets underway. A very slim
chance for showers Friday into Saturday but for now will keep the
forecast dry.

MARINE... Small craft conditions developing with northerly winds
15-25 knots and gusts near 30 knots as a cold front sweeps off the
coast Sunday morning. Windy conditions persisting into Sunday
night then gradually relaxing becoming more northeasterly. Low
water conditions may briefly be possible in the upper portions of
the bays Sunday then returning to normal by evening. This coming
week will be dominated by northeast to east winds with broad low
pressure in the Southern Gulf and ridging to the northeast of
SETX. Elevated seas will persist much of the week thanks to the
long easterly fetch.

FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated fire weather conditions developing Sunday in the wake of
the cold front. RH values in the 20-25 percent range in the
southwestern counties with stronger gusty northerly winds 10-20
mph. Poor recovery Sunday night followed by dry conditions Monday
and Tuesday though with much lighter winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      58  69  44  71  45 /  10  10   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)              64  73  51  70  47 /  40  20   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)            68  72  61  69  59 /  20  30   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM to 3 PM CST Sunday for the
     following zones: Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay.

     Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Sunday to 1 AM CST Monday for the
     following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda
     Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island
     to Freeport TX out 20 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Sunday to 6 AM CST Monday for the
     following zones: Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship
     Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to
     Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

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