Summary: Mid to high stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and maybe night. The wind speeds were calm with some moderate to possibly moderately strong gusts. I believe there was a 40 percent chance for rain for the Houston, TX area, during the night. It felt cold, during the early morning. It felt very cool, during the mid-morning. It felt cool, during the late morning. It started to feel warm, during the early afternoon. It felt warm, during the mid and late afternoon and evening. It felt a little cool, during the late night. I did not see, or hear about any rain falling anywhere in, or near the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. I did not see, or feel any rain drops.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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005 FXUS64 KHGX 270226 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 826 PM CST Thu Nov 26 2020 .SHORT TERM [Tonight through Friday Afternoon]... Jet max is quickly approaching across Mexico and aiding the development of showers/virga over the Rio Grande/Hill Country corridor aimed at SETX. Warm front poised over the Gulf waters just south of Galveston and has edged into Palacios/Wharton. Some fog is expected to develop overnight along and north of the warm front as it crawls inland. Not confident that it will get below 1 mile especially as rainfall gets going toward morning. Some fog on Galveston Bay looks possible mainly after midnight through around 8 am. Soundings showing that threat for thunderstorms increases mid morning and have nudged up rain chances toward sunrise across the south and then most of the area through noon. The warm front stalls and will still have some heavy rainfall threat as it eventually starts to wobble southward again in the afternoon. SPC has maintained the marginal risk for severe storms over the area Friday mainly a small hail and gusty wind threat. Rainfall rates of 2"/hour are within the realm of possibility in the stronger storms. If these storms band up then possibly some street flooding issues will be possible in the more urban areas. So bottom line...if you are going to be out Friday and Friday night bring an umbrella and/or raincoat. And if you spot a flooded road turn around. 45 && .AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]... MVFR ceilings spreading from the coast and as the speed max aloft approaches expect to see both the isentropic lift over the warm front increase leading to a lowering/thickening of the clouds over the area as well as some fog. The trend should be MVFR through 05-07z then more widespread IFR/MVFR conditions gradually improving after 18z. Another night of low ceilings on tap again Friday night. Scattered showers will be developing this evening then transition over to SHRA/TSRA toward morning and persisting through the afternoon/evening. The band of precip may be widespread over the area during the morning then could focus up closer to the warm front and sag southward during the afternoon having a greater impact on the CXO/IAH/HOU/SGR terminals. 45 && .PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 308 PM CST Thu Nov 26 2020/... .LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday]... Storm system should be departing the area to the e/se early Sunday morning with precip coming to an end. Should see breezy and much colder conditions along with some wrap around cloud cover in its wake for the remainder of the day. A reinforcing surge of surface high pressure builds into the area Monday and overhead Monday night & Tue morning. It`s during this time period with mclear skies and winds becoming light that some locations generally north of a Wharton-The Woodlands-Liberty line may see the potential for their first freeze of the season. That said, wet grounds could end up being a limiting factor for the more southern locations. Southerly winds return to the area Tue and transport some moisture back into the region in advance of the next cold front currently penciled in for Wednesday. Overall quality/depth of moisture is questionable before it arrives, but medium range solutions seem to be in decent agreement for at least some iso/sct precip is possible east of the Highway 59/I-69 corridor. Remainder of the work week will be dry/cool. 47 .MARINE... A cold front will approach the coast Friday then slow/stall. May see some patchy fog at times near the bays, but am not anticipating the prolonged dense variety. A coastal trof/low will develop off the mid/south Tx coast on Saturday and move northeast along the upper Tx coast Saturday night. Periods of unsettled wx with showers/tstms can be expected in advance...and will likely see a rise in water levels (below coastal flood concern) with a bump in the e/ne winds and seas ahead of the coastal low. As this system pushes off to the east Saturday night, it`ll drag the cold front down into the waters. A much colder airmass moving over the warmer coastal waters should allow for nw winds to gust to around gale force in its wake into Sunday. Small craft advsy conditions are a given. Those same winds will create a favorable set-up to transport water out of the bays (esp northern parts) and will need to keep an eye out for low water conditions. Onshore winds briefly resume Tue ahead of the next cold front expected to move into the waters Wednesday. 47 .HYDROLOGY... Rivers are currently in good shape, but will keep an eye on southern watersheds for any localized rises caused by any training heavy rains than could occur Fri-Sat. 47 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 64 70 56 60 43 / 30 70 70 80 70 Houston (IAH) 68 75 61 65 50 / 60 90 80 80 80 Galveston (GLS) 71 76 66 70 54 / 50 90 80 80 80 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM/AVIATION...45 LONG TERM...Luchs CLIMATE...K
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