Sunday, November 8, 2020

Nov. 7 20

 Summary: The sky looked to be mostly clear with the occasional flat, white alto stratus cloud. It felt a little cool, during the early and mid-morning, late evening, and night. I did not see, or hear about any rain falling anywhere in, or near the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. I did not feel, or see any rain, where I was, during anytime of the day. The wind speeds were calm with light gusts.

Thoughts: I am enjoying the sunshine but I am missing the rain.

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 080514
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1114 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2020

.AVIATION...

Starting to see some low cloud development and reduced visibilities,
and expect this trend to continue overnight through early tomorrow
morning with IFR/LIFR conditions possible. Everything should gradually
lift and burn off beginning after sunrise with VFR conditions expected
for the rest of the day. Should see a similar pattern again Sunday night
and Monday.  42

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 313 PM CST Sat Nov 7 2020/

SHORT TERM [Through Sunday Night]...
Mostly clear skies, slightly higher dewpoints and light winds
should allow for some areas of late night & early morning low
clouds/fog to develop tonight and again Sunday night. Otherwise,
expect a general repeat of today`s wx for Sunday. Some of the HREF
members try to sneak in a few spotty shra during the day, but
meager moisture availability and some narrow mid level ridging
overhead should keep this quite isolated. 47

LONG TERM [Monday Through Sunday]...
Not many changes necessary to the extended forecast at this point.
Still looking at a rather mild/warm week for mid November, with
increasing clouds and moisture ahead of a pair of shortwave troughs.
While TS Eta will linger over the eastern Gulf of Mexico this week,
a broad mid/upper level trough will become established over the
western states.  Leading shortwave trough will eject early in the
week with an associated surface cold front moving into eastern TX
Tuesday, before stalling along or just off the upper TX coast.  We
should see increasing clouds and slight chances of showers/tstms
Tuesday, before clearing and dry conditions settle in through
Friday.  Models are a bit inconsistent with a strong system/front
late Friday into Saturday, with Euro being more bullish with a
stronger system and great chances of tstms.  The GFS on the other
hand takes a weaker system ejecting farther north with little impact
on sern TX.  Given this system is 6-7 days out, have stayed somewhat
in the middle of the guidance although slightly favored the Euro.

Evans

MARINE...
Swell has dropped to 5 ft at buoy 42019 so will go ahead and bring
the SCEC flags down. That said, we`ll probably see a continued 5
ft seas in the offshore waters into early next week until we get
out of the preferred swell window around Eta. Otherwise, east and
eventually southeast winds prevail into early next week. A weak
front will approach the coast late Tuesday. The combination of the
front along with the far outer circulation around Eta in the
eastern Gulf will lead to a period of northeast winds toward
midweek. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      60  80  65  82  66 /   0   0   0  20  10
Houston (IAH)              63  80  66  82  66 /   0   0   0  30  10
Galveston (GLS)            69  78  70  77  70 /   0  10   0  10   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

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