Tuesday, November 3, 2020

Nov. 3 20

 Summary: White, small, and thin alto stratus clouds looked to be scattered across the sky, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. The wind speeds looked to be calm some occasional moderate gusts. I did not see, or hear about any rain falling anywhere in the Houston, TX area during anytime of the day. I did not see, or feel any rain drops where I was in the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. It felt very cool, during the early and mid-morning. It felt cool, during the late morning. It felt started to feel warm, during the early afternoon. It felt warm, during the mid and late afternoon and early evening. It felt a little cool, during the late evening. It felt cool during the early night.

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 032343
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
543 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2020

.AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]...

A few high cirrus clouds showing up across the area this evening,
with conditions remaining clear and within VFR thresholds through
the duration of the TAF period. Winds will become light and
variable overnight, veering slightly to the southeast by tomorrow
afternoon but remaining around 5 to 10 knots. No cig/visibility
concerns are anticipated.

Cady

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 222 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2020/

SHORT TERM [through Wednesday Night]...

It`s been another pleasant day across southeast TX today as ridging
aloft moves overhead. Afternoon temperatures have climbed into the
mid 70s, but a drier airmass remains in place with dewpoint values
in the 30 to 55 degree range. A quiet night is on tap with overnight
lows from the 40s well inland to near 60s along the coast.

The main weather story on Wednesday will be warmer temperatures.
Winds turn more southeasterly as the surface high migrates east of
the region, bringing warmer and slightly humid conditions. 850 hPa
temperatures climb into the 14 to 16 degree Celsius range;
therefore, some locations could see temperatures in the upper 70s
to near 80.

LONG TERM [Thursday through Tuesday]...

A mid/upper level short wave trough will replace the upper ridge
that has been over SE Texas on Wednesday night and Thursday. This
trough evolves into a closed mid/upper low just east of the area or
in the NW Gulf by Saturday. This feature will put the breaks on the
max temp warmup and basically hold them steady at the end of the
week and early in the weekend, and will also produce some cloud
cover over the area. Any precip with this upper low should remain
east of the area. The surface high which is now centered east of the
area will move further east to the mid-Atlantic region by Friday.
This will produce a prolonged period of E/SE winds over the area.
This pattern will produce above normal max temperatures with minimum
temps continuing to warm through Tuesday morning.

Early next week, a large and deep mid/upper level low centered over
the four corners region will begin to advect eastward into the
plains. The GFS is slightly more progressive than the ECMWF with
this upper trough/low and its associated cold front. Expect the cold
front to move into SE Texas on Tuesday and push off the coast
Tuesday night or early Wednesday. It looks like there will be enough
destabilization for isolated showers on Monday across western
portions of the area, and then scattered showers and thunderstorms
on Tuesday and Tuesday night ahead of and near the cold front. 33


MARINE...

With a surface high pressure east of the area, light east to
southeast winds are expected through the weekend. While winds
remain light to moderate, seas could range up to 5-6 ft at times by
the end of the week into early next week thanks to a persistent east
to southeast flow. Small Craft Should Exercise Caution conditions
for seas will be possible late this week into the weekend. 05

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      46  77  54  78  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)              50  77  58  78  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)            64  75  68  75  65 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

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