Sunday, November 15, 2020

Nov. 15 20

 Summary: Thin and whispery alto stratus clouds looked to be widely scattered across the sky, at my house in Copperfield, TX, during the morning. The sky became mostly clear with only a few whispery alto stratus clouds, sometime during the afternoon and stayed that way through the night. The wind speeds were calm with some moderately strong gusts. A line of light to moderate and possibly moderately heavy showers may have passed through the Houston, TX area, as a cool front was passing through, during the early morning. I did not see, or hear any rain drops, where I was, during anytime of the day. It felt really cool, almost cold, during the early and mid-morning, after the cool front passed through. It felt cool, during the late morning, afternoon, evening, and night. 

Thoughts: I am starting to feel like I live in California with all of this dry air and no rain....

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
218
FXUS64 KHGX 152322
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
522 PM CST Sun Nov 15 2020

.AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]...

Clear skies will dominate the period as drier air continues to
filter in. Therefore, VFR conditions will prevail through the
period at all terminals. North winds will weaken this evening to 6
kts or less with the exception of KGLS where winds will remain
near 10-15 kts. A wind shift to the NE, then E is expected Monday
morning into the afternoon as the surface high pressure,
currently over north- central TX, moves eastward into the region.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 349 PM CST Sun Nov 15 2020/...


.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Monday]...
With the departure of this morning`s surface cold front, we now
enter into a period of cooler, drier, and generally pleasant
weather that should continue well into the upcoming week. As the
surface pressure gradient continues to relax in the wake of the
departing boundary, winds should continue to diminish overnight
and gradually shift to the northeast as an area of surface high
pressure pushes into central TX. Look for overnight lows around 15
degrees lower than yesterday across the board, with some portions
of the northern counties potentially even seeing the high 30s
just before sunrise tomorrow. While these temperatures may seem
favorable for a backyard bonfire, this would not be advisable as
dew points in the 20s-30s and occasionally gusty winds will
continue to create hazardous fire conditions overnight (see Fire
Wx section below for details).

Expect clear, dry, and comfortable weather to continue into
tomorrow, with most of SE Texas not expected to reach much higher
than 70 degrees...a perfect afternoon for a stroll in the park
appears to be in store!

Cady


.LONG TERM [Monday Night Through Sunday]...
Nearly chamber of commerce weather this week with high pressure
dominating and keeping it pleasant. Mild to warm afternoons with
cool nights through Thursday. Moisture will then begin to increase
as southeasterly flow develops and strengthens into the weekend.
Rain chances look to increase Sunday with 20-30 percent chances as
a cold front approaches. The front should arrive Sunday night or
more likely Monday. Colder air looks to be arriving from Canada or
at least clipping the area with the front.

45


.MARINE...
As this morning`s cold frontal boundary continues to push
offshore, winds and wave heights will continue to decrease
overnight. The Small Craft Advisory for the bays has been replaced
with a caution, and advisories for the nearshore and offshore
waters should be allowed to expire overnight as winds decrease to
around 15 knots. As surface high pressure pushes into central TX,
east to northeasterly winds will develop by tomorrow morning,
generally remaining at or below 15 knots. By the end of the week,
look for a more southeasterly flow as this feature shifts further
eastward.

Cady


.FIRE WEATHER...
Very dry and breezy conditions this afternoon will give way as
ridging builds in and winds relax. Only moderate recovery expected
overnight with RH just climbing back up to 60-80 percent. The very
dry air remains in place over the area Monday and Tuesday though
with much less wind. During the day Monday expect mostly east and
northeast winds of 3-10 mph probably become more variable by late
afternoon. RH values bottom out at 18-25 percent over most of the
inland areas Monday and Tuesday then rise slightly Wednesday.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  40  71  41  73  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)          45  71  44  73  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)        58  69  56  70  60 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 1 AM CST Monday for
     the following zones: Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CST Monday for the following
     zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship
     Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island to
     Freeport TX out 20 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for the following
     zones: Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX
     from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to Freeport TX
     from 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cady
LONG TERM...45
AVIATION...05
MARINE...Cady
FIRE WEATHER...45

No comments:

Post a Comment