Friday, March 31, 2017

Mar. 31 17

West, or maybe northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
West Houston, TX, during the late afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early night.


Summary: The day was sunny, mostly clear, and dry. No rain. The sky stayed clear with maybe a few small clouds. The wind speeds were calm with moderate to moderately strong gusts. There was a air alert advisory issued for the Houston, TX area. There were no other advisories, watches, warnings, or weather statements issued for the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day, that I know of. The low temps were in the 50's with maybe a few 60's and the high temps were in the 80's. With maybe a few record highs. For the Houston, TX area.


Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX.


Thoughts: It was pretty warm today. It is starting to feel like summer. I wonder if Houston, TX broke any record highs.


Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
614 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2017

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-011115-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Grimes-Harris-Houston-Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Wharton-
614 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Hazardous weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Severe weather and flooding may be possible Sunday as an upper
level low moves across the region. The severe weather threat
encompasses the whole region for the potential of tornadoes, hail
and damaging winds. Locally heavy rainfall may also occur and lead
to flash flooding in low lying areas as well as rapid rises on
area rivers, creeks and bayous. There is still some uncertainty on
the timing of these threats but generally think the potential will
begin after midnight Sunday and persist through much of the day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Sunday.

$$

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Mar. 30 17


Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
West Houston, TX, during the early morning.
West Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.
West Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX.


Thoughts: No rain, it felt cool during the morning and a little cool during the night.


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 310227
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
927 PM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Clear skies, light wind & dry atmosphere allowed for a decent drop
in temps once the sun went down. Current forecast looks good and
just updated grids to match current obs/trends for the evening
update.

Lingering dry airmass should allow for a quick warm-up on Friday.
Looks like highs will top out around 10 degrees above normal.  47

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 652 PM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017/
AVIATION...
No issues for tonight/tomorrow with VFR conditions
prevailing. We could see some patchy fog tomorrow night/early Sat
morning as on- shore winds/low-level moisture return to the area. 41

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 407 PM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017/
After yesterday`s storms, mostly sunny skies and light
northwesterly winds greeted the region today. Temperatures as of 3
PM CDT had risen into the mid to upper 70s. With clear skies
continuing tonight in the wake of yesterday`s system (now over
Missouri), radiational cooling will allow for overnight
temperatures to fall into the mid 50s to mid 60s.

Surface analysis shows a slowly moving cold front dropping south
across Oklahoma this afternoon, but the departure of the compact
upper low over Missouri will result in loss of mid/upper level
forcing for this feature and keep it well north of Southeast Texas
overnight. Shortwave ridging will build into the region tonight
behind this departing system, with the main axis amplifying east
of Southeast Texas on Friday as another system approaches from the
Great Basin. This amplified upper ridging will promote another
day of dry and mostly sunny conditions on Friday, as well as near
record to record high temperatures possible across much of
Southeast Texas on Friday. Record high temperatures may be
possible again along the Upper Texas Coast on Saturday.

Upper flow aloft will become increasingly south to southwest on
Saturday as a disturbance shifts from the Four Corners farther
into New Mexico. Unfortunately, there is still considerable
uncertainty regarding the Saturday and Sunday portion of the
forecast as model guidance continues to remain somewhat out of
phase regarding timing and placement of features. A surface low
looks to develop over the Panhandles with an attendant dryline
stretching into West Central Texas as a result, with speed and
moisture convergence across West Central Texas associated with the
developing surface low encouraging a few isolated showers across
the western counties on Saturday morning. Farther west (across the
Permian Basin and Low Rolling Plains), diurnal heating along the
dryline looks to result in thunderstorm development... with lift
from the approaching upper level system possibly resulting in
upscale growth into an thunderstorm complex that moves across the
state on Saturday night. This could serve as one round of rainfall
for the region should this complex develop and actually make it
to Southeast Texas.

Rain chances will increase more on Sunday, however, as the upper
disturbance digs into northern Mexico on Sunday and then sweeps
into the region on Sunday night. Precipitable water values surge
to 1.5 to possibly 1.9 by Sunday, increasing concerns for at least
a locally heavy rain as upper divergence associated with the
approaching disturbances promotes the development of numerous to
widespread showers and thunderstorms. Several features are in
place Sunday to confirm the concern for heavy rain and possibly
flooding: a surface reflection/trough and approaching cold front
associated with the upper trough that may help focus rainfall,
high atmospheric moisture content, and rainfall that has been
observed recently (generally across areas south of Interstate 10).

However, model solutions from the GFS and European during this
time show that some of the synoptic features necessary for a true
Maddox heavy rain event (in this case, how the atmospheric
moisture in the column is aligned) are out of phase... which
raises concerns on the actual severity of the heavy rain threat.
This is not to downplay the threat for heavy rain as the region
will see rain on Sunday... but the mesoscale appears to be the
bigger driver at this point for the materialization of this threat
in the region. Adding further to the uncertainty to the forecast
for Sunday is the wide spread in forecast rainfall, with SREF 3
hourly QPF plumes advertising a considerable spread anywhere from
0 to 2 inches throughout the day on Sunday. Increasing wind shear
associated with the passage of this system may also promote a
severe weather threat with stronger thunderstorms on Sunday.

Regardless, the passage of this system Sunday night will push a
cold front off the coast and end rain chances for the region at
the beginning of next week. Dry and warm conditions will become
established behind the front through mid-week, but an approaching
front may bring low rain chances back into the forecast by
Wednesday. Huffman

MARINE...
North to northwest winds have been coming down this afternoon,
and so have the seas. South winds are still on schedule to come
back to the area later tonight and tomorrow and strengthen
tomorrow night and Saturday when caution flags and/or advisories
will be needed. Increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms
will accompany the moderate to strong onshore flow over the
weekend, and elevated tides might cause some minor impacts over
Gulf facing beaches. The next cold front moves off the coast
Sunday night and on into Monday with a moderate to strong offshore
flow expected to develop in its wake. Look for onshore winds to
come back Monday night and Tuesday followed by the area`s next
cold frontal passage on Wednesday. 42

CLIMATE...
Near record to record high temperatures will be possible across
parts of Southeast Texas on Friday and Saturday. Record high
temperatures and the years they occurred are listed below.

March 31 Records
LOCATION                  RECORD HIGH     YEAR
Houston Intercontinental      88          1946
Houston Hobby                 88          2016
College Station               94          1946
Galveston                     80          1941

April 1 Records
LOCATION                  RECORD HIGH     YEAR
Houston Intercontinental      89          1936
Houston Hobby                 89          1974
College Station               93          1936
Galveston                     81          1935

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      56  86  64  84  67 /   0   0  10  20  60
Houston (IAH)              57  87  66  85  70 /   0   0   0  10  60
Galveston (GLS)            67  81  71  81  72 /   0   0  10  10  50

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$


Air Quality Alert

TXZ213-237-238-010000-

AIR QUALITY ALERT MESSAGE
TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
139 PM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

...OZONE ACTION DAY FOR FRIDAY...

THE TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY (TCEQ)...HAS ISSUED AN
OZONE ACTION DAY FOR THE HOUSTON...GALVESTON...AND BRAZORIA AREAS FOR
FRIDAY MARCH 31, 2017.

ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAVORABLE FOR PRODUCING
HIGH LEVELS OF OZONE POLLUTION IN THE HOUSTON...GALVESTON AND
SURROUNDING AREAS ON FRIDAY. YOU CAN HELP PREVENT OZONE POLLUTION BY
SHARING A RIDE...WALKING...RIDING A BICYCLE...TAKING YOUR LUNCH TO
WORK...AVOIDING DRIVE THROUGH LANES...CONSERVING ENERGY AND KEEPING YOUR
VEHICLE PROPERLY TUNED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON OZONE:

OZONE: THE FACTS (WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/AIRQUALITY/MONOPS/OZONEFACTS.HTML)
EPA AIR NOW:
(WWW.AIRNOW.GOV/INDEX.CFM?ACTION=AIRNOW.LOCAL_CITY&CITYID=236)
TAKE CARE OF TEXAS: (WWW.TAKECAREOFTEXAS.ORG/AIR/AIRQUALITY)

$$

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Mar. 29 17


Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.

West Houston, TX, during the late morning.

West Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
West Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Summary: The day was warm, mostly cloudy, and wet. A line of thunderstorms passed through the Houston, TX area during the late morning and afternoon. There may have been some lingering storms in some areas of Houston, TX, during the evening and night, but the majority of the rain left during the afternoon. There were weather statements, tornado warnings, and flood advisories issued. The wind speeds looked to be calm with moderate to moderately strong gusts. The low temps were in the 60's, I think, and the high temps were mostly in the 70's, or maybe 80's. There was some storm damage reported and even a tornado, or possible tornado reported in southwest Houston, TX.


Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX.


Thoughts: That was an interesting storm. I enjoyed watching the heavy rain.


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 292103
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
403 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Strong thunderstorms continue to move east of the Houston metro
this afternoon, but have left anywhere from 1 to over 3 inches of
rain and multiple reports of damage in their wake. This storm,
and associated storms stretching from Polk County southwest to
near Freeport. These storms will continue to translate east of the
region over the next few hours, clearing the region by 7 to 9 PM
CDT.

Afternoon water vapor imagery shows the compact upper level storm
system responsible for today`s severe weather churning over
Oklahoma, with another strong disturbance located farther up
stream off the Pacific Northwest coast. An upper trough axis
associated with the Southern Plains low will swing across Texas
tonight, aiding the southeastward progress of a cold front
analyzed across West Central Texas this afternoon. Drying and
stabilization in the wake of today`s storms should make the
frontal passage across the region a dry one, with Thursday morning
lows in the mid 50s to mid 60s about 10 degrees cooler than what
was observed this morning.

Westerly flow and shortwave ridging building across the region on
Thursday and Friday will allow for dry conditions to persist into
the beginning of the weekend, with temperatures dramatically
warming into the mid to possibly upper 80s by Friday and Saturday.
As the Pacific Northwest system drops across the Four Corners and
reaches the High Plains on Saturday, low rain chances will return
to the region on Saturday as moisture returns to the region
(possibly along a developing sea breeze).

Increasing lift ahead of the approaching upper low will result in
periods of showers and thunderstorms spreading across the region
Sunday night, with the development of numerous showers and
thunderstorms possible Sunday and Sunday night as the main energy
from the upper low reaches the region. Given the upper pattern
across the region, both severe weather and heavy rain appear
possible per CIPS Analog Threat Guidance on Sunday. Dry and warm
conditions are expected in the wake of Sunday`s system into the
middle of next week.

Huffman

&&

.MARINE...
Carrying small craft advisories into this evening due to the
moderate to strong south winds feeding into area storms and
also the elevated seas. Lighter winds can be expected overnight
ahead of a cold front that will move off the coast before
sunrise. Northwest winds behind the front will quickly return
to the south on Friday and increase through the weekend. Caution
and/or advisory flags might be needed over the weekend. Another
Pacific front pushes through early Monday which will shift
winds again.  42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      55  78  56  87  63 /  10  10   0  10  10
Houston (IAH)              60  78  57  86  65 /  30  10   0  10  10
Galveston (GLS)            65  75  66  79  71 /  40  10   0  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until midnight CDT tonight
     for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to
     the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until midnight CDT tonight for the
     following zones: Coastal waters from High Island to
     Freeport out 20 NM...Galveston Bay...Waters from Freeport
     to the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters
     from High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Discussion...14
Aviation/Marine...42


Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
236 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

TXZ178-179-199-200-213-214-227-237-238-301945-
Brazoria-Chambers-Fort Bend-Galveston-Harris-Liberty-Montgomery-
Polk-San Jacinto-
236 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

An upper level system will continue showers and thunderstorms,
moving from the west to the east across the southeast Texas this
afternoon. The primary hazards expected are strong winds, hail,
and locally heavy rainfall; although, isolated tornadoes and
localized flooding will be possible along this line of storms.
Frequent lightning is also expected with theses storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Another storm system will move across Southeast Texas over the
weekend and into early Monday. Isolated strong to severe
thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall are possible mainly
Sunday and Sunday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to relay any severe weather reports to the
National Weather Service or local law enforcement.

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Mar. 28 17


Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late afternoon.

Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Summary: The day was warm, sunny, and windy. Some rain. I didn't see any rain on the radar. I felt and saw a light sprinkle near my house in northwest Houston, TX, at Sprouts, during the late evening. I didn't feel, see, or hear about any other rain drops falling anywhere in, or near the Houston, TX area, during any other time of the day. The wind speeds were calm with moderate to moderately strong gusts during the morning and early and mid-afternoon. The wind speeds were calm with moderate to moderately strong gusts with some really strong gusts around 20 to maybe 30 mph, during the late afternoon, evening, and early night. There were no watches, warnings, advisories, or weather statements issued for the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day, that I know of. The low temps were in the 60's, or maybe 70's, or the combination of both with highs in the 80's, for the Houston, TX area.


Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX.


Thoughts: I experienced a lot more gusty winds than I anticipated. I am wondering how strong Wednesday's thunderstorms are going to be.

Monday, March 27, 2017

Mar. 27 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
West Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
West, or maybe northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Summary: The day was warm, dry, and sunny. Maybe some rain. I felt a few possible rain drops, but didn't see, or hear about any rain. There were no watches, warnings, advisories, or weather statements issued that I know of for the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. The wind speeds were calm with moderate to moderately strong gusts with some really strong 20 to 25 mph gusts. The low temps were in the 60's, I think, and the high temps were in the mid 80's with maybe some areas getting into the upper 80's, for the Houston, TX area.


Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX.


Thoughts: It was another warm and pleasant day. I am looking forward to some more rain chances for the Houston, TX area on Wednesday.

Mar. 26 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.

On the way to, or maybe in Spring, TX, during the early morning.

Spring, TX, during the early morning.
Dennis Johnston Park in Spring, TX, during the mid-morning.

On the Judy Overby Bell Trail in Humble, TX, during the mid-morning.


Still on the Judy Overby Bell Trail in Humble, TX, during the late morning.
Dennis Johnston Park in Spring, TX, during the late morning.
Spring, TX, I think, during the early afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
Katy, TX, during the late afternoon.
Katy, TX, during the early evening.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.


Summary: The day was sunny, dry, and warm. 


Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX, Cypress, TX, Katy, TX, Spring, TX, and Humble, TX.


Thoughts: Sorry this is coming a day late and I forgot what the weather was like, or any other information. I did stay awake enough to get info on the pic locations. 

Saturday, March 25, 2017

Mar. 25 17


Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
West Houston, TX, during the early morning.
West Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
West Houston, TX, during the mid-afternoon.
West Houston, TX, during the late afternoon.
West Houston, TX, during the early evening.

Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Summary: The day was mostly sunny, a little cool, and mostly dry. The day started out mostly cloudy, but then became clear during the mid and late morning. A line of showers and thunderstorms passed through the Houston, TX area during the early morning. I saw some drizzle in west Houston, TX. The radar showed a line of light to moderate rain passing over my house during the early morning. There was a special weather statement issued with the showers and thunderstorms. I don't remember seeing, or hearing about any other weather statement, or advisory, watch, or warning being issued for the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. The wind speeds were calm with moderate to moderately strong gusts. There might have been some really strong 20 to 25 mph wind gusts during the early morning. I didn't hear about any storm damage, or flooding, just some big puddles. The low temps were in the 60's, or maybe 50's and the high temps were in the 70's, or maybe low 80's, for the Houston, TX area. The temperature felt warm with a little cool to cool wind.


Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX.


Thoughts: It felt a little cooler than I thought it would, but it didn't feel cold so that's good.



Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
528 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-261030-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Grimes-Harris-Houston-Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Wharton-
528 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A line of showers and thunderstorms will push east of the region
very early this morning. The stronger storms could produce brief
gusty winds in excess of 35 mph and pea size hail. The storms
should exit the region by 9 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A vigorous storm system will track across North Texas on
Wednesday. This system will bring a good chance of showers and
thunderstorms to the region on Wednesday. A few of the storms over
the northern half of the region could be strong with damaging
winds and brief but locally heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$