Monday, August 28, 2017

Aug. 28 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-morning.


Summary: The day was warm, wet, and cloudy. More light to moderate with mostly moderately heavy bands and some heavy to really heavy bands of rain were falling from Harvey, in and around the Houston, TX area, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. Stratus and nimbus clouds, looked to cover the whole sky, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. The wind speeds looked to be gentle to moderate with moderately strong gusts with some occasional 20 to 30 mph gusts with maybe some 40+ mph gusts. It felt warm, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. There were numerous flood warnings and a flash flood watch, along with a Tropical Storm Warning, Civil Emergency Message, Hazardous Weather Outlook, A Hurricane Local Statement, issued for the Houston, TX area, by NOAA. The low temps looked to be in the 70's with maybe some 60's and the high temps looked to be in the 70's with maybe some 80's, for the Houston, TX area.


Monday Aug. 28 17 1:40AM: Day Four. All has become quite now, after receiving a few bands of heavy to really heavy rain, last night, from around 9 pm through 1:30 am. Just some light to moderate rain with some 20 to 30, maybe even 40+ mph wind gusts occurring right now. I haven’t heard about any new flood, or storm damage information.

Monday Aug. 28 17 8:00AM: Day Four. Mostly light to moderate bands have been falling with some occasional moderately heavy to heavy and maybe even some very heavy rain bands, have been falling in and around the Houston, TX area, since my last report earlier this morning. There have been some occasional 30 to possibly 40+ mph gusts right before some of the rain bands. No new storm damage to report. NOAA has re-issued the Tropical Storm Warning for the Houston, TX area. I don’t know if the flooding has gotten any better, or worse with last nights rain.

Monday Aug. 28 17 12:50PM: Day Four. More moderate to moderately heavy to heavy rain bands continue to pound the streets of Houston, TX. The National Guard and the Navy have been called in to help rescue the people that are in the path of the Addicks Dam release and any other people that are stranded. So lots of flooding still occurring. More gusty winds of 20 to 30 mph have been blowing. No more storm damage, or tornadoes, but still lots of flooding. Hurricane Harvey, now a tropical storm continues to move more south east into the Gulf of Mexico. Houston, TX is still waiting for Harvey to weaken, or at least move far enough off shore to protect Houston, TX from Harvey’s rain bands. That hasn’t happened yet.

Monday Aug. 28 17 9:00PM: Day Four. The dams are still being released with more neighborhoods with in the flood path. Houston, TX is at an utter chaos. The rain bands have still been moderate to moderately heavy with some heavy bands, since this morning, through the early night. The east side of Houston, TX seems to be getting the most rain right now as Harvey moves more south east into the Gulf of Mexico. There have still been some occasional 20 to 30 mph wind gusts with maybe some very occasional 40+ mph wind gusts. No tornadoes, or tornado watches, or warnings to report. There is still a tropical storm warning out for the Houston, TX area. Harvey has strengthened a little in the Gulf of Mexico, but is still expected to stay a tropical storm. I am hoping that Harvey moves east enough from Houston, TX to give us a good rain break, once and for all. Lots of water rescues going on right now.  I am tired of worrying about people’s safety. I am hoping this ends soon. It should be over my Wednesday afternoon, I am thinking.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: Well another round of unwanted rain for the Houston, TX area. I am thinking Wednesday afternoon well be when all of the heavy rain bands will be gone out of the Houston, TX area. I am hoping so.


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 282343
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
643 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 516 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017/

DISCUSSION...
TS Harvey was located just off the coast of Port O`Connor this
afternoon. Heaviest rainfall was occurring from the north side of
the storm`s center northward into Houston. Rainfall of 4 to 8
inches will be possible in these locations through the remainder
of this afternoon and through this evening. Bands of moderate to
heavy rainfall will continue into Wednesday as TS Harvey tracks
slowly along the Upper Texas coast and then turns northeastward
during the next three days. The storm is forecast to lift
northeast of the area on Thursday, ending the heavy rain and storm
surge threat.

Additional life-threatening rainfall of 10 to 20 inches with
isolated higher amounts are possible between tonight and
Wednesday. If these amounts materialize, the results could be
devastating, especially if any of these rains fall where
catastrophic flooding has already occurred.

40

&&

.AVIATION...
Still seeing quite a bit of activity over SE TX this evening as the
Tropical Storm Harvey lingers over the region. As this system moves
a bit further offshore, some slight strengthening is possible. Have
increased winds/wind gusts overnight in response. Otherwise not too
many changes from the prevailing SHRA and low CIGS. 41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      71  79  71  79  71 /  80  80  70  60  60
Houston (IAH)              72  76  72  79  72 / 100 100  90  80  60
Galveston (GLS)            75  83  74  83  76 /  90  90  80  60  50

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Tropical Storm Warning for the following zones: Brazoria...
     Chambers...Galveston...Harris...Jackson...Liberty...
     Matagorda.

     Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday evening for the following
     zones: Austin...Brazoria...Brazos...Burleson...Chambers...
     Colorado...Fort Bend...Galveston...Grimes...Harris...
     Houston...Jackson...Liberty...Madison...Matagorda...
     Montgomery...Polk...San Jacinto...Trinity...Walker...
     Waller...Washington...Wharton.

GM...Tropical Storm Warning for the following zones: Coastal waters
     from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...
     Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM...
     Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay...Waters from Freeport to the
     Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High
     Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Discussion...99
Aviation/Marine...41


Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
522 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-
227-235>238-291100-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-
Coastal waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out
20 NM-Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM-
Colorado-Fort Bend-Galveston-Galveston Bay-Grimes-Harris-Houston-
Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-Matagorda Bay-Montgomery-Polk-
San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to
60 NM-Waters from High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM-
Wharton-
522 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Periods of mainly light to moderate rain with embedded showers and
thunderstorms containing heavier rains can be expected across the
area today and tonight as Tropical Storm Harvey moves off the coast
near Matagorda Bay. Any heavy rain falling on locations that have
already received record breaking rainfall will be devastating.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Harvey is expected to work its way up the Texas coast on Tuesday
and Wednesday. This track should bring periods of mainly light to
moderate rain with embedded showers and thunderstorms containing
heavier rains for the area. Any heavy rain falling on locations
that have already received record breaking rainfall will be
devastating.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters will be possible through Wednesday.

$$

Tropical Storm Warning

Harvey Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 34
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX  AL092017
419 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

TXZ213-290530-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Harris-
419 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Elevated
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - Emergency plans should include a reasonable threat for
          tropical storm force wind of 39 to 57 mph.
        - To be safe, prepare for the potential of limited wind
          impacts. Remaining efforts to secure properties should now
          be brought to completion.
        - Hazardous wind is possible. Failure to adequately shelter
          may result in serious injury. Move to safe shelter before
          the wind becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
          over.
        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
        - Scattered power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet
          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
        - Window of concern: Begins late this afternoon

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Elevated
        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - Emergency planning should include a reasonable threat for
          peak storm surge flooding of greater than 1 foot above
          ground.
        - To be safe, prepare for the potential of limited storm
          surge flooding impacts. Efforts should now be underway.
        - Localized inundation is possible. Follow the instructions
          of local officials. Consider voluntary evacuation if
          recommended. Leave if evacuation orders are issued.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
          immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
          farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
        - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become
          overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous
          in places where surge water covers the road.
        - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes,
          mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
        - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks,
          boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from
          moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 12-18 inches, with
          locally higher amounts

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Extreme
        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
          the previous assessment.
        - Emergency plans should include a reasonable threat of
          extreme flooding where peak rainfall totals vastly exceed
          amounts conducive for flash flooding and rapid inundation.
          Rescues and emergency evacuations are very likely.
        - To be safe, aggressively prepare for the potential of
          devastating to catastrophic flooding rain impacts.
        - Life-threatening flooding is possible. Failure to take
          action may result in serious injury, significant loss of
          life, or human suffering. If flood related watches and
          warnings are issued, heed recommended actions. Poor
          decisions may result in being cut off or needlessly risk
          lives. If vulnerable, relocate to safe shelter on higher
          ground before flood waters arrive.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic
        - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations
          and rescues.
        - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their
          banks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams,
          creeks, canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood
          control systems and barriers may become stressed.
        - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
          communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
          washed away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover
          escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
          raging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
          become very dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures
          with some weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Elevated
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - When implementing emergency plans, include a reasonable
          threat for isolated tornadoes.
        - To be safe, prepare for the potential of limited tornado
          impacts.
        - Listen for tornado watches and warnings. Be ready to
          shelter quickly if a tornado approaches.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
          power and communications disruptions.
        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
          off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

$$

Hurricane Local Statement
Tropical Storm Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 34
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-290530-

Tropical Storm Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 34
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX  AL092017
430 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

This product covers Southeast Texas

**LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for Chambers and Galveston

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Brazoria, Harris,
      Jackson, Liberty, and Matagorda
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Chambers and Galveston

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 80 miles southwest of Galveston TX or about 20 miles
      east-southeast of Matagorda TX
    - 28.5N 95.7W
    - Storm Intensity 45 mph
    - Movement East-southeast or 110 degrees at 3 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The life-threatening flooding event around the Houston metro continues
today with water rescues and evacuations still occurring in the area.
Per observations, a widespread 2 to 5 inches of rain has still fallen
in the past 6 hours across areas from SE Harris County southwestward to
northern Matagorda County. Given the completely saturated ground, this
amount of rainfall and future expected heavy rainfall will keep the
flooding threat at the forefront of this storm. Tornadoes have been a
threat the last couple of days and while there is still a threat today,
the overall threat is less than the last couple of days. Elevated
tides will cause the recession of coastal flood waters to be slow,
likely lasting into the first part of the week. As Harvey drifts just
off the Upper Texas Coast, the potential for tropical storm force winds
will also extend up the coastline. Ultimately, of the multiple hazards
present with this storm, the greatest threat to life and property
remains the ongoing extreme rainfall and its consequent prolonged and
catastrophic flash flooding event.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
southeast Texas. Remain well guarded against life-threatening flood
waters having catastrophic impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
      in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control
      systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
      routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
      with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
      dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
      or washed out.


* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across coastal
areas of Southeast Texas. Remain well braced against a tornado event
having limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across Southeast Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
Galveston Bay and the Upper Texas Coast. Remain well away from locally
hazardous surge having limited impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across Southeast Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
Southeast Texas. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind having
limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Do not return to evacuated areas until hazardous winds diminish and
flood waters abate.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to remain safely sheltered from the storm. Stay
inside and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case
you lose electrical power. Locate your battery powered radio and
flashlight from your Emergency Supplies Kit. Keep these items close.

During the peak of the storm, keep your shoes on and rain gear handy.
Boots and tennis shoes offer the best foot protection if you become
unexpectedly exposed to the elements.

Continue to keep your cell phone well charged for as long as
possible. If you lose power, use it more sparingly and mainly for
personal emergencies and check-ins. Do not overload communications
systems with idle chatter.

Do not venture outside while in the eye of a hurricane. Within the
eye, weather conditions may temporarily improve which can be
misleading. Once the eye passes, the wind will change direction and
return to dangerous speeds. Heavy rain will also return. Be smart and
remain safely hidden from the storm.

Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or
videos. Be wise and avoid becoming another statistic.

Be ready to move to the identified safe room if your home or shelter
begins to fail. Quickly move to an interior room on the lowest floor.
Put as many sturdy walls between you and the storm as you can.
Protect your head and body.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Houston/Galveston TX around 1030 PM CDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$

Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
443 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-290545-
/O.CON.KHGX.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-170831T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Grimes-Harris-Houston-Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Wharton-
Including the cities of Alvin, Anahuac, Angleton, Bay City,
Bellville, Brenham, Brookshire, Bryan, Caldwell, Cleveland,
Coldspring, College Station, Columbus, Conroe, Corrigan,
Crockett, Dayton, Eagle Lake, Edna, El Campo, Freeport,
Friendswood, Galveston, Groveton, Hempstead, Houston, Humble,
Huntsville, Katy, Lake Jackson, Lake Somerville, League City,
Liberty, Livingston, Madisonville, Missouri City, Mont Belvieu,
Navasota, Onalaska, Palacios, Pasadena, Pearland, Pierce,
Prairie View, Richmond, Rosenberg, Sealy, Shepherd, Sugar Land,
Texas City, The Woodlands, Tomball, Trinity, Weimar, Wharton,
Willis, and Winnie
443 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...AREA`S FLASH FLOODING AND BAYOU FLOODING WILL BE TRANSITIONING
TO RIVER FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Southeast Texas and southeast Texas...including
  the following counties...in Southeast Texas...Jackson. In
  southeast Texas...Austin...Brazoria...Brazos...Burleson...
  Chambers...Colorado...Fort Bend...Galveston...Grimes...
  Harris...Houston...Liberty...Madison...Matagorda...
  Montgomery...Polk...San Jacinto...Trinity...Walker...Waller...
  Washington and Wharton.

* Through Wednesday evening

* Catastrophic and epic flooding continued this afternoon in and
  around the Houston and Galveston areas and surrounding
  communities. Rainfall since Saturday has totaled 15 to over 30
  inches. Additional life-threatening rainfall of 10 to 20 inches
  with isolated higher amounts are possible. If these amounts
  materialize, the results could be devastating, especially if any
  of these rains fall where catastrophic flooding has already
  occurred.

* The Flash Flood Watch could be extended beyond Thursday
  evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

Do not attempt to travel into flooded areas if you are in a safe
place and do not drive into flooded roadways.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should additional Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Civil Emergency Message

TXC201-301345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
NORTHGATE CROSSING MUNICIPAL UTILITY NO. 1
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
838 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
NORTHGATE CROSSING MUNICIPAL UTILITY NO. 1 (THE WATER DISTRICT)

THE NORTHGATE CROSSING MUNICIPAL UTILITY NO. 1 (THE WATER
DISTRICT) HAS ANNOUNCED THAT A MANDATORY EVACUATION FROM THE
WATER DISTRICT IS NECESSARY. THIS INCLUDES THE NORTHWOOD PINES
SUBDIVISION. IT IS POSSIBLE, IF CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE
AT THE CURRENT RATE, YOU MAY NOT BE ABLE TO LEAVE THE WATER
DISTRICT AFTER 11 PM.

NORTHWOOD PINES RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR IMMEDIATE MANDATORY
EVACUATION. PLEASE EXIT THE WATER DISTRICT ALONG I-45 SOUTH AND
PROCEED TO SPRING HIGH SCHOOL LOCATED AT 19428 I-45, SPRING TX
77373 FOR SHELTER. TO REACH SPRING HIGH SCHOOL, EXIT CYPRESSWOOD
DRIVE AND TURN LEFT. SPRING HIGH SCHOOL IS LOCATED ON THE LEFT.

$$

There were also a lot of flood warnings, but there were too 
many of them for me to post.

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