Thursday, August 31, 2017

Aug. 31 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.


Summary: The day was very warm, sunny, and dry. No rain. There were no showers, or thunderstorms anywhere in, or near the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day, that I know of. I didn't see any showers, or thunderstorms on the Houston, TX radar, during anytime of the day. I didn't see, feel, or hear any rain drops. Alto stratus and stratus clouds with maybe some stratocumulus clouds, looked to be scattered across the sky, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and maybe night. The wind speeds looked to be calm with maybe some gentle to moderate gusts. It felt warm, during the early and mid-morning, and night. It felt very warm, almost hot, during the late morning, afternoon, and early evening. It felt very warm, then warm, during the late evening. There was an Air Quality Alert issued and there were still many flood warnings issued for the Houston, TX area. There were no other watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX, that I know of. The low temps looked to be in the 70's with maybe some 60's and the high temps looked to be in the 80's with maybe some 70's and 90's, for the Houston, TX area.


Houston, TX Storm Summary: No storm damage, just ongoing flooding in and around the Houston, TX area. There was no rain anywhere in, or near the Houston, TX area, that I know of.


My Storm Summary: I didn't see, feel, or hear any rain drops. I saw some street flooding that was still occurring with blocked off roads. I had to turn around from my usual way home and to work, because of flooded roads. The grass was still wet when I stepped on it. I didn't see any new storm damage. I did find the bottom undercarriage-bumper of a Range Rover, in a ditch, where I work, in northwest Houston, TX.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: It was a pretty pleasant day, here in Houston, TX. The air and temperatures felt nice. I am sadly hoping that Houston, TX does not get any rain soon. I just think that Houston, TX has received too much rain lately and cannot take anymore.


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 312312
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
612 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR tonight and tomorrow. Light mainly north winds developing this evening
and persisting overnight. Maybe some early morning MVFR fog developing
at LBX and/or SGR, but think chances are too low to include in the TAF.
Light mainly north winds persist into tomorrow afternoon when a possible
southeast wind shift takes place.  42
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017/

DISCUSSION...
The radar and satellite is clear across Southeast Texas today in
the wake of the remnants of Harvey. In the western part of the
area, cumulus cloud streets are already beginning to crop up
again. With the clearer skies, GOES-16 imagery reveals many post-
storm features including flooding across the area. Quiet weather
will continue into the weekend, though a few showers and/or storms
may crop up in the afternoon deeper into the weekend, fairly
typical for this time of year.

Next week, we`ll be looking for a trough of low pressure - being
watched by NHC for potential development - to lift northward out
of the Bay of Campeche towards Southeast Texas. At the same time,
a trough will be pushing through the northern states, and a
surface cold front will push towards our area. Details on strength
and timing of these features will be extremely important in
determining what, if any, impacts we see in our area. This trough
looks to be pretty strong, and recent model trends are optimistic.
But, it`s important to remember that we are in the peak of
hurricane season and the situation will have to be monitored
closely in the coming days.

In the wake of the front, we should look for drier conditions on
north to northeasterly winds late this week. With the lower
dewpoints and colder airmass in place, temperatures are likely to
be notably cooler than seasonal averages.

MARINE...

Winds and seas should remain light to moderate from the west
tonight going into Thursday. For the rest of the week winds should
be variable and turning easterly over the weekend. Seas should
remain low but could increase late in the weekend and early next
week as winds increase from the east.

Overpeck

TROPICAL...

Two features of note exist in the tropics. Both deserve watching,
but there are still no indications yet if there will be any
impacts for Southeast Texas, so it`s simply appropriate to
continue to monitor, and attempt to replenish emergency supplies
after Harvey as practical.

The first feature is an area of low pressure in the Bay of
Campeche. This area has seen sporadic support for development from
the models, but recent trends have been more against significant
development. Also, given that the trough/front coming from the
north seems rather strong, it would tend to imply that it would be
intercepted and absorbed into the front well offshore, and shunted
to the northeast away from us. That said, it is in a close
location in the peak of hurricane season, and will move in our
direction in the coming days. It should be monitored for the
latest, as subtle changes in timing or strength of the low or the
expected front could significantly change the scenario.

The other feature is Irma, now a major hurricane over the east
Atlantic. It`s been rapidly strengthening today, having started
the day as a tropical storm. This storm is far away, at least 5
days from even the Lesser Antilles, much less the United States.
The model envelope at this range, as one might expect, is quite
wide. There are many possible scenarios, the large majority of
which don`t involve Southeast Texas. With so much distance between
us and this storm, this is also a feature in which monitoring its
progress and ensuring plans and kits are in place are good
actions to take.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      71  92  70  92  71 /   0  10   0   0  10
Houston (IAH)              72  91  71  91  72 /   0  10  10  10  10
Galveston (GLS)            76  87  75  87  76 /   0  20  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

40/42/43

Air Quality Alert

TXZ213-237-238-020000-

AIR QUALITY ALERT MESSAGE
TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
209 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

...OZONE ACTION DAY FOR FRIDAY...

THE TEXAS COMMISSION ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY (TCEQ)...HAS ISSUED AN
OZONE ACTION DAY FOR THE HOUSTON...GALVESTON...AND BRAZORIA AREAS FOR
FRIDAY...AUGUST 31ST.

ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAVORABLE FOR PRODUCING
HIGH LEVELS OF OZONE POLLUTION IN THE HOUSTON...GALVESTON AND
SURROUNDING AREAS ON FRIDAY. YOU CAN HELP PREVENT OZONE POLLUTION BY
SHARING A RIDE...WALKING...RIDING A BICYCLE...TAKING YOUR LUNCH TO
WORK...AVOIDING DRIVE THROUGH LANES...CONSERVING ENERGY AND KEEPING YOUR
VEHICLE PROPERLY TUNED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON OZONE:

OZONE: THE FACTS (WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/AIRQUALITY/MONOPS/OZONEFACTS.HTML)
EPA AIR NOW:
(WWW.AIRNOW.GOV/INDEX.CFM?ACTION=AIRNOW.LOCAL_CITY&CITYID=236)
TAKE CARE OF TEXAS: (WWW.TAKECAREOFTEXAS.ORG/AIR/AIRQUALITY)

$$

There were too many flood warnings to post.

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