Sunday, August 6, 2017

Aug. 5 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
West Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-afternoon. (There were still stratus and stratocumulus clouds in the sky. Just not as much.)

Summary: The day was mostly cloudy, very warm, and a little wet. Isolated light showers and maybe a few thunderstorms looked to have popped up in and around the Houston, TX area, during the early morning, becoming more widespread by the early afternoon and then dissipating, sometime during the mid, or maybe late afternoon, before almost completely disappearing, except for a few light showers, during the evening. I drove through a few light to moderately heavy showers and thunderstorms in west and northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon. Alto stratus, stratus and stratocumulus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, during the early morning. Stratus and stratocumulus clouds started to cover most of the sky, sometime during the late, or maybe mid-morning. Stratus, stratocumulus, and nimbus clouds, looked to cover the whole and sometimes almost the whole sky, during the early afternoon. Stratus and stratocumulus clouds looked to be scattered across the sky, during the mid and late afternoon, evening, and maybe night. The wind speeds looked to be calm with gentle to moderate gusts with maybe some moderately strong gusts. It felt warm, during the early morning, early afternoon, and night. It started to feel hot, during the late morning. It felt very warm, almost hot, during the mid and late afternoon. It felt very warm, maybe almost hot, during the early evening. It started to feel warm, during the late evening. There was a Hazardous Weather Outlook issued for the Houston, TX area, by NOAA. There were no other watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temps looked to be in the 70's and the high temps looked to be in the 90's with maybe some 80's, for the Houston, TX area.

Storm Summary: There were no reports of flooding that I know of, other than some big puddles and ponding on the roads, that didn't last very long. There were no reports of storm damage, that I know of.

My Storm Summary: I started to see some dark nimbus looking clouds at around 12 pm, right as i was leaving work, in northwest Houston, TX. I saw a big flash of lightning and heard a big rumble of thunder while I was battling Moltrese a legendary Pokemon in Pokemon GO, in a parking lot in west Houston, TX. I was trying to find a gas station to fill my cars tires with air, where I found the Pokemon gym with the Moltrese. Light to moderate rain was falling as I was driving through west Houston, TX. Once I started to drive into northwest Houston, TX, towards my home. The thunder and lightning had stopped, but the rain had started to get heavier becoming moderately heavy to maybe sometimes heavy, all the way to my house in northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon. The rain had looked to have stopped sometime during the early afternoon. I didn't see anymore rain after that. I didn't witness any flooding, other than some ponding and big puddles on the roads and parking lots. The ground dried out quickly. I didn't see any storm damage.

Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX.

Thoughts: And no I wasn't able to catch the Moltrese. I needed more people. (See: My Storm Summary)

Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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FXUS64 KHGX 060155

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
855 PM CDT Sat Aug 5 2017

For the large part, the forecast seems on track. The radar is
clear, and only high clouds remain around the area, so for most
will remove what small PoPs were in place for the rest of the
evening. There does appear to be a subtle bit of surface
convergence near our northern boundary, so will keep some very low
rain chances there out of an abundance of caution, but it should
stay dry.

Short range guidance is pretty insistent that the entire area will
remain dry through the night, but GOES-16 shows a pretty juicy
environment over and near the Gulf waters with precipitable water
around or above 2 inches. Forecast soundings put MLCAPE around
2000 j/kg with minimal CINH and is a diurnally preferred time
frame for marine convection, so will keep the slight chance PoPs
in place towards morning. A key will be looking for land breeze
development to provide a focus for initiation. If we get it, we
should see some cells pop up. If not, well, egg on my face for not
going dry right now.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 651 PM CDT Sat Aug 5 2017/

VFR overnight for most of the area. Could see some MVFR fog
development at CXO and LBX and maybe some MVFR ceilings at
CLL. Think we will see less SHRA/TSRA coverage tomorrow than
what we had today, with daytime heating helping to develop
inland activity toward the coast in the mid to late morning
hours and then further inland in the mid to late afternoon
hours. Showing an increase in S to SW winds tomorrow with
this TAF package, and they could get gusty too.  42


A very moist airmass is in place across SE TX and therefore we are
seeing scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to develop
and move to the E-NE across the area. Because of the decent storm
movement today rainfall amounts have not been excessive. Seeing
some isolated 1 inch totals. Expect to see isolated showers and
storms continue into the early eve across central and northern

Model guidance is in pretty good agreement that we will see less
convection tomorrow, so have nudged pops down some (around 30
percent). Appears we will be between upper level disturbances
most of tomorrow, but there is still plenty of moisture and
instability with heating for convection. By late Sunday night
expect convection to increase from the southwest and across
coastal areas as a weak mid/upper level trough approaches. Monday
and Tuesday look wet across the area as the weak trough drifts
east overhead and deep moisture remains pooled over the area south
of a stationary front that will sit over north Texas. Wednesday
and Thursday a broad west-east mid/upper level ridge will begin
to build over the area and reduce the rain chances and allow for
max temps to climb closer to normal.

No significant change on the thinking with the tropical
disturbance in the central Caribbean. It is getting a little
better organized and a depression or storm may form before it
reaches the Yucatan peninsula. Model guidance continues to show a
continued w-nw track into the Bay of Campeche and then into
Mexico next week. 33

The main item of concern for the next several days will be the
chances of thunderstorms over the bays and the Gulf. Otherwise,
light to moderate onshore winds can be expected for the most part.
An increasing pressure gradient should lead to moderate onshore
winds mainly during the night and morning time periods through early
Tuesday. Mariners should monitor the progress of a tropical
disturbance that is currently expected to move westward across the
Yucatan Peninsula and into the southern Gulf of Mexico around the
middle of the upcoming week.


College Station (CLL)      77  94  76  90  75 /  20  30  20  60  50
Houston (IAH)              78  93  78  89  77 /  20  30  20  60  30
Galveston (GLS)            82  89  81  88  81 /  20  30  30  50  20





Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
534 AM CDT Sat Aug 5 2017

Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
534 AM CDT Sat Aug 5 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across Southeast Texas
today. Some of these thunderstorms will be capable of brief heavy

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible across Southeast Texas
through Friday. Some of these thunderstorms may be capable of
brief heavy rainfall.


Spotter activation will not be needed.


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