Tuesday, August 29, 2017

Aug. 29 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Summary: The day was warm, wet, and windy. More moderately heavy to heavy with some really heavy rain bands fell in east and some other areas of Houston, TX, during the early morning. light to moderate with some moderately heavy rain was still falling in and around the Houston, TX area, during the mid-morning, through the evening. I stopped seeing rain fall, sometime during the afternoon. Stratus and maybe some nimbus clouds looked to cover the whole sky, during the morning and early and mid-afternoon. Alto stratus and stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, during the late afternoon and evening. Stratus clouds looked to cover most of, or maybe the whole sky, during the night. The wind speeds looked to be gentle with moderate to moderately strong gusts with some 20 to 30 mph gusts with some occasional 40+ mph gusts. It felt warm with a little cool wind, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. There were numerous watches and warnings issued for the Houston, TX area, including many flood warnings and a flood watch, a Hurricane Local Statement, Tropical Storm Warning, and a Hazardous Weather Outlook, issued for the Houston, TX area, by NOAA. The low temps looked to be in the 70's with maybe some 60's and the high temps looked to be in the 80's, or maybe 70's with maybe some 80's, for the Houston, TX area.


Tuesday Aug. 29 17 12:30PM: Day Five. More light to moderate rain bands mostly falling at my house. I saw some more moderately heavy to heavy bands of rain last night and through the early morning. Light to moderate rain has been falling since the mid-morning, at my house, and most of west Houston, TX, with still some moderately heavy to heavy rain falling on the east side of Houston, TX. More flooding is occurring on the east side of Houston, TX. People are working hard to rescue them. I pray for their safety. I saw some minor storm damage to a street sign with a few small, downed tree limbs, on my way to a Kroger down the street from where I live. This is the first time that I have been out of the house, since Friday, Aug. 25, 2017, when Harvey made landfall in Rock Port, TX. I am still not able to get to work and it looks like the street where I work is going to be underwater, for a while. So I don’t know if I will be able to get to work anytime soon. But at least the rain looks to be slowing down considerably in my neighborhood. My house has had power and no flooding, throughout this whole tropical event. Which I am thankful for. I am still hoping and praying for my friends and family in and around the Houston, TX area. The wind speeds are still gentle to moderate with 20 to 30 mph gusts with maybe an occasional 40+ mph gust. It looks like Harvey is finally leaving the TX coast and is headed towards Louisana. My dad’s store in west Houston, TX, has not sustained any damage, or flooding, but I heard that the power is out. The reservoirs are still under a controlled release and it looks like the flooding is only going to get worse in some neighborhoods, before it gets any better. At lease the rain is going away.

Tuesday Aug. 29 17 4:40PM: Day Five. The rain has now pretty much stopped except for a few occasional light to moderate and possible moderately heavy showers, at my house. There still looks to be some heavier rain occurring far to the east Houston, TX area, as Harvey heads towards Louisana. The wind gusts around still around 20 to 30 with some possible 40+ mph gusts. The sky is still cloudy, but I am starting to see some patches of blue sky here and there and the sun is even trying to peak out! This is good news. But the worst is not over. Both the Addicks and Barker Reservoirs are still being emptied out by a controlled release, since the dams are having trouble handling all of the water that they have received these past few days. I am hoping that the end to the rainfall will help to stop the flood from getting worse.


Tuesday Aug. 29 17 9:30PM: Day Five. Well this might be my last Harvey report. The sun has started to peak out, late this afternoon and evening. The wind gusts were still around 20 to 30 with some possible 40+ mph gusts. I have not seen any rain since sometime this afternoon. It has been pretty dry in and around the Houston, TX area, since sometime this evening. All the rain looks to be out of the Houston, TX area, except for maybe an isolated light shower. The flood waters have rapidly begun to recede. Except for those areas of Houston, TX near the Addicks and Barkers reservoirs, where the water may still be rising. The rain should stay gone and the wind speeds are expected to decrease through tomorrow and be back to normal by Thursday. So long Harvey! 


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: Well it looks like Harvey has finally left the Houston, TX area, for the most part. Some sunny days up ahead for the Houston, TX area, I hope.


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 292230
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
530 PM CDT Tue Aug 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect for the eastern portions
of the upper TX coast tonight as Tropical Storm Harvey lingers to
the SW of Port Arthur. Rainfall continuing to cover almost all of
the eastern portions of our CWA, but the intensity of these rains
have decreased some given the abundant dry air wrapping around in
to it from the W/SW. Additional rainfall amounts tonight to range
from 3 to 5 inches for the E/NE portions of the area...with over-
night totals to the W/SW much lower (from one half to 1 inch). We
are also still seeing wind gusts up to 50mph in some locations.

As Harvey continues to move out to the NE...much drier conditions
will begin to settle over the region as the upper ridge builds in
from the west. Coupled with the flow in the wake of Harvey, deep-
ening N/NW winds will make for drier/less active weather Thurs on
into the start of the weekend. Daytime high temperatures could be
warming into the lower 90s with lows in the lower to mid 70s.

The long-range guidance is continuing to point at increasing POPS
by Sunday as deeper tropical moisture begins to surge in from the
western Gulf. At this point, will go with a broadbrush of 20%-30%
POPS for SE TX for this timeframe. 41

&&

.MARINE...
Tropical Storm Harvey is currently located 35 miles southeast of
Galveston Bay and will continue to move northeast and accelerate
inland over Western Louisiana tonight and Wednesday. Showers and
thunderstorms will continue across the Upper Texas Coastal waters
through Wednesday then begin to taper off. Tropical Storm Warnings
remain in effect until midnight tonight.

Seas are currently running 8 to 10 feet this afternoon and should
gradually subside to 3 to 5 feet on Wednesday.

Nearshore tides have been running 1 to 2 feet above normal this
afternoon and should return to near normal tide levels on Wednesday.
River and Bayou drainage has caused water to rise to nearly 10 feet
above normal in the Houston ship channel and 3 to 4 feet above
normal in Galveston Bay.   44

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      71  87  70  90  71 /  50  50  40  20  10
Houston (IAH)              73  85  73  92  72 /  80  70  50  30  10
Galveston (GLS)            72  84  77  89  78 /  80  60  50  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Tropical Storm Warning for the following zones: Brazoria...
     Chambers...Galveston...Harris...Jackson...Liberty...
     Matagorda.

     Flash Flood Watch until 1 AM CDT Wednesday for the following
     zones: Brazoria...Chambers...Fort Bend...Galveston...
     Harris...Liberty...Montgomery...Polk...San Jacinto...
     Trinity...Walker.

GM...Tropical Storm Warning for the following zones: Coastal waters
     from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...
     Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM...
     Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay...Waters from Freeport to the
     Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High
     Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
752 AM CDT Tue Aug 29 2017

TXZ164-177>179-199-200-213-214-226-227-236>238-301300-
Brazoria-Chambers-Fort Bend-Galveston-Harris-Liberty-Matagorda-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Wharton-
752 AM CDT Tue Aug 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY....

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Another day of spiraling bands coming onshore from Tropical Storm
Harvey will put down periods of one to two inches in the strongest
cores. Today and tomorrow`s additional rainfall may only total 4
to 6 inches in most areas but may be enough to keep the worst flooded
locations under water for an extra day or two...hampering clean up
efforts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
The final bands of an exiting Harvey will come around and put down
a few more inches across the extreme eastern and northeastern forecast
area. These bands should not be initiate significant flooding but
may be a nuisance to regional clean up efforts.

A tropical wave in the western Gulf may need to be monitored for
possible development over the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters still need to be vigilant and monitor Harvey`s rainfall
bands.

$$

Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
322 AM CDT Tue Aug 29 2017

TXZ164-177>179-199-200-213-214-226-227-236>238-300130-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170830T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KHGX.FF.A.0009.170829T0822Z-170830T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Brazoria-Chambers-Fort Bend-Galveston-Harris-Liberty-Matagorda-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Wharton-
Including the cities of Alvin, Anahuac, Angleton, Bay City,
Cleveland, Coldspring, Conroe, Corrigan, Dayton, El Campo,
Freeport, Friendswood, Galveston, Groveton, Houston, Humble,
Huntsville, Katy, Lake Jackson, League City, Liberty, Livingston,
Missouri City, Mont Belvieu, Onalaska, Palacios, Pasadena,
Pearland, Pierce, Richmond, Rosenberg, Shepherd, Sugar Land,
Texas City, The Woodlands, Tomball, Trinity, Wharton, Willis,
and Winnie
322 AM CDT Tue Aug 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS STILL IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
THOSE COUNTIES MOST IMPACTED BY THE EXTREME MULTI-DAY RAINFALL...

...AREA`S FLASH FLOODING WILL BE TRANSITIONING TO RIVER FLOODING
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

...THIS IS A CORRECTED FLASH FLOOD WATCH THAT REPLACES THE PREVIOUS
AREAL FLOOD WATCH...

The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for a portion of southeast Texas...including
  the following counties...Brazoria...Chambers...Fort Bend...
  Galveston...Harris...Liberty...Matagorda...Montgomery...Polk...
   San Jacinto...Trinity...Walker and Wharton.

* Through late tonight

* Catastrophic and epic flooding continued this evening in and
  around the Houston Galveston areas and surrounding communities.
  Rainfall since Saturday has totaled 20 to over 40 inches.
  Additional life-threatening rainfall of 4 to 8 inches are
  possible primarily near the immediate coast and far eastern
  counties of the forecast area as Harvey travels northeastward
  towards the Texas Louisiana border. Flash and bayou flooding
  will transition to more river flooding in the coming days.

* The Flash Flood Watch could be extended beyond Tuesday evening.


&&

* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding.

Do not attempt to travel into flooded areas. If you are in a
safe place...do not drive into flooded roadways.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
future Flood Warnings. Those living in areas that are close to
flooding should be prepared to take action should rainfall induce
flooding.


&&


$$

Tropical Storm Warning

Harvey Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 38
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX  AL092017
425 PM CDT Tue Aug 29 2017

TXZ213-300530-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Harris-
425 PM CDT Tue Aug 29 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 45 mph

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Elevated
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - Emergency plans should include a reasonable threat for
          tropical storm force wind of 39 to 57 mph.
        - To be safe, prepare for the potential of limited wind
          impacts. Remaining efforts to secure properties should now
          be brought to completion.
        - Hazardous wind is possible. Failure to adequately shelter
          may result in serious injury. Move to safe shelter before
          the wind becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
          over.
        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
        - Scattered power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet
          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
        - Window of concern: through Thursday morning

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Elevated
        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - Emergency considerations should posture for a reasonable
          threat for peak storm surge flooding of greater than 1 foot
          above ground.
        - To be safe, stay away from storm surge flooding capable of
          limited impacts.
        - Localized inundation is possible. Continue to follow the
          instructions of local officials.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
        - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional around 1 inch

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Extreme
        - The flooding rain threat has increased from the previous
          assessment.
        - Emergency plans should include a reasonable threat of
          extreme flooding where peak rainfall totals vastly exceed
          amounts conducive for flash flooding and rapid inundation.
          Rescues and emergency evacuations are very likely.
        - To be safe, aggressively prepare for the potential of
          devastating to catastrophic flooding rain impacts.
        - Life-threatening flooding is possible. Failure to take
          action may result in serious injury, significant loss of
          life, or human suffering. If flood related watches and
          warnings are issued, heed recommended actions. Poor
          decisions may result in being cut off or needlessly risk
          lives. If vulnerable, relocate to safe shelter on higher
          ground before flood waters arrive.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic
        - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations
          and rescues.
        - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their
          banks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams,
          creeks, canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood
          control systems and barriers may become stressed.
        - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
          communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
          washed away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover
          escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
          raging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
          become very dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures
          with some weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: None
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - Emergency plans need not include a threat for tornadoes.
          Showers and thunderstorms with strong gusty winds may still
          occur.
        - Little to no preparations needed to guard against tropical
          tornadoes.
        - Ensure readiness for the next tropical tornado event.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

$$
Hurricane Local Statement Tropical Storm Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 38 TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300545- Tropical Storm Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 38 National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX AL092017 440 PM CDT Tue Aug 29 2017 This product covers Southeast Texas **HARVEY CRAWLING TOWARD THE COAST DUMPING CATASTROPHIC RAINS OVER FAR SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Brazoria, Harris, Jackson, Liberty, and Matagorda - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect for Chambers and Galveston * STORM INFORMATION: - About 30 miles east-southeast of Galveston TX - 29.2N 94.3W - Storm Intensity 50 mph - Movement North-northeast or 30 degrees at 6 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------
Though the heaviest rain has shifted eastward towards the
Texas-Louisiana border, light to moderate rain from roughly I-45 and eastward continues today and the threat from catastrophic flooding around the Houston metro remains. Water rescues and evacuations are still ongoing across the
area. As of 3 PM CDT, the Cedar Bayou gauge at FM 1942 reported 51.88 i
nches of rain. If correct, this would be a new Texas and CONUS rainfall
event record, besting the 48 inches at Medina in 1978. It is also near the US record. Given the completely saturated ground, any current and future rainfall
will exacerbate conditions and hinder the recession of flood waters.
Elevated tides will further hinder the recession of coastal flood waters, and the higher tides will likely last into midweek. The effect of this historic
river and bayou flooding will remain ongoing long after the rains end.
The potential
for tropical storm force winds will also shift up the coastline while slowly decreasing down the coast towards Matagorda Bay. Fortunately, the tornado threat has largely shifted east of our area. Of the remaining threats in the area, the greatest threat to life and property
continues to be the ongoing and catastrophic flooding event. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across eastern portions of Southeast Texas. Remain well guarded against life-threatening flood waters having additional catastrophic impacts. If realized, these impacts include: - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding elsewhere in Southeast Texas. Remain well guarded against life-threatening flood waters having additional limited to devastating impacts. * SURGE: Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across the Upper Texas Coast around and near Galveston Bay. Remain well away from locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. Elsewhere across Southeast Texas, little to no impact is anticipated. * WIND: Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across Southeast Texas near and east of the Houston metro. Remain well
sheltered from hazardous wind having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Elsewhere across Southeast Texas, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Little to no additional impacts are anticipated at this time across Southeast Texas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Do not return to evacuated areas until hazardous winds diminish and flood waters abate. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to remain safely sheltered from the storm. Stay inside and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Locate your battery powered radio and flashlight from your Emergency Supplies Kit. Keep these items close. Continue to keep your cell phone well charged for as long as possible. If you lose power, use it more sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and check-ins. Do not overload communications systems with idle chatter. Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or videos. Be wise and avoid becoming another statistic. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston TX around 10 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant. $$
There were too many flood warnings for me to post.

2 comments:

  1. Glad your family did okay through Harvey, Joseph. Hope your friends also did. Definetely prayers for all. Hope you will be able to return soon to work.

    Betty

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks Betty. Everyone is safe that I know, so far. I am supposed to return to work tomorrow if the street doesn't flood from the releasing of the reservoir's.

      : )

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