Well a way more active scene weather wise from the bedroom window of my house today in northwest Houston, TX, than the previous days this week. Still no rain but saw lightning around 12 am. And then heard rumbles of thunder with maybe a lightning strike or two during the afternoon and maybe late morning and evening. Thick low stratus clouds looked to cover the whole sky during the early morning and at my house in northwest Houston, TX. Light to dark grey, storm looking cumulus clouds covered most of the sky during the mid-morning through the evening. White low to medium and high, white stratus clouds looked to be scattered across the sky during the night at my house in northwest Houston, TX. So still no rain for my house in northwest Houston, TX this week, but it does look like a good portion of the Houston, TX area got some scattered rain to thunderstorm activity today. A little bummed that I did not get to see the rain but there will be more storms to come and see.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX000 FXUS64 KHGX 042322 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 622 PM CDT Fri Sep 4 2020 .AVIATION... Outflow dominated shra/tstm should taper off in the next several hours with the loss of heating. Generally VFR conditions anticipated overnight, though with wet ground and light wind can`t totally exclude some patchy fog. Similar set-up expected tomorrow. Moisture rich air, remnant boundaries and daytime heating should set the stage for additional convection Saturday. Once convective temps in the 87-91 degree range are met in the early-mid afternoon, anticipate precip to develop and expand in coverage. Most areal coverage anticipated generally north of an Edna-Liberty line. 47 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 353 PM CDT Fri Sep 4 2020/ SHORT TERM [Today through Sunday Night]... Weak upper level ridging will help to keep any shower/thunderstorm coverage fairly isolated for Mon/Labor Day. Will keep temperatures on the warmer side of MOS, with highs in the lower to mid 90s. Low temperatures should range from the mid 70s inland to the lower 80s at the coast. Rain chances will be on the increase by Tues as a strong upper level disturbance moves in from the W/SW and help to deepen the weak upper trough over the state. This feature along with a surge of 2-2.2 inch PWs from the Gulf should account for more scattered/numerous showers and thunderstorms Tues afternoon/night. SE TX could see a very brief break in the activity early Weds, but the subsequent approach of the cold front during the day Weds should initiate more storms along and ahead of this line. As per the 12Z runs, models appear to be in much better consensus with the timing of this boundary and the pattern in its wake. Did trend grids drier for the latter part of the week with most of the guidance keeping the offshore flow in place through late Fri at the very least. 41 Long Term [Monday through Friday]... Weak upper level ridging will help to keep any shower/thunderstorm coverage fairly isolated for Mon/Labor Day. Will keep temperatures on the warmer side of MOS, with highs in the lower to mid 90s. Low temperatures should range from the mid 70s inland to the lower 80s at the coast. Rain chances will be on the increase by Tues as a strong upper level disturbance moves in from the W/SW and help to deepen the weak upper trough over the state. This feature along with a surge of 2-2.2 inch PWs from the Gulf should account for more scattered/numerous showers and thunderstorms Tues afternoon/night. SE TX could see a very brief break in the activity early Weds, but the subsequent approach of the cold front during the day Weds should initiate more storms along and ahead of this line. As per the 12Z runs, models appear to be in much better consensus with the timing of this boundary and the pattern in its wake. Did trend grids drier for the latter part of the week with most of the guidance keeping the offshore flow in place through late Fri at the very least. 41 MARINE... Winds have been generally light and out of the east-northeast thanks to high pressure to our north. Nocturnal showers and thunderstorms are possible in the overnight and early morning hours into the weekend. Early afternoon showers and thunderstorms may be possible over the bays if they get an early start, but as the seabreeze pushes inland, it is more likely to be sunny. Look for winds to veer back onshore early next week in anticipation of a potential cold front entering the region towards the middle of the week. There is not much confidence yet as to how strong this front will be and if it will cross the waters, but if it is strong enough to reach the waters, we can expect elevated winds and seas just before and after the front passes. We will attempt to become more specific about this front as we gain more confidence in its impacts on the area. Luchs && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 71 90 71 93 73 / 60 60 10 20 0 Houston (IAH) 76 92 77 95 78 / 20 40 0 20 0 Galveston (GLS) 83 91 83 93 83 / 20 20 10 20 10 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for the following zones: Brazoria Islands...Chambers...Coastal Brazoria... Coastal Galveston...Coastal Harris...Coastal Jackson... Coastal Matagorda...Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula...Matagorda Islands. GM...NONE. && $$
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