Sunday, October 11, 2020

Oct. 10 20

 The sky looked to be clear, at my house in northwest Houston, TX, during the early and mid-morning. The sky looked to be clear in northwest and west Houston, TX, during the late morning. Small white and grey alto stratus clouds looked to be scattered across the sky, in northwest Houston, TX, during the afternoon. Small to medium alto stratus clouds looked to be widely scattered across the sky, in southwest Houston, TX, Missouri City, and Katy, TX, during the early evening. The sky looked to be becoming clear again in Katy, TX and northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening. I think the sky looked to be clear with maybe still some small alto stratus clouds, at my house, during the early night. I do not know what the sky looked like during the late night as I was inside playing Tokyo Xtreme Racer 2 for the Dreamcast. The wind speeds were light with moderate gusts. The morning, evening, and night were warm. The afternoon was very warm, almost hot. There was a 0 percent chance for rain for the Houston, TX area. I did not hear about or see any rain anywhere in, or near the Houston, TX area. I do not remember seeing or feeling any rain drops. Maybe a drop or two. It was a little foggy at my house in northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning. I think there were some dense fog advisories for some of the areas in Houston, TX, during the early and maybe mid-morning. 

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
678
FXUS64 KHGX 110243
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
Issued by National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
943 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for 03Z Aviation Update.

&&

.AVIATION...

The current TAF forecast still seems to be on track, with VFR
conditions continuing through most of the night. A transition to
MVFR/IFR ceilings and and visibilities is expected by early
morning (09Z-13Z) before returning again to VFR conditions.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED Issued by National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX/

DISCUSSION...

Updated for 00Z TAF Issuance.

AVIATION...

VFR conditions prevail, with some brief MVFR ceilings reported at
GLS. Winds will continue to weaken tonight, which could lead to
some IFR/brief LIFR VSBYs across the area for the early morning
hours (09Z-13Z). As the sun rises, any fog and MVFR/IFR CIGs
should lift, returning all sites to VFR for the rest of the TAF
period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020/

SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Monday Night]...

In the wake of Delta`s departure, a period of calm and generally
benign weather has began across SE Texas. Very little in the way
of cloud cover has developed this afternoon, and a clear night
ahead looks to be in store with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Conditions will be once again favorable for the development of
patchy fog this evening, particularly south of the I-10 corridor and
east of the I-45 corridor. With expected dewpoint differentials in
the range of 1-3 degF and forecast soundings indicating near-surface
saturation, reduced visibilities could potentially make overnight
travel hazardous. Be sure to exercise caution if you plan to be out
on the roads late this evening.

With surface high pressure remaining in place across SE Texas and
clear skies generally expected to persist, record daily high
temperatures will be within reach for the next few days. Most
inland locations will see the low to mid 90s tomorrow afternoon
and on Monday, though heat indicies will likely remain below the
100 degree mark as afternoon dew points should mix out into the
upper 60s to low 70s. Nonetheless, it will feel summer-like out
there and general heat precautions should still be taken if you
plan to head outdoors.

Cady

LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Saturday]...

Our focus turns to the approach of two cold fronts next week- an
initial weaker boundary on late Monday/early Tuesday and a second
stronger boundary at the end of the week. Model depictions of the
initial front have sped up a bit in recent cycles, placing the
feature near Madison/Houston counties after sunset on Monday and
slowly bringing it southward by Tuesday afternoon. Questions still
remain as to whether it will reach the coast, with the latest
model solutions stalling it out just south of I-10. Nonetheless,
the passage of this weak front is likely to be a dry one, with
northerly winds in its wake allowing for some drier air to filter
into the northern half of the forecast area. High temperatures are
likely to remain above normal through mid-week, with most
locations continuing to reach the upper 80s to low 90s through
Thursday.

By late Thursday, a stronger cold front extending from a surface low
over southern Canada will be draped across the south-Central CONUS.
Latest GFS & ECMWF runs are in general agreement that the
approaching boundary should reach the Brazos Valley/northern
counties overnight on Thursday, pushing into the Houston metro by
the morning and clearing the coast by the early afternoon. Have
continued to maintain chance PoPs with the frontal passage, though
ECMWF remains the far wetter of the two solutions. Will likely have
to wait to see if GFS comes into better agreement in subsequent
before raising PoPs anywhere above the 20s for now. Regardless, a
surge of cool and dry air will take hold across SE TX as northeast
winds develop in the wake of the departing boundary. The upcoming
weekend looks to be much more autumn-like compared to this one, with
dew points likely to fall into the 40s in most locations by Saturday
and overnight lows returning to the 50s.

Cady

AVIATION [18Z TAF Issuance]...

VFR conditions are expected through much of the TAF period.
MVFR/IFR ceilings and visibilities continue to be expected from 09Z
to 13Z Sunday, then return to VFR.

99

MARINE...

With the departure of Delta, lower seas and lighter winds have
prompted the cancellation of all warnings and advisories across the
bays and coastal waters. These light winds and 1-3ft seas are
likely to persist through mid-week. A weak cold front will
approach the area on Tuesday, but will likely stall before
reaching the coast. A second, stronger cold front will approach
the area on Friday, with moderate to strong northeast winds
expected to develop in its wake. This may require caution flags
and/or advisories.

Cady

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      90  67  94  69  91 /   0   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)              89  70  93  72  93 /   0   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)            85  76  85  77  86 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM CDT this evening for the
     following zones: Brazoria Islands...Galveston Island and
     Bolivar Peninsula...Matagorda Islands.

GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...99
Aviation/Marine...99

No comments:

Post a Comment