White and grey stratus clouds were scattered across the sky with some occasional clearing. During the morning, afternoon, and evening. The sky looked to be mostly clear with still some possible small white alto stratus clouds, during the night.
Summary: I think there was a 20 percent chance for rain for the Houston, TX area, for the afternoon and evening. I did not see or hear about any rain falling over the Houston, TX area, but there may have been some small light showers. The wind speeds were light with moderate gusts. It felt cool during the early morning and a little cool during the mid-morning. It felt warm, during the late morning. evening, and night. It felt very warm, almost hot, during the afternoon.
Thoughts: It was my niece's birthday today. She was born today. This evening.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000 FXUS64 KHGX 190253 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 953 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2020 .SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Monday]... A few showers offshore and quick increase in low level clouds across the area. Will probably see the development of streamer showers after 11 pm in the axis from well south of Galveston up through the I-45 corridor out ahead of the cold front tonight. Speaking of cold front it is passing through DFW at 9 am and should slow as it near the Corsicana/Waco area after 3 am. Currently expecting it to stall near College Station-Crockett late Monday morning/early afternoon. Some of the short term guidance showing it being more aggressive potentially near Houston late afternoon. At this point with the CAA being hampered in the afternoon have made some adjustments to afternoon highs Monday to bump them up a few degrees. Scattered showers should be common throughout the day and may have a few isolated thunderstorms during the afternoon out ahead of the boundary in the WAA pattern (if they can overcome the cap). 45 && .AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]... VFR but may be short lived with development/expansion of MVFR ST deck that is racing north. Expect most TAF sites to be MVFR around 1500ft by 07-08z. This deck will likely persist into mid morning then heating/mixing beneath the cap should win out and go back to VFR. Cold front should bring variable winds/possibly northerly to CLL in the early afternoon. Scattered showers across the area warrants VCSH through the late afternoon hours. 45 && .PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 406 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2020/... .LONG TERM [Tuesday through Sunday]... In a nutshell, the long-term forecast features above normal temperatures, chances for rain/storms and the potential for a cold front passage next weekend. A few disturbances embedded in the quasi-zonal flow aloft will continue to move across the area, bringing chances of showers and storms. It won`t be a complete washout, but enough for some isolated to perhaps, scattered precipitation at times. Onshore flow persists and will continue to bring a warm and moist Gulf airmass inland. Capping remains weak; therefore, decent instability and moisture will help to spark a few showers/storms along the coast in the morning and farther inland in the afternoon. An upper-level trough will develop over the Northern Rockies, dragging a cold front over TX Friday into the weekend. While deterministic models now are in better agreement on bringing this front at/close to our region; there are still discrepancies on its amplitude and phase. The EC brings the front close to our northwestern counties late Friday night, then moving through the Gulf waters on Saturday. The GFS suggests a slightly slower front, reaching the KCLL/KUTS region by Saturday morning. This front may not bring a significant change in temperatures, but at least, we will go back to seasonal temperatures and will have a relief in humidity. Given these solutions, the forecast from Friday night through Sunday is a blend between the GFS, EC and NBM to obtain temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s and dewpoints from the upper 50s to upper 60s. While models are in good agreement, we are still a few days out, so confidence is still low to moderate. Temperature-wise, it will remain above normal throughout the week with forecast highs mainly in the 80s and overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. 05 .MARINE... High pressure over the eastern U.S. will maintain an onshore wind overnight. A weak cold front will move into SE TX on Monday but the front will stall out before reaching the coastal waters. The flow will weaken as the pressure gradient slackens. The front will dissipate and the pressure gradient will tighten again Tuesday and Tuesday night as pressures fall over West Texas. Winds will back to the east mid week as low pressure develops over the southern Gulf. An east wind will then persist through Friday night. A cold front is then expected to cross the coastal waters next Saturday. Water levels will remain slightly elevated this week with the persistent onshore flow. Tides could reach 3.4 feet above MLLW on Wednesday. There will also be a risk for strong rip currents as the winds back to the east. 43 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 72 79 69 86 69 / 20 30 20 10 10 Houston (IAH) 73 85 70 85 70 / 20 40 10 20 10 Galveston (GLS) 76 81 75 83 76 / 20 20 10 20 10 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM/AVIATION...45 MARINE...41|
No comments:
Post a Comment