Saturday, October 31, 2020

Oct. 31 2020

 Summary: Small, white, high stratus clouds looked to be scattered across the sky, where I was in the Houston, TX area, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. I did not hear about or see any rain where I was in the Houston, TX area, during any time of the day. I believe there was an o percent chance for rain for the Houston, TX area. I did not see or feel any raindrops where I was in the Houston, TX area, during the morning, afternoon, evening, or night. It felt very cool, almost cold, during the early and maybe mid-morning. It started to feel very cool, almost cool/warm, during the late morning. It felt cool, almost warm, during the afternoon. It felt very cool, during the evening. It felt very cool, almost cold, during the night. The wind speeds were calm with maybe some moderate gusts. 

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KHGX 312336
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
636 PM CDT Sat Oct 31 2020

.AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]...

Generally light and variable winds overnight, with a solid veil of
cirrus expanding across the area towards morning. Some patchy fog
is possible for most, but the cirrus is likely to cut off fog
potential once it moves in, so LBX likely has the best chance to
see MVFR visibility. In the morning, expect north winds to
strengthen to around 10 knots, with gusts to near 20 knots for a
few hours in the afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 330 PM CDT Sat Oct 31 2020/...

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will continue to dominate through the day and night
as a reinforcing cool front moves through the CWA early tomorrow
morning. Some patchy fog is possible through the area ahead of the
cool front, but the shallow wedge of drier air will not provide
much immediate relief to the dissipation of the fog. Effects from
the passing of the frontal boundary will not be really seen until
tomorrow night when the high pressure driving it sets into the
area. Lower dewpoints and cooler temperatures will then be seen
across the CWA. 35

.SHORT TERM [Through Tomorrow night]...

Trick or treating weather looks great across SETX this year.
Temperatures around the time to get the kiddos out will be in the
mid to upper 60s with light southerly winds. Overnight lows are only
expected to be a few degrees cooler than that with southerly winds
lasting through the night. Tomorrow morning, the reinforcing cool
front will push through the CWA bringing some cooler and drier air
with it. Noticeable changes wont be see until tomorrow night and into
the start of next week. The high pressure driving the cool front
will then set in and bring the cooler and drier airmass. 35


.LONG TERM [Monday through Friday]...

The upcoming work week will be characterized by generally benign
weather, with dry and seasonable conditions persisting through the
duration of the extended forecast period. Behind the departure of
this evening`s cold front, global models remain in good agreement in
their depiction of upper ridging and persistent surface high
pressure developing over the south-central CONUS by Monday/Tuesday.
With this overall synoptic picture remaining generally steady
through the entirety of the coming week, we continue to anticipate
little in the way of active weather. Temperatures on Monday will be
slightly below climatological norms for early November, with highs
unlikely to reach much higher than 70 (normals are 77 at HOU, 76 at
CLL, and 76 at GLS). However, as the aforementioned surface high
begins to drift slightly to the east by mid-week, surface winds will
develop a more easterly component and temperatures will be on a
slight warming trend. By Wednesday, we return to more seasonable
values with most locations seeing the upper 70s.

Increasing low-level moisture towards the end of the week as winds
veer further east/southeastward will begin to create more favorable
conditions for diurnal streamer shower development offshore.
However, chances for any developing precip remain marginal (have
limited PoPs to below 20% over the offshore waters) and inland areas
should see little to no impact.

The tropics remain active with the latest NHC guidance indicating
that a tropical depression/storm is likely to form in the central
Caribbean in the near future. While this system does not pose a
direct threat to SE TX, we continue to monitor its development.
Remember- hurricane season lasts through the month of November.
Although we`re past the climatological peak of the season, it`s
still important to remain vigilant of the tropics.

Cady


.MARINE...

Light winds and calm seas through tomorrow. Tomorrow morning a
reinforcing cool front will push through the coastal waters
increasing winds and building seas. By late tomorrow, caution flag
will probably be needed due to winds and as seas build to advisory
levels tomorrow night with some isolated gusts reaching gale force
but will more than likely stay around advisory levels through
tomorrow afternoon. By midweek, winds will veer from the southeast
and onshore flow will return. Seas will stay around 3-4ft until the
end of the week, then build again to around 6ft at the end of the
week when a tropical system is expected to move to the east of the
area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  48  73  41  68  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)          51  75  48  68  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)        63  75  57  67  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...35
SHORT TERM...35
LONG TERM...Cady
AVIATION...Luchs
MARINE...35

No comments:

Post a Comment