A long wide and grey stratus cloud looked to be on the horizon on my way to work from Northwest Houston, TX to the Heights area, during the early morning. The sky became clear with a possible thin white layer of alto stratus cloud, where I work in the Heights area, sometime during the mid, or late morning. The sky looked to be clear with a thin white layer of alto stratus cloud, where I work in the Heights area, during the early and mid-afternoon. The sky looked to have become clear, where I work in the Heights area, sometime during late afternoon, or early evening. The sky looked to be clear, where I work in the Heights area and in west Houston, TX and Katy, TX, during the late evening. The sky looked to be clear in Katy, TX and Northwest Houston, TX, during the early night. The sky looked to be clear, at my house in northwest Houston, TX, during the late night. It felt cool, almost cold, during the early morning. It started to warm up during the mid-morning. It felt warm during the late morning. It felt very warm during afternoon. It felt warm during evening. It started to feel cool, during the early night. It felt cool, during the early night. The wind speeds were calm with some possible occasional moderate gusts. There was a 0 percent chance for rain for the Houston, TX area. I did not see, or feel any rain drops where I was during the day. I did not hear about or see any rain anywhere in the Houston, TX area, during the day.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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148 FXUS64 KHGX 062329 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 629 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2020 .AVIATION [00Z Issuance]... VFR conditions are expected through the period with light north to northeast winds. A FEW to SCT high clouds will move through the region on Wednesday, becoming more SCT/BKN along the coast towards the end of the TAF period. 05 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2020/ SHORT TERM [Through Wednesday Night]... The short term discussion will be rather short as the meat of this forecast will be taking place in the Long and Marine discussions below as they deal with Hurricane Delta. High pressure will continue to bring mostly clear skies through the rest of today and into early tomorrow afternoon. Clouds will begin to creep in from the Gulf as tropical moisture from the remnants of Gamma and from Hurricane Delta begin to approach the area. No chance of precipitation is expected through the short term period over land, but some isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible in the far offshore waters. Overnight lows tonight will be similar to the past few with temperatures in the upper 50s north of I-10, around 60 along I-10 and near the City of Houston, and in the upper 60s to low 70s along the coast. Because of the increasing moisture tomorrow night, temperatures will run about 10 degrees warmer inland (mid to upper 60s across the area), but only a few degrees along the coast (still in the low 70s). High temperatures tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 80s across the area. Fowler LONG TERM [Thursday Through Tuesday Night]... Thursday will begin the day of seeing the effects of Hurricane Delta. Winds will be northeasterly, increasing through the day to 15- 20mph along the coast with some higher gusts. Rain chances also increase through the day with southeastern counties reaching POPs of about 35. By Friday evening, the chances peak in the 60s but quickly decrease as Delta moves out on Saturday. Coastal flooding will be one of our bigger concerns for the rest of the week. While it is still too early to tell the exact landfall location, flood prone areas should begin to take precautionary measures and continue to monitor the progress of Hurricane Delta. Beach hazards will also be a factor with the increasing risk of rip tides along the coast as Hurricane Delta moves by the area. For the most part, improvement will be seen fairly quickly as Delta makes landfall over the northwest Gulf of Mexico and turns northeasterly. As early as Friday night, winds should begin to calm and become more northwesterly and seas will begin to subside which will decrease the risk of rip currents, though, I would suspect the risk will be see through the weekend. Conditions will continue to improve over the weekend and winds will be shifting southeasterly and a cool front approaches the area on Monday night or Tuesday morning. Timing of this is making some higher temperatures over the weekend. Some areas could get in the 90s over the weekend just enough to remind is that it`s SE TX. 35 MARINE and TROPICAL... Will maintain caution flags for the 20-60nm group for borderline 15- 20kt winds tonight. Webcams are not overly spectacular in regards to the surf along the coast at the moment and beach patrol has lowered their flags to yellow from red, so will cancel the rip statement this evening and reevaluate things in the morning. Hurricane Delta will make its way from the Yucatan toward the northwest Gulf the next couple days as a major hurricane. It should eventually start feeling an upper trof, increased wind shear and cooler water temps and begin taking a gradual north then northeast turn before making landfall as a dangerous hurricane Friday across the northern Gulf coast. Though wind speeds may weaken a touch before doing so, it should NOT be focused upon. Reason being, the overall wind field will probably expand in overall area with impacts more widely distributed. This is opposite of what Laura did. Think of the wind field like an ice skater...he/she spins faster as arms lift and up & contract. Putting arms out, they begin slowing down but surface area expands. Impacts can be worse across a larger area with a large strong hurricane than a more compact tighter intense/extreme hurricane. Location specific impacts a bit too early to pin down, but even if the "center" of the hurricane tracks to the east of the upper Tx coast, tropical storm force winds remain a possibility locally and outside of the forecast cone which depicts where the center itself will be 67% of the time. The cone itself will shrink with time as average historical forecast errors are lower. The cone doesn`t imply where impacts will be confined. So based on the data and forecast at the current time, expect: - Seas: building thru the day Thurs into Fri, possibly peaking in the 15-20ft range. - High surf and high risk of rip currents during the same period. - Water levels increasing. Too early to say how much, maybe 2 ft above normal if we remain on the west side of the axis. However, significant wave runup is anticipated on top of that. Increasing concern of coastal flood potential for Gulf facing locations Thurs evening into Sat morning. North facing shorelines (Galveston & Bolivar) may not be immune from flooding either if strong north/northwest winds develop and push water on the back end closer to landfall too. - Winds: Small craft advisories are a given Thurs. Chances for sustained tropical storm force winds over portions of the upper Tx coastal waters appear to be increasing. Should this occur, mostly likely onset time would be Friday. Tropical storm watches may be required Wed morning. 47 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 87 58 87 63 87 / 0 0 0 10 20 Houston (IAH) 86 60 87 69 88 / 0 0 10 0 30 Galveston (GLS) 82 71 83 74 84 / 0 10 20 0 30 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...High Rip Current Risk until 9 PM CDT this evening for the following zones: Brazoria Islands...Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula...Matagorda Islands. GM...NONE. && $$
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