Low white, grey, and blue stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, at my house in northwest Houston, TX and where I work in the heights area, during the early morning. Low white, grey, and blue stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, where I work in the Heights area, during the mid-morning. Low white and grey stratus clouds started to cover the whole sky, where I work in the heights area, during the late morning. Low white and grey stratus clouds covered the whole sky, where I work in the heights area, during the afternoon and early evening. Low white and grey stratus clouds looked to cover the whole sky, where I work in the heights area and in northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening. Low white and grey stratus clouds looked to cover the whole sky in northwest Houston, TX, during the night. The wind speeds were light with some occasional moderate to possibly moderately strong gusts. A moderate to light shower passed over where I work in the heights area, during 11 am and another one at around 2 pm. I only saw on and off sprinkles through the rest of the day, after the moderate shower at 2 pm. The day was warm/maybe a little cool during the early morning.
Thoughts: Had a heartbreaking scene at work today with an evacuee from Louisana trying to find a place to board their pets. I really feel bad for the people in Lousiana going through another hurricane. Although I am glad that it is not coming towards us.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000 FXUS64 KHGX 082340 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 640 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2020 .AVIATION... Bands of showers associated with Hurricane Delta will continue to move onshore and across SE TX tonight and tomorrow. Could see some isolated thunderstorms too. Look for lowered ceilings and visibilities in and around the convection. Increasing NE to N winds and wind gusts (much stronger at GLS) can be expected during the day tomorrow as Delta heads northward and makes landfall around sunset along the SW Louisiana coast. 42 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 420 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2020/ ..EXPANSION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING DOWN THE COAST TO SARGENT... ..UPGRADING THE 20-60NM WATERS EAST OF FREEPORT TO HURRICANE WARNING... SHORT TERM [Today through through Saturday Night]... Rain bands associated with Hurricane Delta have been and will be continuing to move onshore through SE TX tonight and tomorrow. However, the rather dry airmass that has been in place over the area has been making it hard for these bands to produce significant rain totals at the surface so far today, especially for our northern CWA. But as we continue to see these lines move inland with Delta`s approach toward the northern Gulf coast, the air mass should moisten with time. Rain chances will remain high tomorrow with the gradient of the higher POP numbers over the eastern/coastal CWA to much lower to our west. This system is forecast to move at a fairly rapid pace after it moves inland, so rain chances will be dropping off quickly tomorrow evening/ night. As for winds, we are likely to see strong gusty winds pick up tonight/early tomorrow morning for portions of our coastal counties/beaches. Locations from San Luis Pass east to High Island along with inland sites from Freeport to Winnie could start seeing NE gusts at/near 30-35 mph overnight then perhaps close to 40mph tomorrow morning and afternoon. High temperatures should be a bit cooler tomorrow afternoon given the increased clouds/rain. 41 LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday]... Sunday morning the weakening remains of Delta should be over northern Mississippi moving quickly away with warm drying southwesterly flow in place over SETX. Temperatures should climb into the mid to upper 90s in the northwest and will be right near the record high at College Station of 96 degrees in 1931 and forecasting 96 as of this package and can`t rule out 97 or 98 on the high end of the possibilities. Houston IAH 94 forecast would also tie the record set in 1962. Upper ridging over Central/East Texas slides eastward through the day and night into LA/Gulf Monday afternoon which allows the next cold front to drop southward into the northern counties late Monday afternoon or more likely Monday evening after another much above normal day with lighter southerly flow. Pooled deep tropical moisture trailing back into the Gulf from Delta to the Bay of Campeche. The cold front gets a reinforcing push southward early Tuesday and into the Gulf but only barely. Brief increase in winds with the push but relatively short lived then winds back to east as front becomes stationary Tuesday evening. High pressure slides east and southerly flow resumes Wednesday into Thursday morning. Increasing cloudiness during this period as moisture Pacific flow aloft sweeps in from Mexico bringing cirrus to the region. Tuesday and Wednesday temperatures are back to seasonal levels. Slight chance of showers or isolated thunderstorms with the frontal passage Tuesday. 45 MARINE... Tropical storm conditions developing after midnight this evening and worsening to Hurricane conditions for the southeastern most waters. This track for Delta will bring very strong sustained winds and high gusts in excess of hurricane force there with ponderously large seas of 16 to 20 feet building to 22-27 Friday around sunrise through 1 pm then diminish quickly. Rough bay waters with sustained northerly winds of 30 to 40 knots and higher gusts Friday then NW and dropping off to around 15 knots after 1 am Saturday. Strong currents in the ship channel will make navigation a challenge on top of the strong winds and mariners should avoid these conditions if possible. 35/Luchs TROPICAL... Hurricane Delta holding around 115 mph Cat 3 and Hurricane Hunters first pass at 2023z showed estimated surface pressure down to 959mb. The strongest winds were showing up in the band of deeper convection the west and southwest side of the system and this morning shot of dry air was wrapping around and oddly on the east side of the hurricane. Hurricane guidance still tightly packed on a track toward SW LA but with enough wind to warrant hoisting a Hurricane warning for the 20-60nm waters east of Freeport where strongest winds should occur for our area. The system starts to really feel the shear and drier air Friday and should weaken Friday afternoon as it gets into cooler waters before landfall. Across the surrounding areas of Galveston Bay expect the strongest winds to arrive in the region Friday 9 am through 8 pm and be falling off quickly in the 6-9 pm window. Tide levels will be a big concern for the Sargent area eastward up into Galveston Bay and Bolivar. This initial northeast winds will raise tide levels quickly from the 1-1.5 currently astronomical tide levels to 3-5 feet above MLLW. Coastal Flood warning/advisory remains in effect for this and expect some impacts such as flooding onto Highway 87. Large swell will bring very rough conditions to the beach areas and dangerous rip currents with extensive run-up to and wave action on the Gulf facing beaches. As it moves inland the strong northerly winds will likely push water out of the bay into the back side of Bolivar and Galveston. Conditions improving very quickly with low tide cycle and relaxation of winds after 9 pm Friday. 45/Luchs && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 71 80 65 88 66 / 40 40 30 0 0 Houston (IAH) 73 78 68 87 69 / 60 60 50 10 0 Galveston (GLS) 75 80 71 87 75 / 70 70 60 10 0 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 PM CDT Saturday for the following zones: Matagorda Islands. Coastal Flood Warning until 3 PM CDT Saturday for the following zones: Brazoria Islands...Chambers...Coastal Galveston... Coastal Harris...Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula. Tropical Storm Warning for the following zones: Brazoria Islands...Chambers...Coastal Brazoria...Coastal Galveston... Coastal Harris...Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula... Inland Galveston...Southern Liberty. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Friday to 3 PM CDT Saturday for the following zones: Matagorda Bay. Tropical Storm Warning for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM... Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM... Galveston Bay...Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM. Hurricane Warning for the following zones: Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM. && $$
Hurricane Local Statement
Hurricane Delta Local Statement Advisory Number 18 TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-
235>238-300-313-335>338-436>438-091145-
Hurricane Delta Local Statement Advisory Number 18
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX AL262020
1034 PM CDT Thu Oct 8 2020
This product covers Southeast Texas
**DELTA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Brazoria Islands,
Chambers, Coastal Brazoria, Coastal Galveston, Coastal Harris,
Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula, Inland Galveston, and
Southern Liberty
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 270 miles south of High Island TX
- 25.7N 93.6W
- Storm Intensity 120 mph
- Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 12 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Hurricane Delta has continued to strengthen this evening as it pushes
further northwestward towards the Central Gulf Coast. The system
should maintain its status as a Category 3 Major Hurricane overnight
before a combination of cooler waters and an increase in shear are
expected to cause it to weaken modestly before landfall. This
will also cause the wind field to expand, which has prompted the
issuance of a tropical storm warning along the SE Texas coast.
Furthermore, a hurricane warning remains in effect for the Gulf waters
from 20 to 60 NM out from High Island to Freeport. This is primarily
for the waters closer to 60 NM out from High Island, which may be
clipped by the core of the expanding storm on Friday.
Due to the close approach of this storm, we will have to watch it
carefully as it passes. Those in the watch area should complete preparations for the impacts of a tropical storm. Even those near
the watch area will be well served to keep an eye on the latest information from the NHC and our office as the storm makes its crossing of the Gulf
of Mexico in order to stay ahead of any unanticipated changes. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * WIND: Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across across the eastern Galveston Bay area.
Potential impacts in this area
include:
- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
routes impassable.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
in areas with above ground lines.
Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across across the western Galveston Bay area, and along the Gulf coast to
Sargent.
Elsewhere across Southeast Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.
* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across Galveston Bay and Gulf-facing coasts from High
Island to Sargent. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
surge water covers the road.
- Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
- Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.
Elsewhere across Southeast Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across the eastern Galveston Bay area. Potential
impacts include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the western Galveston Bay area.
Elsewhere across Southeast Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.
* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time
across Southeast Texas.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Houston/Galveston TX around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.
$$
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