Summary: White and grey, low stratus clouds covered the whole sky and sometimes only most of the sky at times, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. There might have been some light drizzle at my house in Copperfield and where I work in the heights area, during the morning. On and off light to moderate showers passed over where I work in the heights area, during the afternoon. A moderately heavy shower passed over where I work in the heights area, during the early evening. I passed through a few moderately heavy showers on my way to pick up cats from a foster in Sugarland then to return crates and say goodbye to a foster in Bellaire and then to drop off the foster cats at the Petsmart in Katy, TX, during the early night. I did not see any more rain after the early night, except for maybe a few on and off light drops of drizzle. The wind speeds were calm with maybe some occasional moderate gusts. It felt cool, during the early morning. It started to warm up to feeling only a little cool, almost warm, during the mid-morning. It felt only a little cool, almost warm, during the late morning, afternoon, and early evening. It started to feel very cool, almost cold, during the late evening. It felt very cool, almost cold, during the late night.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000 FXUS64 KHGX 272328 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 628 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020 .AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]... Going to be a messy forecast for the next 18 to 24 hours as a stalled front sits across the area sliding east to west and then back to east. MVFR CIGS across the coast will dip back into IFR conditions by later this evening, then IFR CIGS of 500-700ft will blanket the area through the night. Scattered showers and patchy fog will be possible through tomorrow morning. The final push of the cold front will move through tomorrow afternoon with VFR conditions spreading west to east between 21z and 03z. Then VFR conditions look to stay in place for at least the next couple of days. && .PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 351 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020/... .DISCUSSION... Southeast Texas remains split by a stalled front, with temperatures only reaching the mid 40s in Burleson County, while the Galveston Bay area is seeing temperatures reach the middle to upper 70s. A reinforcing push to shove the front off the coast is coming tomorrow, but until then, look for continued dreary conditions for most of the area. The upper low that will help get the front moving again will also increase chances that our clouds/fog/mist/drizzle/muck/gross/you get the picture will manage to become rain showers, so look for PoPs to be considerably higher tomorrow. Finally, once a drier airmass settles in behind a fully cleared front, we should see fairer weather make its way into Southeast Texas. While we`ll finish this week still fairly cool, expect things to gradually warm into next week. .SHORT TERM [Through Wednesday Night]... Bit of an interesting quirk to the weather today...one that ultimately caused me to mess up my aviation forecast in the Houston area. The stalled front around Houston grew relatively diffuse, and the low clouds and fog in the post-frontal environment grew to cover right down to the coast. While I forecasted some improvement in conditions this afternoon, the atmosphere had a twist for me - convection associated with, but on the extreme edge of TS Zeta`s influence essentially collided with the front and shoved some of that pre-frontal airmass back across the Houston metro! Now, this happened late enough, winds are still northerly due to Zeta`s circulation, and it remained mostly cloudy (just at a much higher altitude), that sensible weather in the area isn`t much different from the forecast for anyone not flying a plane. But it did require a big TAF amendment, and was at least fairly interesting (if annoying) to watch occur. Now, an interesting quirk doesn`t necessarily mean long lasting, so I`m expecting things to wash out fairly quickly tonight as an upper low makes its way from El Paso to West Texas/the Panhandle on its way northeast, while Zeta accelerates northward across the Gulf. We should find ourselves back in muck pretty quickly, with plenty of low clouds and fog for all. Later in the night into tomorrow morning, as these two weathermakers make their closest approach to SE Texas, we should see enough lift that we`ll transition from foggy/misty/drizzly more to rain showers. It`s already happening over the Gulf where there`s some decent convection, so here`s hoping that`s a strong sign this process is already set in motion. Finally, as stronger offshore flow rolls in as the upper low rolls on by to our northwest, we should see a deeper push of continental air - and likely a dry slot - shove on in late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening, boosting cloud bases, scouring out moisture, and getting us started on a long stretch of fairer weather. But more on that in the long term section. .LONG TERM [Thursday Through Tuesday]... With the main upper trof/closed low having exited the state (to the E/NE), the main forecast issue for Thurs looks to be elevated winds (especially across the southern half of the CWFA including the Gulf waters). Conditions should improve by Fri as the upper ridge begins to build from the west...and surface high pressure settles over the state. Below average temperatures on Thur/Fri are expected to begin warming over the weekend as light onshore winds return to the area. Another cold front is forecast to move through SE TX Sun...but with very low/nil POPs given the very limited return moisture. This cool dry weather should continue on into the start of next week. .MARINE... Would normally have a SCEC out on the Gulf for winds today and tonight, but since they only appear in the CWF text product, and that headline gets trumped by the Small Craft Advisory in place for tomorrow`s Zeta/cold front combo, have opted to leave it off. I imagine that it`s probably already pretty obvious to mariners that conditions on the Gulf today are probably not too great out there. While I haven`t gone as high as some guidance suggests, have definitely trended towards the stronger end of the model envelope for winds behind the cold front Wednesday and Wednesday night. For Thursday and beyond, look for northwesterly winds to gradually veer northerly, then northeasterly through the weekend while staying generally moderate. The pressure gradient may tighten up enough for some periods of gustier winds early next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 45 56 43 64 44 / 60 60 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 60 66 49 66 49 / 60 60 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 70 72 55 69 55 / 50 60 0 0 0 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION from Wednesday morning through Thursday morning for the following zones: Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay. Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM...Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM. && $$ DISCUSSION...Luchs SHORT TERM...Luchs LONG TERM...41 AVIATION...Fowler MARINE...Luchs
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