I-10 east, in the heights area on my way to work, during the early morning.
11th and T.C. Jester on my way home from work, during the early afternoon.
Copperfield, on my way to celebrate my sisters birthday at her house, during the late evening.
Summary: The sky started out cloudy and then became mostly cloudy to cloudy at times. The wind speeds were calm with moderate gusts. It felt cold, during the early morning. It started to feel cool during the mid-morning. It started to feel warm during the late morning. It felt warm during the afternoon and evening. It felt a litle cool, almost cool during the night. No rain anywhere in or around the Houston, TX area that I know of. I think I may have felt a drop or two. I believe there was 0 percent chance for rain for the Houston, TX area.
Thoughts: Today was the first day of the fall/winter season that I had to wear a jacket to work. I really feel like Houston, TX is going to have a cold winter.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000 FXUS64 KHGX 180047 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 747 PM CDT Sat Oct 17 2020 .SHORT TERM [TONIGHT-SUNDAY NIGHT]... Showers have come to an end with southerly flow to continue overnight and expecting a much warmer night with the persistent southerly flow (5-10 degrees above normal though not getting into record high minimum territory though). Temperatures will probably end up holding steady after 3 am or creeping up. Mixed bag for clouds tonight under a sliver of a waxing moon...as the strong LLJ over NETX back into the Hill country slowly weakens overnight expect the skies to vary from partly to mostly cloudy then to mostly cloudy to cloudy after midnight. May get a few morning streamer showers/sprinkles in the southwest areas around or more likely after sunrise. Another warm day on tap with the southerly flow and rising 850mb temperatures. Max temps in the western counties could easily reach the upper 80s and wouldn`t want to rule out a 90 degree reading near Caldwell and College Station. A weak front over NW KS this evening is going to get a stronger surge of much cooler and drier air Sunday morning and plunge southward...though it will be outrunning it`s upper support and should crank on the brakes over N TX and probably come to halt just north of the CWA by Monday around Sunrise. Streamer showers looking more likely Sunday across the region. 45 && .AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]... Mix of VFR/MVFR to start the evening with then trending into more widespread MVFR after midnight with the WAA pattern that is so firmly in place. May be flirting with LLWS at CLL for a few hours late this evening after the BL contracts. MVFR deck breaks up quickly in the 15-16z window across the northern areas and sooner 13-15z for IAH/HOU areas. In the following issuance am anticipating a need for VCSH for nocturnal showers Monday 06-12z. 45 && .PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 320 PM CDT Sat Oct 17 2020/... .LONG TERM [Monday through Saturday]... The long term will be dominated by a broad upper longwave trough centered over eastern Canada and an upper-level high pressure system over the southwest CONUS/Baja California. Return/onshore flow persists across our region thanks to the surface high pressure to our east. In other words, warm and humid southerly flow will continue to dominate weather conditions with above normal temperatures for this time of year. The week also looks unsettled with different impulses traversing through the quasi-zonal flow aloft. Given the nature of these weak/progressive impulses, it is difficult to pinpoint specific timing for favorable rain/storms chances. Therefore, have included a broad chance of PoPs across the CWA, with better chances in the afternoons. The end of the period looks more interesting, yet challenging or tricky. As discussed in the previous Long Term discussion, global models are still struggling in a solution between a summer-like or fall-like weather pattern. Latest runs still show little agreement. The GFS continues to bring the high pressure over Baja California east into southeastern TX/Mexico border. This could result in warmer conditions for us. On the other hand, the 12Z ECMWF has a shortwave trough over the Gulf; hence pushing a strong cold front at/near our region late Friday into the weekend. For this forecast package, have leaned towards the ECMWF solution and included temperatures close to the 25 to 50th percentile of climatology Friday and Saturday. Well, we are still 7 to 8 days far out, so these discrepancies always happen and the forecast will likely change. 05 .MARINE... High pressure over the eastern U.S. and low pressure over the Texas panhandle will maintain a moderate onshore flow through the weekend. Seas are up to 6 feet at buoy 19 so will will keep the SCEC in effect for the offshore waters through 09z until seas finally calm down. The low will weaken as it moves east and winds will briefly subside on Monday as the gradient relaxes. that respite will be short lived as pressures fall again over West Texas and the gradient tightens Monday night and Tuesday. The S-SE flow over the weekend will back to the east by mid week as weak low pressure develops in the southern Gulf. An E-SE flow will then persist into Friday. A cold front will approach the coastal waters and the GFS stalls this feature over SE TX while the EC/Canadian both bring the front through the coastal waters. Blends want to bring the front through but ensemble guidance supports the 12z GFS deterministic run. Will keep an east wind for now and wait for a better consensus. 43 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 71 88 71 85 68 / 10 10 20 20 10 Houston (IAH) 71 87 73 85 69 / 10 20 10 30 10 Galveston (GLS) 76 85 76 83 75 / 10 20 10 20 10 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 4 AM CDT Sunday for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION through Sunday morning for the following zones: Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM. && $$ SHORT TERM/AVIATION...45
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