Friday, October 2, 2020

Oct. 2 2020

 The sky looked to be clear with some possible very thin white alto stratus clouds, at my house in northwest Houston, TX, west Houston, TX, and in the Heights area, during the early morning. The sky looked to be clear with some possible very thin white alto stratus clouds, where I work in the heights area, during the mid and late morning and afternoon. The sky looked to be clear with some possible very thin white alto stratus clouds, where I work in the heights area and in northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening. The sky looked to be clear with some possible very thin white alto stratus clouds, where I live in northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening and night. It felt cool during the early morning. It felt cool with a chilly wind during the mid-morning. It felt warm with a little cool wind, during the late morning and afternoon. It felt warm during the evening. It felt a little cool during the night. The wind speeds were calm with some occasional moderately strong wind gusts from mid-morning through the afternoon. No rain at all for the Houston, TX area.

Thoughts: Apart from the sun blocking my view on my way to and from work during the mornings and evenings. I am kind of enjoy the clear skies and dry weather. Although I miss the rain. Hoping to get some more soon. Not exactly looking forward to the cooler weather.

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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304
FXUS64 KHGX 022310
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
610 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2020

.AVIATION...

00Z TAFS are VFR with just some cirrus. Light and variable winds tonight
becoming SE to S and increasing to 5 to 10 knots late tomorrow morning
and on through tomorrow afternoon. Light and variable winds again tomorrow
night becoming mainly from the N at around 5 knots on Sunday. No rain.

42

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2020/

SHORT TERM [Through Saturday Night]...

High pressure will continue to dominate the short term forecast.
Mostly clear skies, dry conditions, and light winds will continue
through Saturday night. The winds will be veering beginning
tonight and through the day on Saturday turning from a
northeasterly direction today, a easterly wind tonight, then
becoming southeasterly on Saturday. Temperatures tonight will dip
down into the 50s across most of the area, but temperatures in the
Bayou City and along the coast will probably stay in the low to
mid 60s. High temperatures during the day on Saturday will across
climb into the low 80s across the region. The more southeasterly
flow Saturday night will keep the temperatures about five degrees
warmer than tonight.

Fowler

LONG TERM [Sunday Through Friday]...

A weak upper level low will pass to the north on Sunday. We won`t
really notice it other than some partly cloudy skies to the north.
It will usher in a reinforcing cold front Sunday night into Monday
morning continuing our stretch absolutely beautiful weather through
Tuesday with high temperatures in the mid 80s and low temperatures
in the low 60s. The forecast begins to get a little more messy by
the middle of next week as Tropical Depression 25 (or Tropical Storm
Gamma at that point) meanders around the Bay of Campeche. If it
able to wobble more to the north, some of the outer rainbands may
reach our far Gulf Waters by Thursday, with some high level
clouds streaming across the rest of the region. More info on TD 25
can be found in the tropical section below. One of the things
working in our favor is that there will be another cold front
(albeit very weak) moving into the region on Thursday that will
help keep some of the tropical moisture away from SE Texas.

Fowler

MARINE...

East to northeast winds gusting to 20 knots will gradually decrease
early this evening as pressure gradient relaxes. The region will be
dominated by a surface high pressure to our northeast, keeping light
to moderate onshore flow into Sunday. Seas up to 5 ft and gusty
winds from 20 to 25 knots will again be possible on Monday as
another cold front crosses the region.

We continue to monitor marine conditions for next week as a couple
of tropical systems move over/near the Gulf of Mexico. The first
system we are monitoring is the Tropical Depression 25, which is
currently near Yucatan/Bay Campeche and is expected to move across
the southern Gulf of Mexico over the next several days. This
Tropical Depression could potentially bring high swells/wave heights
and rain chances over our Gulf waters late next week. Marine
interest should continue to keep up with the latest forecast
information as these systems evolve. 05

TROPICAL...

Well, the quiet tropics was nice while it lasted. Tropical
Depression Twenty Five formed in the SW Caribbean this morning. It
is expected to move northwestward toward the Yucatan Peninsula in
the next couple of days. It is expected to reach tropical storm
strength Saturday morning, thus becoming Gamma. There is not much
steering flow over the southern Gulf right now, so 25/Gamma is
expected to just meander around the Yucatan and the Bay of Campeche
into the start of next week. There is still pretty large uncertainty
in the long term track because of the slow/meandering nature of the
system. It does not pose an immediate threat to SE Texas at this
time, but mariners should continue to follow the latest forecast
information as wave heights may remain elevated in the Gulf through
most of next week with TD25 meandering around. Rip current

There is another tropical wave that the NHC is monitoring for
development in the coming days in the eastern Caribbean. This
system has a 10 percent chance (low) of forming in the next two
days, and a 40 percent (medium) chance of development within the
next five days.

Fowler

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      55  84  58  85  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)              57  84  60  86  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)            71  79  71  82  70 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

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