Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Jan. 30 18

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Summary: The day was cool, sunny, and dry. I didn't see any rain on the radar, over the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. I didn't feel, see, or hear any rain drops. Wavy alto stratus clouds looked to be scattered across the sky, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. I think the wind speeds looked to be calm with gentle to moderate gusts and some moderately strong gusts. It felt cold, during the early morning and late night. It felt very cool, during the mid-morning and late evening. It felt cool, becoming a little cool, during the late morning. It felt a little cool, during the afternoon. I think it felt cool, during the early evening. I think it felt cold, during the early night. There were no watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temperatures looked to be in the low 40's with maybe some high 30's and the high temperatures looked to be in the low 60's with maybe some mid 60's, I think, for the Houston, TX area.


Houston, TX Storm Summary: I didn't see any rain on the radar, over the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. I didn't see, or hear about any flooding, or damage caused by the weather to any of the locations in the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day.


My Storm Summary: I didn't see any precip producing, or thunderstorm type clouds, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during anytime of the day. The roads were dry, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the day.. I think the ground was still a little muddy in some areas from recent rain, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the day.. I didn't see any lightning strikes, or hear any rumbles of thunder, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the day. I didn't see any flooding, or damage caused by the weather, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during anytime of the day.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: The day was cooler than I though it was going to be. I enjoyed the wavy alto stratus clouds and sun.

Jan. 29 18

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: I didn't get a chance to write this day's weather summary because I was watching president Trump's State of The Union Address.  I know the sky stayed clear, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. No rain, for me, or for Houston, TX. I didn't see, feel, or hear any rain drops. I didn't see any rain on the radar, over the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day.

Tuesday, January 30, 2018

Jan. 28 18

Northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-morning.
Downtown Houston, TX, during the mid-morning.
Near, or maybe in Deer Park, or Pasadena, TX, during the early evening.
Southwest Houston, TX, I think, near downtown Houston, TX.
West Houston, TX, during the late evening.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Locations: Northwest, southwest, and downtown Houston, TX, Deer Park, TX, and Pasadena, TX.


Thoughts: No summary for this day. I didn't have enough time to write one. There was some light to moderate dense fog, during the early morning. I didn't see, feel, or hear any drops of precip. It was cool during the morning, but then it warm up. No rain for the Houston, TX area, that I know of.

Monday, January 29, 2018

Jan. 27 18

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.


Summary: The day was wet, cool, and cloudy. Light to heavy showers and maybe some thunderstorms, or showers, looked to be scattered across the Houston, TX area, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. Light to heavy showers with some possible thunderstorms, looked to have passed over my house, during the early morning. Light drizzle and rain looked to pass over where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-morning. Light rain and drizzle with some moderate to moderately heavy rain showers looked to pass over where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the late morning and early afternoon. More light rain and drizzle looked to fall, where I was in northwest Houston, TX and on my way to the auto show at the NRG center, during the mid and late afternoon, and maybe evening and night. I think there looked to be a light dense fog, on my way home from the auto show at the NRG center, during the night. The sky looked to be completely covered in stratus clouds, where I was in the Houston, TX area, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. The wind speeds looked to be calm with maybe some gentle to moderate gusts and some moderately strong gusts. It felt cool, during the early and mid-morning, evening, and night, I think. It felt a little cool, almost warm, or maybe warm, during the late morning and afternoon. There was a Hazardous Weather Outlook issued for the Houston, TX area, by NOAA. There were no other watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temperatures looked to be in the 50's, I think the high temperatures looked to be in the mid to high 60's, I think, for the Houston, TX area.


Houston, TX Storm Summary: Light to heavy showers and maybe some thunderstorms, or showers, looked to be scattered across the Houston, TX area, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. I didn't see, or hear about any flooding, or damage caused by the weather to any of the locations in the Houston, TX area. There might have been some minor flash flooding in some locations in the Houston, TX area, but I don't know. I didn't hear about any.


My Storm Summary: Light to heavy showers with some possible thunderstorms, looked to have passed over my house, during the early morning. Light drizzle and rain looked to pass over where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-morning. Light rain and drizzle with some moderate to moderately heavy rain showers looked to pass over where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the late morning and early afternoon. More light rain and drizzle looked to fall, where I was in northwest Houston, TX and on my way to the auto show at the NRG center, during the mid and late afternoon, and maybe evening and night. I think there looked to be a light dense fog, on my way home from the auto show at the NRG center, during the night. The streets and ground looked to have stayed wet and muddy with some small to big puddles, where I was in the Houston, TX area, during the day. I didn't see any flashes of lightning and I don't remember hearing any rumbles of thunder. I didn't see any flooding, or damage caused by the weather, where I was in the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day.


Locations: Northwest and southwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: The rain was fun, but I was hoping for some exciting thunderstorms.

Sunday, January 28, 2018

Jan. 26 18

Northwest Houston, TX, during the mid-morning.
Tomball, TX, I think, am pretty sure, during the mid-morning.
The Woodlands, TX, during the mid-morning.



Houston, TX radar, during the early night.
Houston, TX radar, during the late night.


Locations: Northwest, central, and southeast Houston, TX. Deer Park, TX, Tomball, TX, Spring, TX, and maybe the Woodlands, and Klien, TX.


Thoughts: Didn't get time to write a weather summary for this day. The sky stayed cloudy and then scattered showers with maybe some thunderstorms started to roll in through the Houston, TX area, during the early night and continued through the late night. The groomer that I assist for and I drove through some moderate to moderately heavy showers on our way back to the Woodlands, TX, from the TICA Cat Show in Deer Park, TX, during the early night. I think I only saw some light rain and drizzle, during the rest of the day.


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 270242
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
842 PM CST Fri Jan 26 2018

.UPDATE...
Light rain or showery conditions filling in and progressing up
the upper Texas coastline in association with a series of weak
impulses that will be leading broad upper level troughing whose
5H axis is now exiting the Rockies and entering the West Plains
states. Higher PVA and Theta E air will reside along the coast
and points offshore through the passage of tomorrow`s cold front.
Thus...the highest QPF and the higher threat for any isolated
thunder will occur over our coastal counties and local bay and
Gulf waters through tomorrow afternoon. Many locations are
expected to pick up between a couple of tenths to around a half
an inch of rain...upwards to slightly over an inch closer to the
coast...by late tomorrow afternoon. Gentle upglide pattern with
inland (Saturday) prog soundings coming in too stable...weak lapse
rates above a near surface (morning) capping layer. The bulk of
the precipitation will fall overnight and Saturday morning. The
gentle entrance of the frontal boundary that will back southeasterlies
around to the northeast will slowly begin the drying out process
from tomorrow afternoon through evening. The backing air mass will
be Pacific-in-origin and will slowly cool and dry out the column
through Sunday. So...after a overcast and damp Saturday mainly
spent in the 60s...Sunday morning will be mostly cloudy and mild
with minTs in the low to mid 50s. A slight delay in the cool air
advection Sunday. After a partially clearing Sunday in the
afternoon 60s...Monday and Tuesday`s weather will be relatively
cooler (non-freezing) 30s/40s warming into the lower 60s under
clear starry/sunny skies. North winds will veer back around to
onshore by Tuesday. 31

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 545 PM CST Fri Jan 26 2018/

AVIATION...
Tricky forecast ahead - clouds at MVFR level, but not consistently
creating a ceilings...yet. That should change, and have the
reflected with best estimate of when that may occur, but timing
will be tough and may require on the fly amendments. Radar is
alight with echoes to the southwest of the coastal sites, but
observations of rain are lagging fairly well behind and these lead
echoes may be virga at first. As such, have largely kept timing on
rain the same as last cycle, but may also need to be amended
quickly if the column moistens up and rain falls to the ground
more quickly than expected.

Overnight, showers should continue for much of the area, but
particularly near the coast. Am a little more optimistic on flight
conditions than the guidance, but still bring things down to IFR
and near LIFR for many. Will eventually get better once the front
rolls through, but expect a long VCSH tail with only gradually
improving conditions through most (all?) of the day. 25

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 258 PM CST Fri Jan 26 2018/

DISCUSSION...
A weak short wave trough will move NE tonight and bring mainly
the the coastal portions of SE TX a good chance of rain. Lift will
be enhanced as ascent increases on the east side of an upper
trough moving across the southern plains. TT WRF performed well
yesterday and has initialized best today so will lean toward the
WRF tonight. Showers will expand in coverage after 03z with the
best rain chances between 06-12z. RAP/HiRes ARW and NMM guidance
are in good agreement with the high rain chances near the coast.
The GFS continues to show a lot of dry air at 850 mb. If the GFS
verifies, rain chances will need to be lowered. Coverage should
wane Saturday morning in the wake of the short wave but won`t end
completely since SE TX will still have some lift courtesy of the
upper trough.

Water temps are in the lower 50`s and dew pts are progged to reach
the lower 60`s later tonight. Would expect sea fog to develop over
parts of the upper Texas coast tonight and linger into Saturday.
At 2 PM, KXIH is already showing visibility down to 4 miles. A
Marine Dense Fog Advisory may be required later tonight.

Rain should diminish Saturday night as a weak cold front crosses
the area. Fcst soundings show considerable drying above 850 mb.
Not sure there will be enough moisture to generate showers even
with an approaching trough axis. SE TX will lie on the west side
of the trough axis on Sunday and skies will begin to clear from
west to east with clear skies expected areawide by late afternoon.

A dry northwest flow will develop over the state as weak upper
level ridging tries to develop in the wake of the this weekend`s
upper trough. The upper flow will become more zonal Tues night
into Wednesday as another upper trough approaches the southern
plains. The upper trough axis and a weak surface cold front will
approach SE TX Thursday night. These features will generate
scattered showers Thursday night and cooler temps for next Friday.
43

MARINE...
A disturbance moving up the Texas coast tonight through tomorrow
morning will help to increase shower and thunderstorm coverage.
Sea fog (some maybe dense) will be possible too. The rain and fog
threat will gradually diminish after a cold front moves off the
coast on Saturday night. Increasing north winds and building seas
behind the front will likely require caution flags Saturday night
through Monday, and advisories might be needed too. The north
winds will come back around to an onshore flow Tuesday through
Thursday as surface high pressure moves off to the east and low
pressure begins to deepen to our northwest. Another cold front
could arrive next Thursday night or Friday.  42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      56  67  52  65  41 /  50  50  20   0   0
Houston (IAH)              57  70  55  64  44 /  60  60  30   0   0
Galveston (GLS)            56  64  55  61  47 /  70  80  30  10   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...31/25

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
306 PM CST Fri Jan 26 2018

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>213-226-227-272115-
Austin-Brazos-Burleson-Colorado-Fort Bend-Grimes-Harris-Houston-
Liberty-Madison-Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-
Washington-Wharton-
306 PM CST Fri Jan 26 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Showers will increase in coverage this evening with a burst of
heavier rain toward midnight. Fog will also develop tonight and
could reduce visibility below a mile at times.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Saturday, January 27, 2018

Jan. 25 18

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.
Houston, TX radar, during the late night.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: Didn't get enough time to write a weather summary. I think there was some frost and rolling ground fog on my way to work, during the early morning. There looked to be some isolated light rain showers in and around the Houston, TX area, during the late night. I don't remember seeing, feeling, or hearing any rain drops.

Thursday, January 25, 2018

Jan. 24 18

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Weather forecast predicting rain/snow for the Houston, TX area, recorded on this day, during the early afternoon. For Friday Feburary 2nd, 2018. Which was quickly replaced with just a chance for rain, later in the day.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Summary: The day was dry, sunny, and calm. I didn't see any precip on the radar, over the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. I didn't see, feel, or hear any drops of precip, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the day. Alto stratus with maybe some stratus clouds looked to be scattered across the sky, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and maybe night. The wind speeds looked to be calm with some gentle to moderate gusts, I think, and maybe some moderately strong gusts. It felt cold, during the early morning. I think it felt cool, during the mid-morning and evening. I think it felt a little cool, during the late morning. I think it felt warm, during the afternoon. I think it felt very cool, during the early night. I think it felt cold, during the late night. There were no watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of, during anytime of the day. The low temperatures looked to be in the high 30's with maybe some mid 30's, I think, and the high temperatures looked to be in the low 60's with maybe some mid 60's, I think, for the Houston, TX area.


Houston, TX Storm Summary: I didn't see any precip on the radar, over the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. I didn't see, or hear about any flooding, or damage caused by the weather to any of the locations in the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day.


My Storm Summary: I didn't see, feel, or hear any drops of precip, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the day. I didn't see any precip producing, or storm type clouds, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during anytime of the day. The ground and roads looked to be dry with maybe still some puddles left over from a couple days ago, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. I didn't see any lightning strikes, or hear any rumbles of thunder. I didn't see any flooding, or damage caused by the weather, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during anytime of the day.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: Not much going on with the weather. I can't wait until Spring. The rain/snow forecast for Feburary 2, 2018 was quickly replaced with just a chance for rain, later in the day.


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 250142
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
742 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2018


.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

We hate to sound like a music app with the repeat button active,
but that`s your weather forecast at least in the near term.
Tonight should be a repeat of last night with some high clouds
moving across SE Texas but the airmass remains dry with high
pressure over much of the area. Winds have or will be decoupling
allowing for radiational cooling. Low temperatures back down in
the 30s look on track with 40s along the coast. A few spots may
reach the freezing mark for a few hours for a light freeze.

Rest of the forecast looks on track with rain chances increasing
this weekend mainly along the coast. Only changes to the forecast
were for ongoing trends.

Overpeck


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 517 PM CST Wed Jan 24 2018/...

.LONG TERM...
Surface high pressure over Central Texas will move slowly east
overnight. This feature will bring clear skies and cool
temperatures to the region. There could be a light freeze late
tonight from about Conroe to to Crockett by Thursday morning.
Onshore winds will return on Thursday as the high moves east.
Moisture will begin to deepen Thursday night and skies will
quickly become cloudy. PW values will exceed an inch by Friday
morning and fcst soundings show a strong cap at 700 mb but
saturated beneath the cap. A weak short wave coupled with the
increasing moisture in the WAA pattern should result in some
light rain showers developing between 09-12z Friday. Overnight
lows on Thursday night will likely occur around 06z with
temperatures steady or slowly rising between 06-12z Friday.

PW values will remain between 1.0 and 1.2 inches on Friday but
forecast soundings continue to show a saturated layer beneath 700
mb. There looks like there is enough low level moisture to
generate some showers and will maintain the chance PoPs currently
in the grids. Moisture levels look a bit better on Saturday and PW
values deepen to between 1.3 and 1.5 inches. Fcst soundings show
the cap eroding but CAPE values remain very low. Lift will
increase on Saturday on the east of an upper level trough moving
across the southern plains while a weak upper level disturbance
moves up the coast. Low level convergence strengthens near the
coast as well as a weak coastal trough tries to develop. Will
carry likely PoPs near the coast and taper PoPs significantly to
the NW. Although CAPE values are benign, the lack of a cap coupled
with the disturbance should yield a few thunderstorms on
Saturday. Rain should come to an end Saturday night as a weak cold
front crosses the region. SE TX will lie on the west side of the
upper trough on Sunday and am expecting skies to clear during the
day. The first half of next week looks uneventful with generally
clear skies Mon-Wed with seasonal temperatures. 43


.AVIATION...
Outside of a patch of high cirrus near the coast, we`re seeing SKC
across the area this evening. Look for winds overnight to become
light again, picking back up to around 10 knots out of the east
or southeast tomorrow around mid-day. Towards the end of the
forecast period may see the return of higher clouds, and bases
could reach as low as 10k or so feet, though it may also hold off
until later in the evening and fall outside this particular
forecast cycle. For this, am largely holding to SKC or 250
mentions for now - but by the 06Z cycle, the forecast may extend
far enough to show some lowering trend.

Luchs


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  37  64  47  66  56 /   0  10  10  30  40
Houston (IAH)          36  65  49  65  57 /   0  10  10  30  40
Galveston (GLS)        47  61  53  65  58 /   0  10  10  30  40

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION through Thursday morning for
     the following zones: Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda
     Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to
     Freeport from 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Overpeck
AVIATION...25

Jan. 23 18

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late evening.


Summary: The day was sunny, dry, and calm. I didn't see any rain on the radar, over the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. I didn't see, feel, or hear any drops of precip, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during anytime of the day. Alto stratus and stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and maybe night. The wind speeds looked to be calm with gentle to moderate gusts with maybe some occasional moderately strong gusts. I think it felt cold, during the early morning. I think it felt cool, or maybe very cool, during the mid-morning. I think it started to feel warm, during the late morning. I think it felt warm, or maybe a little cool, during the afternoon. I think it started to feel cool, during the early evening. I think it felt cool, during the late evening. It started to feel very cool, during the early night. It felt cold, during the late night. There weren't any watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of, during anytime of the day. The low temperatures looked to be in the low 40's with maybe some high 30's, and the high temperatures looked to be in the low 60's with maybe some mid 60's, I think, for the Houston, TX area.


Houston, TX Storm Summary: I didn't see any rain on the radar, over the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. I didn't see, or hear about any flooding, or damage caused by the weather to any of the locations in the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day.


My Storm Summary: I didn't see, feel, or hear any drops of precip, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during anytime of the day. I didn't see any rain producing, or thunderstorm type clouds, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during anytime of the day. The roads and ground looked to have stayed completely dry, apart from maybe a few puddles, left over from the previous days rain, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. I didn't hear any rumbles of thunder, or see any lightning strikes, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during anytime of the day. I didn't see any flooding, or damage caused by the weather, where I was, during anytime of the day.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: At least it it hasn't been feeling super cold. Just a little cold, during the mornings and cool/warm, during the afternoons.

Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Jan. 22 18

Houston, TX radar, during the early morning, before sunrise.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.


Summary: The day was sunny, windy, and mostly dry. A line of light to moderately heavy and heavy with maybe some really heavy rain showers and possible thunderstorms, moved slowly west/ south to north, through the Houston, TX area, during the early morning. There didn't look to be anymore precip in the Houston, TX area, after the early morning. Some light to moderately heavy and maybe sometimes heavy rain showers looked to have passed over my house in northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning. I didn't see, feel, or hear any drops of precip after that. Stratus and alto stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, during the early morning. Alto stratus clouds with maybe some stratus clouds, looked to be widely scattered across the sky, during the mid and late morning, afternoon, evening, and maybe night. The wind speeds looked to be calm with gentle to moderate gusts and some moderately strong gusts with maybe some occasional really strong 20 mph gusts. I think it felt cool, during the early and mid-morning, evening, and night. I think it felt warm, or started to feel warm, during the late morning. I think it felt warm, during the afternoon. There were no watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temperatures looked to be in the mid to high 40's, or maybe low 50's and the high temperatures looked to be in the high 60's with maybe some mid 60's, I think, for the Houston, TX area.


Houston, TX Storm Summary:  A line of light to moderately heavy and heavy with maybe some really heavy rain showers and possible thunderstorms, moved slowly west/ south to north, through the Houston, TX area, during the early morning. There didn't look to be anymore precip in the Houston, TX area, after the early morning. I didn't see, or hear about any flooding, or damage caused by the weather, to any of the locations in the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day.


My Storm Summary: Some light to moderately heavy and maybe sometimes heavy rain showers looked to have passed over my house in northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning. I didn't see, feel, or hear any drops of precip, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, after that. The ground stayed wet and muddy with some small to big puddles, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. The roads looked to have started to dry up from the rain, where I was in northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning. The roads looked to be dry, during the mid and late morning, afternoon, evening, and night, where I was in northwest Houston, TX. I didn't see any lightning strikes and I don't remember hearing any rumbles of thunder. I didn't see any flooding, or damage caused by the weather, where I was, during the day.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: Just another classic cold front moving through the Houston, TX area. I was hoping to see more rain, but I was glad that it didn't get that cold.+

Jan. 21 18

Houston, TX radar, during the early afternoon.
Houston, TX radar, during the mid-afternoon.
Houston, TX radar, during the late afternoon.
Houston, TX radar, during the early evening.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early evening.
Houston, TX radar, during the late evening.

Houston, TX radar, during the early night.
Houston, TX radar, during the late night.


Summary: The day was mostly cloudy, a little wet, and windy. Light to moderate with maybe some moderately heavy showers were scattered around the Houston, TX area, during the morning, afternoon, and evening. A training line of moderately heavy to heavy with maybe some really heavy showers and maybe some thunderstorms stayed near the west side of Houston, TX, training from the south to the north with a little bit of a westward movement, during the night. I think I felt and saw some occasional off and on light to moderate showers, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. I think the sky looked to be mostly covered stratus clouds, during the morning, afternoon, and evening. I think the sky looked to be completely covered in stratus clouds, during the night. The wind speeds looked to be gentle with moderate to moderately strong gusts and some really strong 20 to maybe 25 mph gusts. It felt cool, during the early morning. It started to feel warm, sometime during the late, or maybe mid-morning. It felt warm, during the afternoon, and evening. I think it felt warm, during the night, but it might have felt a little cool, or cool, especially during the late night. There was a Hazardous Weather Outlook issued for the Houston, TX area, by NOAA. There were no other watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temperatures looked to be in the low 50's and the high temperatures looked to be in the mid, or maybe high 70's with some mid 70's, for the Houston, TX area.


Houston, TX Storm Summary: Light to moderate with maybe some moderately heavy showers were scattered around the Houston, TX area, during the morning, afternoon, and evening. A training line of moderately heavy to heavy with maybe some really heavy showers and maybe some thunderstorms stayed near the west side of Houston, TX, training from the south to the north with a little bit of a westward movement, during the night. I didn't see, or hear about any flooding, or damage caused by the weather to any of the locations in the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day.


My Storm Summary: I think I felt and saw some occasional off and on light to moderate showers, during the morning, afternoon, evening, and night. I didn't see any lightning strikes, but though I heard some possible distant rumbles of thunder, sometime during the day. The roads and ground stayed partly wet from the on and off showers, where I was, during the day. I didn't see any flooding, or damage caused by the weather, where I was, during the day.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: I was hoping to see more rain than just a few showers, but that is ok.


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 220315
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
915 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

.NEAR TERM [Through Monday]...
No major changes were made to the
forecast this evening. Current radar imagery shows scattered
showers splattered across much of the region tonight. The surface
low associated with the cold front is currently situated over
northeastern Oklahoma and southeastern Kansas. This has left the
area with the best surface convergence, along with upper level
divergence well to the north of even our northern most counties
from Burleson to Houston. AMDAR soundings still reveal a strong
cap in place between 800-700mb this evening, which has helped to
hinder thunderstorm development. Forecast soundings continue to
indicate the best moisture available through 06Z, with
precipitable water values ranging between 1.0-1.3 inches. Low-
level lapse rates and K-index values also decrease after 06Z.
Therefore, our best chance for an isolated thunderstorm would be
most likely before 06Z tonight. Short term guidance such as the
HRRR and Texas Tech WRF have begun to back off on thunderstorm
coverage as this line of precipitation slides east of I-45. The
main front will eventually overtake the dryline/Pacific front, as
it continues to push westward across east Texas this evening
between 06-09Z.

Nine o`clock observations have temperatures and dew points in the
middle to upper 60s across much of the SE TX. Onshore winds will
begin to veer overnight and eventually turn out of the northwest
by sunrise increasing to between 10 to 15 MPH. Clear skies are in
store behind the front with Monday morning temperatures beginning
in the upper 40s to upper 50s. As drier air filters into the
region, high temperatures will reach into the upper 60s to lower
70s late Monday afternoon.

Hathaway

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 549 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018/...

.AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]...

Radar this evening shows a smattering of showers across SE Texas
that will intermittently pass over terminals. This will continue
through the night as a Pacific front pushes through the area. The
front should reach KCLL/UTS around 06-07Z, KIAH/KHOU around 08-10Z
and then the coast around 12Z. Ceilings should drop to MVFR
levels ahead of the front and there may be a brief period of IFR
but confidence in IFR is low. Front should feature a line of
showers but full TSRA are yet to be determined. AMDAR soundings
still show an elevated mixed layer around 800-700mb which would
need to erode before deep convection can form. TAFs will go with
VCTS but likely just have a line of showers as HRRR and a few WRF
runs indicate. TSRA may need to be put in for KCLL and KUTS but
those sites may even be just far enough south from upper level
forcing that the cap will still hold. Ceilings improve behind the
front with NW winds which become gusty during the day.

Overpeck


.MARINE...
Periods of fog (some dense) will continue across the bays and
nearshore waters until the front pushes off the coast early Monday
morning. Moderate onshore flow ahead of this front is also
producing 15 to 20 knot winds and 6 foot seas in the offshore
waters, and caution flags are currently in effect. Expect some
shower development out ahead of the front this evening and
tonight, with the front itself dragging a thin line of showers and
thunderstorms through the waters Monday morning. This will be
accompanied by a gradual wind shift to the northwest. Caution
flags will likely be required Monday into Monday night.

Winds gradually become NE to E by midweek before returning to SE
by the weekend. Sea fog could become an issue again by the end of
the week as deeper moisture moves back over the waters. Another
much stronger front should push off the coast next weekend. 11


.FIRE WEATHER...
A cold front will pass through the region overnight tonight,
bringing drier and breezy conditions in its wake. RHs on Monday
afternoon could fall into the mid to upper 20s with winds near 15
mph. This will create elevated fire conditions across the area for
Monday. Tuesday will be just as dry but with much lighter winds.
Moisture will begin filtering back over the area Wednesday. 11


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  48  68  37  67  37 /  60   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)          57  70  41  67  40 /  60   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)        58  70  47  64  45 /  60  10   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 3 AM CST Monday for the following
     zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship
     Channel out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island to
     Freeport out 20 NM...Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 3 AM CST Monday for
     the following zones: Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda
     Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to
     Freeport from 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

NEAR TERM...08
AVIATION...Overpeck

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
236 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ213-214-235>238-222045-
Brazoria-Chambers-
Coastal waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out
20 NM-Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM-
Galveston-Galveston Bay-Harris-Jackson-Matagorda-Matagorda Bay-
Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to
60 NM-Waters from High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM-
236 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Periods of dense sea fog are possible until a cold front pushes
through the area late tonight. Small craft should exercise
caution offshore due to elevated winds and seas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible across Southeast
Texas on Monday.

Elevated winds and waves will be possible across the offshore
waters behind a cold front Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$