Sunday, September 10, 2017

Sep. 9 17

Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.


Summary: The day was warm, sunny, and dry. No rain. I didn't see any rain anywhere in, or near the Houston, TX area, on the radar. I didn't see, feel, or hear any rain drops. The sky looked to be mostly clear with some occasional alto stratus, or maybe cirro stratus cloud, especially during the early and maybe mid-morning. The wind speeds looked to be calm with gentle to moderate gusts with some occasional moderately strong gusts, I think. It felt a little cool, during the early morning. It felt warm, during the mid and late morning, late evening, and night. It felt very warm, during the afternoon and early evening. There were still two River Flood Warnings issued for the Houston, TX area. There were no other watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX, that I know of. The low temps looked to be in the 70's, or maybe 60's with maybe some 70's, or 70's with maybe some 60's and the high temps looked to be in the 80's, for the Houston, TX area.


Houston, TX Storm Summary: There were still roads covered in water in the Houston, TX area. There were no showers, or thunderstorms seen on the radar over the Houston, TX area, during anytime of the day. No storm damage was reported. No thunder, lightning, or rain was reported.


My Storm Summary: I didn't see, feel, or hear any rain drops. I didn't see any storm clouds, hear any rumbles of thunder, or see any lightning strikes.


Locations: Northwest Houston, TX.


Thoughts: Lots of sunshine!


Area Forecast Discussion 
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 092059
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
359 PM CDT Sat Sep 9 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weak ridging axis centered over the spine of the Rockies has
maintained and will maintain this dry northwest upper flow
pattern across the state. Low to mid level higher pressure
centered from the mid-upper Mississippi River Valley to over the
Great Lakes region (1032 mb surface high centered over Michigan)
...in relation to major Hurricane Irma over the Florida Straits...
keeping this dry and cooler northeasterly lower level wind in
place. As Hurricane Irma moves northward across the Florida
peninsula and into Alabama-Georgia through Monday...the (western
2/3rds CONUS) synoptic pattern will undergo very little change
west of this beast of a tropical cyclone.

The main theme will be continued mainly clear skies with passing
cirrus and a light northeast breeze through Monday. Irma`s early
work week track into the Appalachia will create a more offshore
pressure gradient across Texas that will back our winds more
northwesterly to southwesterly through mid-week. Late week winds
are forecast to return onshore in response to filling
southeastern U.S. pressure left in Irma`s wake and lowering West
Texas pressure. So...after several days of a resident sub-inch
pwat air mass...pw`s will pick back up going into next weekend.
This gradual or subtle moisture flux will be somewhat noticeable
in slightly higher afternoon humidities...low 50%s instead of
30%s. Advection of a cooler mid-level air mass tomorrow will
lower 85H temps from the mid to upper teens into the low teens by
tomorrow night...but the day-to-day diurnal curve will fluctuate
little as average middle 80 maxTs are forecast. Upper ridging
nudging in from the southwest will aid in increasing heights/thickness
values and this will be translated to lower 90 maxTs by late work
week. Cool overnights in the lower to middle 60s will warm into
the lower 70s by next weekend under a slight more moist/cloudy
sky. This post-Harvey dry spell continues as there is no
mentionable precipitation forecast during this period. 31

&&

.MARINE...
Winds are expected to increase to 15 to 20 knots across the Upper
Texas coastal waters this evening. Winds could then increase to
advisory levels on Sunday night and Monday. Adverse conditions due
to higher than normal tides and large swells could develop along the
coast. The swells from Irma as it moves up the coast of Florida
could arrive from across the Gulf of Mexico by late Sunday and
Sunday night. The latest MDL tide forecasts for Sunday and Sunday
night are actually about a half of a foot lower than the forecasts
from 12 hours ago. However, still expect actual tide levels to reach
to near 3.5 feet along areas from Freeport to High Island. With some
wave runup occurring due to the swells, the higher than normal tide
levels could then put water into low-lying areas of the Gulf-facing
beaches. For now will continue with a high rip current risk but may
need to upgrade to a beach hazards statement later tonight for
Sunday if the tides become higher than expected. 40

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      62  86  62  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)              65  86  65  86  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)            72  85  71  85  71 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Rip Current Risk until midnight CDT tonight for the
     following zones: Brazoria...Chambers...Galveston...
     Matagorda.

GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION through Sunday morning for
     the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to the
     Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High
     Island to Freeport out 20 NM...Waters from Freeport to the
     Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High
     Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Discussion...31/40

Issuing Office: Houston/Galveston
Source: National.Weather.Service
8:49pm CDT, Sat Sep 9

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO BAYOU NEAR PINEY POINT VILLAGE * UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON... OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELED. * AT 0830 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 54.6 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 52.0 FEET. * FORECAST... THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING. * AT 57.0 FEET... AT LEVELS ABOVE 57 FEET MODERATE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AS PORTIONS OF BRIAR FOREST DRIVE BEGIN TO FLOOD. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 PM LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME SUN MON TUE WED BUFFALO BAYOU PINEY POINT VIL 52 54.6 SAT 08 PM 52.9 52.1 51.4 50.3 &&

More Information
A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BUFFALO BAYOU. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS ARE URGED TO STAY AWAY FROM THE RIVER UNTIL WATER LEVELS RECEDE. MOTORISTS SHOULD AVOID ANY WATER COVERED ROADS AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE FLOOD PLAIN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR FURTHER UPDATES. &&

Issuing Office: Houston/Galveston
Source: National.Weather.Service
8:49pm CDT, Sat Sep 9

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BUFFALO BAYOU IN WEST BELT DRIVE * UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON... OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELED. * AT 0830 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 62.7 FEET. * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 62.2 FEET. * FORECAST... THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING. && FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 PM LOCATION STAGE STAGE DAY TIME SUN MON TUE WED BUFFALO BAYOU WEST BELT DR 62.2 62.7 SAT 08 PM 61.9 61.8 61.6 61.4 && BUFFALO BAYOU

More Information
A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BUFFALO BAYOU. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS ARE URGED TO STAY AWAY FROM THE RIVER UNTIL WATER LEVELS RECEDE. MOTORISTS SHOULD AVOID ANY WATER COVERED ROADS AND FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE. LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE FLOOD PLAIN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR FURTHER UPDATES. &&

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