Northwest Houston, TX, during the early morning.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the early afternoon.
Northwest Houston, TX, during the late afternoon.
West Houston, TX, during the early evening.
Katy, TX, during the early evening.
Katy, TX, during the late evening.
Summary: The day was dry, mostly cloudy, and sunny. Isolated light to moderately heavy showers and maybe a few thunderstorms were scattered in and around the east side of Houston, TX, during the morning and afternoon. A huge cluster of moderately heavy to heavy showers and maybe a few thunderstorms formed over east Houston, TX, during the evening and stayed around through the early night, before dissipating sometime during the late night. I didn't see, feel, or hear any rain drops. Stratus clouds looked to cover most of the sky, during the early and mid-morning, mid and late afternoon and early evening. Stratus clouds looked to cover the whole, or maybe almost the whole sky, during the late morning, early afternoon, and late evening. Stratus clouds looked to cover the whole sky, during the night. The wind speeds looked to be calm with gentle to moderate gusts and some moderately strong gusts with maybe some occasional really strong 20 mph gusts, during the late morning and maybe early afternoon. The wind speeds looked to be calm with maybe some gentle to moderate gusts and some possible occasional moderately strong gusts, during the early and mid-morning, mid and late afternoon, evening, and maybe night. The wind speeds looked to be calm during the night. It felt warm, during the early and mid-morning. It felt very warm, almost hot, during the late morning and afternoon. It felt very warm during the early evening. It felt warm, during the late evening and night. There was a Hazardous Weather Outlook issued for the Houston, TX area. As well as a Beach Hazards Statement, issued for the Galveston, TX area, just southeast of the Houston, TX area. There were no other watches, warnings, alerts, advisories, or weather statements/outlooks issued for the Houston, TX area, that I know of. The low temps looked to be in the 70's and the high temps looked to be in the 80's with maybe some 90's, or 90's with some 80's, for the Houston, TX area.
Houston, TX area Storm Summary: Isolated light to moderately heavy showers and maybe a few thunderstorms were scattered in and around the east side of Houston, TX, during the morning and afternoon. A huge cluster of moderately heavy to heavy showers and maybe a few thunderstorms formed over east Houston, TX, during the evening and stayed around through the early night, before dissipating sometime during the late night. I didn't hear about any reports of flooding, or storm damage.
My Storm Summary: I didn't see, feel, or hear any rain drops. I did see some storm/shower/rain looking clouds, during the afternoon, evening, and night. I didn't see any flooding, wet roads, or wet ground, or lightning, or storm damages. I thought I heard a distant rumble of thunder, during the late night, while I was sleeping/ half awake, but it might have been some other noise.
Locations: Northwest and west Houston, TX and Katy, TX.
Thoughts: It looks like Houston, TX is expected to get lots of rain tomorrow and maybe the day after.
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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000 FXUS64 KHGX 030259 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 959 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2017 .UPDATE... Evening surface analysis placed a small surface low near the lower Galveston Bay, with an associated enhanced pressure gradient resulting in 20-25 knot southeasterly wind gusts along Bolivar Peninsula. These elevated onshore winds are not only resulting in a high rip current risk per the Galveston Beach Patrol but have also pushed tide levels to around 2.5 feet MLLW at the Galveston Bay Entrance. These winds are expected to result in tides rising above 3 feet early Tuesday morning around high tide. As a result, a Beach Hazards Statement has been issued to cover rip current and minor coastal flooding issues that may result from these conditions. The majority of the shower activity over the Houston metro this evening has mostly dissipated, but light rain bands associated with this low are developing near the Sabine Pass and lifting towards the northwest. Have lowered rain chances for this evening based on radar trends as well as both the THOU and KHGX wind profiles showing veering 925 and 850 MB winds (reflecting the presence of the low and some very weak dry air advection). As this surface low moves farther inland/ loses definition, RAP vertical wind profiles show low level winds backing more to the southeast and this would provide a few windows for additional showers during the overnight hours. Expect greatest coverage across the southeastern forecast area and eastern waters where directional and speed wind convergence is maximized. Huffman && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 621 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2017/ AVIATION... The disturbance over the Gulf will move inland this evening and should provide area TAF sites with some showers especially coastal TAF sites. Will carry VCSH generally south of KIAH tonight. Moisture levels deepen further early Tuesday and fcst soundings look supportive of thunder and potentially heavy rain. Models differ with regard to placement of the heaviest rain and timing so confidence on when to TEMPO thunder is low. Showers will begin to diminish late Tuesday or early Tuesday evening. 43 PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 343 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2017/ DISCUSSION... Precipitation coverage across SE TX is expected to continue increasing through the rest of this afternoon as moisture continues to move in from the Gulf. This activity should wind down shortly after sunset with development likely over the coastal waters overnight/toward sunrise. Showers/thunderstorms will be more widespread tomorrow as a slug of slightly deeper moisture (PWs up to 2.5 inches) moves in from the Gulf. Locally heavy rain to remain the main threat...but storms will be moving and still not seeing any indications of low level boundaries/upper level disturbances to enhance development at this time. As the upper ridge builds in from the E/NE on Wed, this moisture will be shifting off to the W/SW portions of the CWA. The ridging aloft should make for quieter/warmer weather for the rest of the week. Temperatures progged to climb back up to near 90F during this time frame, with only a slight chance of rain generally during the day with the seabreeze. 41 MARINE... A non-tropical area of low pressure can be see in GOES 16 visible satellite imagery about 40 miles SE of Galveston and is moving NW around 15 knots. The system should push inland around 00-01Z or 7- 8PM CDT this evening. The system does have some convection around it but it is mainly enhancing E to NE winds along the Upper Texas Coast and Galveston Bay. Tides are about 1.5 to 2 feet above normal with overall water levels around 3-3.5ft above MLLW. Tides along the coast are headed towards low tide so impacts may be limited to the next few hours along Bolivar Peninsula and Galveston Island. Overall the forecast looks to be on track with moderate to strong east winds developing Tuesday through the end of the week. These winds have a pretty long fetch which should support rough seas developing along with some low swells. Look for small craft advisory conditions developing late Tuesday and persisting into Thursday. Moderate seas will continue into the weekend with decreasing winds. Overpeck && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 75 87 73 88 70 / 20 60 50 30 20 Houston (IAH) 75 87 74 87 71 / 30 60 50 40 20 Galveston (GLS) 80 86 79 88 78 / 40 60 50 40 20 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 5 AM CDT Tuesday for the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Galveston Bay...Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM CDT Tuesday for the following zones: Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM...Waters from High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM. && $$ Discussion...14
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 443 AM CDT Mon Oct 2 2017 TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>213-226-227-031200- Austin-Brazos-Burleson-Colorado-Fort Bend-Grimes-Harris-Houston- Liberty-Madison-Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller- Washington-Wharton- 443 AM CDT Mon Oct 2 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Increasing rain chances could bring periods of locally heavy rainfall. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Elevated rain chances could bring periods of locally heavy rainfall Tuesday and Wednesday. Expect decreasing coverage and intensity during the day on Wednesday from east to west. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation might be needed during the first half of the week. $$
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